Between the Bankroll and Me: Fanduel Week Three

(Dave Reginek/Getty Images North America)

With week two now in the rearview, I, for one, am putting that week behind me and am ready for another go. Overall the hits were there with plays like Hunt, Montgomery, Anderson and Ertz, but boy did I swing and miss on some guys, namely at receiver. Them’s the brakes sometimes. Anyway, let’s move on to Fanduel week three, shall we?
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Quarterback

Matt Ryan ($8,500) @ Detroit

Matty Ice comes in as the third highest priced quarterback this week, behind Brady and Rodgers, but is the most expensive I’ll probably be willing to go in cash games. The other two have great matchups at home, but could very easily be looking at blowouts. Ryan, on the other hand, will be playing at Detroit in a game Vegas pegs as the second highest scoring game on the slate with a 50.5 over/under. The Falcons have tried to keep things fairly balanced thus far, capping Ryan’s upside, but he’ll likely have to sling it around a little bit more to keep pace with a surprisingly good Detroit team.

Cam Newton ($8,100) vs. New Orleans

The Panthers, outside of a handful of plays against San Francisco in week 1, have looked rather sluggish on offense through two games. That’s all about to change in a “get right” week against perhaps the softest defense in the league in the Saints. Yes, they’ll be without Greg Olsen but I feel that will lead them to finally unleash Christian McCaffrey in order to pick up some of the work left behind by Olsen. Bottom line is the Saints can’t stop anyone, and several Panthers players are in position to go off this week. He’s coming into the game a little banged up, but assuming he plays Cam will probably be quite chalky this week given the matchup.

Matt Stafford ($7,900) vs. Atlanta

Stafford is my favorite play on the slate. Outside of being a home favorite, everything is lining up nicely for him. I’ve already shared what Vegas thinks of this game, and the fact that the Lions are three-point underdogs points to a likely shootout – or playing catchup – against a powerful Falcons offense. The price is perfect, and I like him for tournaments, too, as many will likely be drawn to Newton at a similar price.

DeShone Kizer ($6,900) @ Indianapolis

Kizer is a borderline cash game punt for me this week, but I do love him for GPP’s. Yes, he’s super raw, but his upside against this Indy defense is through the roof, provided cornerback Vontae Davis is sidelined.

 

Running Backs

Le’Veon Bell ($8,700) @ Chicago

Bell has yet to have a blowup outing this year, but don’t let that sway you from considering the stud runner. His price has come way down, and the team showed last week that they are ready to let him resume his normal workload with 31 total touches against Minnesota. Pittsburgh is a large favorite (-7.5) on the road against Chicago, but the game projects to be fairly low scoring with just a 44-point over/under. All this, plus the fact that Big Ben usually struggles on the road, points to a big game for Bell. He’s likely a lock for me in cash.

Kareem Hunt ($8,300) @ San Diego

Okay, so a $700 price hike is pretty significant, but you can’t say he hasn’t been worth it. Hunt has been so explosive and is seeing so much work that we will likely have to be consider him a weekly play, similar to Bell and a healthy David Johnson, until we see otherwise. And week 3 is not looking like a week we want to fade him. The Charges are dead last in Football Outsiders DVOA for rush defense, and have been run over in back to back games by CJ Anderson and Jay Ajayi. The train keeps rolling this week.

Ty Montgomery ($7,200) vs. Green Bay

This one’s way too easy. The price tag for TyMont is still way too low given his workload and production. Green Bay is an 8.5-point home favorite this week in a projected low scoring game against Cincinnati. Choosing between these first three studs won’t be easy, but Montgomery’s price tag just might seal it for one of the running back spots in cash games.

Christian McCaffrey ($6,800) vs. New Orleans

I just can’t quit you, Run CMC. I’ve written up the electric back in each of my articles thus far as a GPP play, and each week he hasn’t panned out. That hasn’t been for lack of workload, though. Yes, Jonathan Stewart is still seeing the short yardage and goal line work, but McCaffrey is still seeing a ton of snaps and work in the passing game. If ever there was time to break out it’s against the Saints, so I expect a blowup game in this spot. So much so that I might even roll the dice on him in cash. Call me crazy.

Dalvin Cook ($6,500) vs. Tampa Bay

The counting stats don’t necessarily show it thus far, but Cook has been monster. He ripped apart the Saints in week 1, and would’ve had a decent score last week had it not been for getting vultured by CJ Ham for a touchdown after leading the Vike’s down to the 1 yard line after a lovely scamper. I’m a little skittish using him if Sam Bradford doesn’t suit up, but the price is enticing. The uncertainty with Bradford and Tampa Bay’s strong front seven make him a GPP-only option for me.

 

Wide Receivers

Odell Beckham Jr. ($8,800) @ Philadelphia

Rostering a Giants player right now might make most fantasy players want to blow chunks, and that’s certainly understandable, but if there’s one thing this offense needs to do is rely on it’s lone superstar. The offensive line is a sieve and Eli will be running for his life against a fearsome Philly front four, but I have to believe he’ll be able to find his primary weapon in Beckham when he needs to. Philly is working with a patchwork secondary that OBJ should be able to exploit. The receiver landscape is kind of a mess this week, so I don’t mind spending up for Beckham in this spot.

DeAndre Hopkins ($7,500) @ New England

Officially, I don’t love the matchup here for Hopkins but he is seeing an other-worldly amount of targets right now (29), that we simply can’t ignore him. New England has been shredded through the air in the first two games, and Belichick is sure to make life hard on rookie DeShaun Foster by taking away his favorite target, but if Foster keeps locking in on Hopkins then there’s a chance he can return value. Plus, this game projects to be a blowout for New England, so there’s likely some garbage time coming here. And us fantasy players don’t mind some garbage time love. Hopkins is more of a tournament play for me.

AJ Green ($7,500) @ Green Bay

I’ll just come right out and say it, Green is a cash game lock for me. The Bengals have undoubtedly had their struggles on offense, and that’s precisely why Green’s price has dropped about $1,000 since week 1, but lost in those struggles is the fact that Green is still a target monster (18 thus far). Cincinnati is a big road underdog here and will no doubt be playing some catch up against Aaron Rodgers and Co. The Bengals might be a mess, but they still know who makes this offense tick.

Kelvin Benjamin ($6,600) vs. New Orleans

I’ve already highlighted a couple other Panthers. Everyone in this offense gets a bump this week, and that, of course, goes for the number one receiver.

Kenny Golladay ($5,900) vs. Atlanta

Golladay, or “Babytron”, as he’s become to affectionately be known in the fantasy industry (credit to JJ Zachariason), is someone I love for GPP’s this week. He doesn’t see enough volume yet to warrant cash game consideration, but Stafford loves throwing to the rookie in big time situations. He hauled in two touchdowns in week 1 at home against Arizona, and the matchup looks even more promising against Atlanta this week, in what projects to be a shootout.

 

Tight End

Travis Kelce ($7,100) @ Los Angeles Chargers

After a quiet week one, we were reminded last week how explosive Kelce can be. And, with 17 targets (third amongst tight ends) and 13 receptions (second at the position), he’s getting the workload to back him up as a strong play. The Chiefs hit the road this week and are a three-point favorite in a game with a decently high over/under of 47.5 against a Chargers team that is dead last in DVOA against tight ends. The Chargers are much stronger on the outside, meaning Kelce should continue the trend of carving up their line backers and safeties over the middle of the field. Zach Ertz, who I’ll be recommending next, will likely be the chalky play at the position this week, making Kelce a terrific pivot for GPP’s.

Zach Ertz ($6,500) vs. New York Giants

Ertz has done everything you could want in your tight end this year, outside of reaching paydirt. But, with 18 targets, 13 receptions and back to back 12-plus point games, it doesn’t seem to matter thus far. Like I said above, Ertz will likely be highly owned this week so there is reason to fade him in tournaments, but the price isn’t out of control yet. And the matchup against a Giants team that has been roasted by Jason Witten and Eric Ebron in back to back weeks is drool-worthy, especially given the volume Ertz is seeing.

Jared Cook ($5,200) @ Washington

Cook is more of a GPP play for me this week, but I don’t mind him as a punt in cash games, either. Washington has been abysmal against tight ends this year, surrendering an average of 6.6 catches and 104 yards per game through two weeks. Washington matches up much better on the outside with stud corner Josh Norman, so Cook see more targets coming his way this week as Derek Carr seeks to attack the middle of the Skins’ defense.

 

Defense

New England ($4,900) vs. Houston.

I do like a couple cheaper options this week, but the Pats are a no brainer here, if you want to go that route. Vegas has them as a  13.5-point favorite in a game with 44-point over/under. Like I stated earlier, Belichick is going to make life hell for Foster, likely resulting in a handful of mistakes. I smell a defensive touchdown coming from this unit this week.

Green Bay ($4,800) vs. Cincinnati

Offensive line play, for many teams, has been a black hole so far this season, and Cincinnati is right at forefront. They’ll be using a new offensive coordinator this week, but I don’t see them being able to slow down the Green Bay pass rush, which has generated six sacks thus far. Andy Dalton has not looked like the QB1 many projected him this year, and the Packers should be able to force some turnovers. Additionally, Vegas loves the Pack at home, pegging them as an 8.5-point favorite.

Philadelphia ($4,500) vs. New York Giants

Speaking of weak offensive lines, we all saw the display the New York line put on last Monday night, right? Now they get one of the best front seven’s in the game in Philadelphia. The Eagles have reached the quarterback a whopping eight times in two games, have three fumble recoveries and already have a touchdown to their credit. As I stated earlier, I think Beckham can get going here so they might give up some points, but there’s no way this pass rush doesn’t get to Eli at least a couple of times.

 

Kicker

Dustin Hopkins ($4,600) vs. Oakland

Home favorite. Highest over/under on the slate (55). Cheap. All boxes checked.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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