MLB DFS: 8/1 Pitching Notes

Anthony Gruppuso-USA TODAY Sports

There’s a lot of low scoring games projected for our MLB DFS slate tonight, so I’ll go over pitchers you want to target. Keep an ear out for the newest episode of our 60 Feet 6 Inches podcast by clicking the image below.
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Chris Sale and Carlos Carrasco face off against each other, and Max Scherzer is pitching in Miami – all are strong pitching options tonight.

 

Marcus Stroman (TOR @ CWS)

Moneyline: -230

Over/Under: 9 1/2

FanDuel: $8,500/DraftKings: $11,000

The heaviest favorite of the night, Stroman and the Blue Jays are going up against the White Sox in Chicago. Stroman’s been consistent this season, and he’s currently on a streak of six games without giving up a home run. While the walks in the last two starts are of concern, the White Sox walk the second least in MLB. They also swing a lot at pitches outside of the zone, with a swing percentage of 31.9%. The White Sox batting order isn’t a fearsome bunch, so we should see Stroman get those walks under control, while getting several strikeouts. His price is high on DraftKings, so you’ll have to pair him wisely when choosing a second starter.

 

Kenta Maeda (LAD @ ATL)

Moneyline: -177

Over/Under: 9 1/2

FanDuel: $8,000/DraftKings: $7,200

The Dodgers bolstered their starting rotation yesterday, with the acquisition of Yu Darvish. We’ve seen how they move around their rotation by using the 10-day DL and having their starters come out of the bullpen, and Maeda is one of those starters. They’ll keep us wondering for the rest of the season, as to what their next move will be. Maeda doesn’t pitch deep into games, but he doesn’t need to, and can prolong the Braves’ losing ways. The Braves come into this game with a five-game losing streak. In his last six starts, Maeda’s only allowed one earned run or less in five of them. If Maeda keeps pitching the way he has, his price is fair enough to where he’s able to make value.

 

Chris Archer (TB @ HOU)

Moneyline: -110

Over/Under: 8 1/2

FanDuel: $9,900/DraftKings: $9,600

Choosing a pitcher against the Astros hasn’t been a favorite choice this season, but their lineup isn’t the same without George Springer and Carlos Correa. The Rays have lost a few close games recently, so it’s not out of the question for them to at least be competitive enough for Archer to get the win tonight. Archer’s strikeouts have been more of the higher end of what we’ve been seeing all season, with at least eight in his last five starts. His salary isn’t absurd, and on a night where others might be looking elsewhere for pitching, Archer’s potential should get some exposure.

 

Aaron Nola (PHI @ LAA)

Moneyline: +112

Over/Under: 8

FanDuel: $9,400/DraftKings: $9,100

Nola has been extremely impressive in his last seven starts, while the Phillies’ bats have been scoring runs and winning their last five games. If you’re looking for a pitcher that’s a little cheaper than Archer, you can definitely look to Nola to fill that spot. This game is in Anaheim, and is a much better park shift for Nola. Nola’s struck out at least seven batters in his last seven starts, while walking just two or less in six of them. His counterpart, Ricky Nolasco, comes into this game with an ERA just above five. Don’t overlook him tonight, as your main starter, or number two. If you’re worried about the win, play him on FD where should be a lock to get the quality start points.

 

Sean Manaea (OAK vs. SF)

Moneyline: -124

Over/Under: 8

FanDuel: $8,300/DraftKings: $7,900

Manaea’s been pretty good this season, and no one’s really talking about it. For a guy who pitches into the sixth inning almost every time out, with a shot of getting a handful of strikeouts, he surely deserves some love. It’s a huge plus that Manaea’s home park is Oakland Coliseum, which heavily favors pitchers. He doesn’t pitch for a team that’s exciting, but tonight the A’s are playing the second game of this series at home against the Giants. I’ll skip the part about the Giants’ offense and mention instead of how the A’s have a scrappy lineup and how they beat the Carrasco/Corey Kluber/Trevor Bauer series last month. Manaea is another pitcher that shouldn’t be overlooked, as well.

 

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!


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