2017 NFL Preseason—DFS Strategy for FanDuel and Draftkings Thursday Games

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Okay, so it is preseason week one.  That means FanDuel and DraftKings will have games you can play.  FanDuel has 230 possible games you can play.  Draftkings has about 186 games you can play.  And this is only the seven games to be played on Thursday.

If you have ever seen the the series finale of Lost or Denzel Washington’s Deja Vu then you know where I am…sitting here thinking WTF is going on.  It is the first preseason game and well there are a few things we know: The marquee players will not be playing; Brock Osweiler will be starting for the Cleveland Browns, but will only see 6-12 snaps, and Adrian Peterson has never played in a preseason game.  AArrruuuggghhhhh!!!!!!

Here are the Thursday games:

Atlanta v Miami; Minnesota v Buffalo; Washington v Baltimore; Jacksonville v New England; New Orleans v Cleveland; Philadelphia v Green Bay; and Denver v Chicago.

Remember that preseason DFS is not the same as regular season DFS.  For one thing all players will have the same price.  But while that may make you giddy with anticipation, it is the first preseason game so while Tom Brady is priced the same as Brock Osweiler, one will most definitely, have more playing time than the other.  So in reality all is not equal.

Keep these preseason tips in mind from Gamblers Palace :

(1) coaching are looking to avoid injury to starters

(2) while giving starters enough playing time to shake off the rust

(3) and give evaluating players who are close to making the team

In the first preseason game you will not see the starters shaking off the rust.  You will see the evaluation of the players who are close to making the team.

Here are some tips I have gleamed from reading training camp reports: Position battles that should impact your line-up decision whether you are playing DraftKings or FanDuel.  (Players mentioned are those fighting for a position and/or players the coaches reported “need to see more”)

Atlanta Falcons

Last year is over, get over the meltdown.  There is a new offensive coordinator in Atlanta.  Here are training camp battles that will impact your lineup.

Running Back: Brian Hill is competing with Terron Ward and B.J. Daniels for a spot behind Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman.

Tight Ends:  Look for Eric Saubert and Josh Perkins, both are impressing coaches and are looking to secure a roster spot.

Miami Dolphins

You know, Ryan Tannehill is questionable at best.  Matt Moore is shaky.  Head coach Adam Gase will need to see what he has while Jay Cutler gets in ‘football shape’.

Will quarterback Matt Moore get to play the full game?  I think yes—because they need to find out what they have and he needs to prove that Cutler is a waste of 10 million.

There is also a battle for two spots in the wide receiving corps.  The players to look up are Leonte Carroo, Rashawn Scott, Drew Morgan, Francis Owusu, Damore’ea Stringfellow and Malcom Lewis.

Look for Carroo and Morgan to get quality playing time.

Minnesota Vikings

Rookie running back Dalvin Cook is listed as number one on the depth chart that came out Monday.  He is a rookie so look for him to get in the game and make a statement.  Did I mention the first preseason game is also his birthday?

There is a battle between whether to keep tight end Kyle Carter or fullback C.J. Ham, so both should see ample playing time to prove they are the one.

Wide receiver Rodney Adams has been mentioned as stock rising.

Buffalo Bills

Who will be the number two quarterback?  Competition is between Cardale Jones, TJ Yates and Nathan Peterman.

The battle for number three wide receiver: battle is between Andre Holmes, Philly Brown, Brandon Tate and Rod Streater.  While second round pick rookie Zay Jones will most likely win the number two wide receiver, they should still see what they have in him.  Holmes is 6’5″ and looking good.

Baltimore Ravens 

Quarterback Joe Flacco is out.  So the Ravens need to know what they have.  It is said Ryan Mallett is having a rough training camp.  So chances are he will play.

There is also a tight end battle going on with five tight ends in the mix.  The depth chart reads Nick Boyle, Benjamin Watson, Maxx Williams are pretty much a lock.  Fighting for positions are Vince Mayle, Larry Donnell and Ryan Malleck.

The Ravens also have 11 players out with injury.

Washington

All the talk out of Washington’s training camp has been about the defense.  So defense up?

Jacksonville Jaguars

Here is the thing, Blake Bortles has thrown five interceptions in training camp.  So will they put him out in the first week in preseason against the New England Patriots?

Remember they are practicing against each other now, and Bortles has been intercepted, again.

Rookie running back Leonard Fournette should see time and dominate.

New England Patriots

Ugh, Bill Belichick makes my fantasy head hurt.  I will never ever try to predict what he may or may not do.  I will state that 40-year old quarterback Tom Brady will not play in the first week of preseason.

New Orleans Saints

ooooOOOOoo will there be an Adrian Peterson sighting?  Probably not.

Cleveland Browns

The quarterback battle is the most interesting with Cody Kessler, DeShone Kizer and Brock Osweiler all fighting to be the starter.

Osweiler will start the game, but word is he will only be in for 6-12 snaps.  That will not a DFS winning line-up make.

Here is something to keep in mind, Browns’ coach Hue Jackson has gone on record as saying he does not want to go 0-4, this preseason.  He is in it to win it?  But at what cost?

Philadelphia Eagles

It is all about the receiving corps to back up second year quarterback Carson Wentz.

Look for wide receivers: Marcus Johnson, Greg Ward Jr. and Shelton Gibson to see plenty of time as they fight to make the roster.

Tight ends: Billy Brown and Anthony Denham need to prove they are pass catching tight ends.

And kicker Caleb Sturgis is the kicker you might want to put in your line-up….unless

Green Bay Packers

You put in kicker Mason Crosby.  Crosby has to recover from a bad show on family day and preseason game one is as good as any place to start.

Denver Broncos

Yes, you have heard it before, it is all about the quarterbacks.

So Trevor Siemian will “start preseason game one” and Paxton Lynch will “start preseason game two”.  It looks like Siemian will play the entire game, that is about as sure as you are going to get in preseason game one.  As a caveat the 2016 Chicago Bears defense did struggle a bit in the secondary.

Chicago Bears

So here is what we are hearing out of Chicago on Monday:  ” Quarterback Mike Glennon ‘needs accuracy work'; running back Tarik Cohen is the “most exciting” and oh John Fox was summarily dismissed from the Broncos.  Does that matter?  It is first preseason game everything matters.

So you have Thursday to get your DraftKing and/or FanDuel  line-up in.  Have any questions? Message me on Twitter and I will do my best.  Good Luck and let’s get this party started.

Follow me on Twitter @neverenoughglt

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