MLB DFS: 6/6 Pitching Notes

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There’s so many pitchers to choose from for tonight’s 15-game, MLB DFS slate. I’ll be going over a few pitchers that I really like.
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James Paxton (SEA vs. MIN)

Moneyline: -215

Over/Under: 8 1/2

FanDuel: $9,300/DraftKings: $8,800

It’s great to see Paxton back from his brief DL stint. In his first start back, he only pitched 5 1/3 innings, but didn’t give up any runs and walks, while striking out six batters against the Rockies. Paxton’s facing the Twins at home, who are striking out at a rate of 21.9% as a team. This season, Paxton currently has a swinging strike rate of 14.3%. The Twins bats get a slight downgrade with this game being at Safeco Park, and Paxton should build upon his matchup last week and continue what he started to begin the season.

 

Robbie Ray (ARI vs. SD)

Moneyline: -190

Over/Under: 8 1/2

FanDuel: $10,000/DraftKings: $11,900

We knew that Ray could emerge as a big strikeout guy, but combine that with an ERA of 3.00 and we’re definitely interested – especially tonight with him pitching against the Padres. As a team, they’re K-rate is 25.1%, which is third highest in MLB, while Ray boasts a K/9 of 10.96. Even with a positive park shift for the Padres, I’m not worried about it. Ray does give up more homeruns at home, but I believe walks are more of the problem that hurts him. We shouldn’t be as concerned with walks tonight, because the Padres don’t do much of it, with a walk rate of only 7.7%.

 

Chase Anderson (MIL vs. SF)

Moneyline: -140

Over/Under: 9

FanDuel: $8,800/DraftKings: $7,900

I’m finally able to buy into Anderson. A few weeks ago, I felt like I needed to see more and his last two starts are what I needed. It’s no secret that the Giants are having a down season, and are third to last in MLB in runs scored. It would be a better matchup for Anderson if this game were at AT&T Park, but with the Giants’ offensive shortcomings, this game at Miller Park shouldn’t shy us away. Anderson hasn’t allowed any runs in his last two starts, and hasn’t walked more than three batters in any of his starts this season. The momentum is in favor of Anderson, and the Giants may have more work cut out for them than they expect.

 

Jaime Garcia (ATL vs. PHI)

Moneyline: -117

Over/Under: 8 1/2

FanDuel: $8,200/DraftKings: $7,300

Garcia probably won’t be your pitcher on FD, but more likely an option as your second on DK. He’s pitched at least 6 2/3 innings in his last three starts, and has only allowed one earned run during this span. Garcia is a GPP play, since he doesn’t have that strikeout upside and it’s reasonable to think that some regression should be on its way. He’s pitching at home tonight against the Phillies, and it looks to be a better matchup for Garcia than it is for Phillies’ bats. The Phillies are another team who has a tough time at producing offense, and we can take advantage of Garcia and roster him while he’s usable.

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!

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