Preseason Buy/Sell: Rare Odell Beckham Jr. Discount

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Welcome to the first installment of Fakepigskin’s “Buy/Sell,” where we examine the potential to buy Odell Beckham Jr and sell Martvais Bryant.

The NFL season is just one day away, but there is plenty to analyze and review. There have already been a few injuries with major fantasy implications (Spencer Ware and Julian Edelman), as well as the uncovering of potential future stars (Patrick Mahomes and Jameis Winston).

The purpose of this article is to take a deeper look into performances to buy or sell. Owners that approach a redraft league with a stock trader mentality are set up for success. The age old adage of “buy low, sell high” applies to fantasy football as well. With that being said, here are a few players to buy and sell.

Buy:

Odell Beckham Jr., New York Giants WR

playdraftOBJ has historically started off slowly, so he may wind up being on this list for the first few weeks to start the season. Add in current ankle injury and this may be the perfect time for savvy owners to pounce. It might be tricky prying him away from owners that drafted him knowing full well that OBJ might miss some time, but it doesn’t hurt to throw out some offers. Owners who lost Edelman or were relying on WR’s from the Miami/Tampa Bay game may feel the crunch to have a wideout available for the first few weeks of the season. It’s not often a player of Beckham’s caliber is available at a discount, so take advantage while the window is still open.

I’d rather have Beckham than Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman

Leonard Fournette, Jacksonville Jaguars RB

The concern around Fournette is real. He’s a talented running back who has struggled to stay healthy, and now has to deal with incompetent quarterback play. He’s also one of the most explosive and dangerous running backs when he’s on the field. During his 2015 season, the last season when Fournette played a full season, he made 3.65 yards after contact, which was second-best in the nation. He also forced 85 missed tackles that year. T.J. Yeldon and Chris Ivory combined for 39 in 2016. In addition, can you name the the QB who ran the LSU offense in 2015? I didn’t think so. All that is to say that while the shaky quarterback play and poor blocking might have impacted previous running backs, the same shouldn’t apply to Fournette. The key is going to be health, and I can’t guarantee that he’ll stay on the field for all of 2017, but if there are owners who are bailing because of the preseason play of the Jaguars offense, I’d pounce.

I’d rather have Fournette than Todd Gurley or Jordan Howard

Sell:

Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Martavis Bryant., Pittsburgh Steelers WR

Bryant’s value has sky rocketed since the start of the summer, and deservedly so. There was uncertainty surrounding his future with the Steelers due to his off-field troubles, but once it was determined that he was going to be able to play in 2017, people have been jumping on the Bryant bandwagon. I don’t disagree with those saying that he’ll have a good season, but I have a tough time believing his value will be any higher than it is now.

I’d try to trade Bryant for Demaryius Thomas or Terrell Pryor Sr.

Kareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs RB

Speaking of someone who’s value will never be higher…Kareem Hunt, come on down! If there was one player that benefited most from a preseason injury, it would be Hunt. Once Spencer Ware‘s season ended, Hunt’s value skyrocketed. The thought is that he’s going to be the featured back in an Andy Reid offense, which has always produced top running backs (see: Brian Westbrook, LeSean McCoy, and Jamaal Charles). If I were a Hunt owner (which I am in multiple leagues), I’d try to keep reminding other owners of that fact, and then trade him for a more established product. I’m all for upside and hypotheticals, but give me an established running back every time.

I’d try to trade Hunt for Ezekiel Elliott or DeMarco Murray 

Your Turn

Who are players you’re buying or selling? Let me know in the comments below!

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