MLB DFS: Targets for 7/28

Gary Landers - AP

It’s a full 15-game slate for MLB DFS tonight, leading us into the weekend. Pay close attention to those trade rumors, with potential players being kept out of lineups. Keep an ear out for the newest episode of our 60 Feet 6 Inches podcast by clicking the image below.
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Pitchers:

Danny Salazar (CLE @ CWS)

Moneyline: -240

Over/Under: 9 1/2

FanDuel: $8,200/DraftKings: $9,500

Salazar had an outstanding first start against the Blue Jays, allowing just one hit with no runs or walks. He’s facing the White Sox tonight, and there’s no reason he shouldn’t be able to come close to it again. The White Sox are a low-producing offense, and even with this game being in Chicago, Salazar definitely has the upper hand. As a team, the White Sox has a walk-rate of 6.6%, which is second worst in MLB. On top of that, they also strikeout 22.1% of the time. The Indians have won six games in a row, with three of those games resulting in double-digit in runs. Their offense should be able to score against Derek Holland, and Salazar should dominate the White Sox with the moneyline jumping up 20 overnight.

 

Dallas Keuchel (HOU @ DET)

Moneyline: -156

Over/Under: 9 1/2

FanDuel: $10,500/DraftKings: $11,600

This will be Keuchel’s first start since June 2nd, and with the Astros leading the AL West by 17 games, there was no reason to rush him back. It’s safe to assume that Keuchel is healthy and ready to pick up where he left off. His price on both sites have picked up where they left off too. The Astros hitters are up against Tigers’ starter, Jordan Zimmermann. The Astros are averaging 5.93 runs per game, while the Tigers are at 4.8. This season, Keuchel’s given up more than two earned runs in a start just one time. He’s kept homeruns to a minimum, and with Comerica Park being a pitcher’s park, that shouldn’t be a worry.

 

Ariel Miranda (SEA vs. NYM)

Moneyline: -155

Over/Under: 9

FanDuel: $8,000/DraftKings: $6,000

There was some line movement with this game as well, with the run total dropping by 1/2 a run and the moneyline going up by five in favor of the Mariners. Miranda’s just $6K on DK, and I’m confident in him as a second starter. This is the Mets’ second series on the road, and they no longer have Lucas Duda. For the price that we’re getting Miranda tonight, it’s wise to take advantage of it against a team who’s just lost games against Jhoulys Chacin and Luis Perdomo. Miranda isn’t overpowering, but he gets the job done – like in his last start against the Yankees where he pitched into the sixth and gave up just two earned runs with four strikeouts. On FD, you’d rather pay up a little for more upside, but the DK price on him tonight is too good to avoid.

 

Other pitchers to target:

Robbie Ray (ARI @ STL) FanDuel: $9,200/DraftKings: $9,400

Jose Quintana (CHC @ MIL) FanDuel: $8,700/DraftKings: $9,800

 

Hitters:

Joey Votto (CIN @ MIA)

FanDuel: $3,700 (1B)/DraftKings: $5,200 (1B)

Votto is up there in price tonight, and I think some will steer away from him because the Reds are playing at Marlins Park for the weekend. The matchup feels too good to not have exposure to him. Vance Worley gets the start for the Marlins, but he has been coming out of the bullpen for them. It’s foreseeable that this could turn into a bullpen game if it doesn’t go well for Worley, which shouldn’t be a concern with Votto being one of baseball’s best hitters. A guy who is known for having slow starts, Votto will build upon that as the summer heats up.

 

Edwin Encarnacion (CLE @ CWS)

FanDuel: $3,800 (1B)/DraftKings: $5,100 (1B)

There’s a lot of great options at first base tonight, and in the same salary range as Votto, Encarnacion is right up there with him. It feels like the start of something with “E5,” and is a hitter that can single handedly win a game for his team. As mentioned above with Salazar, Indians’ hitters are facing LHP, Holland. Holland is having major problems with homeruns this season, and has given up eight of them in his last four starts. For the season, Holland has given up 21 of 24 homeruns to right-handed batters. Encarnacion and the rest of the Indians have a chance for huge games at the plate.

 

Anthony Rendon (WAS vs. COL)

FanDuel: $3,700 (3B)/DraftKings: $4,600 (3B)

Rendon has been pretty good this season, and no one’s really talking about it. Overshadowed by Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy, Rendon’s low-key doing his thing. April wasn’t kind to him while batting towards the top of the order when it comes to runs, RBI’s and HR’s, but Rendon’s really picked it up since then and his production is very consistent. In terms of fantasy points, he rarely puts up a zero. The Nationals are facing Rockies’ starter, German Marquez, who is totally serviceable. As we’ve seen time and time again this season, the runs can really pour in with the Nationals, and Rendon is a great way to get exposure to that lineup if you don’t want to pay up for Harper and/or Murphy.

 

Marcus Semien (OAK vs. MIN)

FanDuel: $3,300 (SS)/DraftKings: $3,900 (SS)

It’s good to have another potential target at shortstop with Semien back. He’s really been producing over the last eight games, and I like it to continue tonight against Jaime Garcia. Just traded to the Twins, this will be Garcia’s first start with them and will be switching gears to the AL for the first time in his career. While the A’s as a team aren’t a stack to target, Semien as a one-off is viable. If Garcia’s going to have struggles, it’ll be against right-handed bats, and Semien seems to be dialed in right now and can make him pay for a mistake.

 

Josh Reddick (HOU @ DET)

FanDuel: $3,200 (OF)/DraftKings: $4,700 (OF)

Like Rendon, Reddick is another hitter that’s flying under the radar in his lineup. Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, and George Springer jump to the forefront, but Reddick has contributed when the matchup is right. Tigers’ starter, Zimmermann has a pretty hefty ERA that’s just below six. With the Astros being one of the most potent offenses in baseball, they do so by taking advantage of pitchers like this. Reddick’s been batting third with the absence of Correa, which should help with RBI’s just a tad (every point counts). He has significantly better numbers against right-handed pitchers, and the platoon is exactly what you want when rostering him.

 

Other hitters to target:

Robinson Cano (SEA vs. NYM) FanDuel: $3,300 (2B)/DraftKings: $4,400 (2B)

Freddie Freeman (ATL @ PHI) FanDuel: $3,800 (3B)/DraftKings: $4,600 (1B/3B)

Corey Dickerson (TB @ NYY) FanDuel: $2,800 (OF)/DraftKings: $4,000 (OF)

Adrian Beltre (TEX vs. BAL) FanDuel: $3,700 (3B)/DraftKings: $4,400 (3B)

Mike Moustakas (KC @ BOS) FanDuel: $3,700 (3B)/DraftKings: $3,700 (3B)

Ian Happ (CHC @ MIL) FanDuel: $2,800 (OF)/DraftKings: $4,500 (2B/OF)

 

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!


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