MLB DFS: 5/23 If Not, Then Who?

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There’s a lot of pitching to target tonight for MLB DFS, and we’ll take a look at some pivots for your lineups!
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If not Clayton Kershawthen Danny Duffy

Kershaw (LAD vs. STL, FanDuel: $12,600/DraftKings: $13,400) is always on our radar, so let’s put him aside and consider another southpaw. Duffy’s (KC @ NYY, FanDuel: $8,600/DraftKings: $8,800) last start was at home against the Royals, and it’s the same matchup tonight, but at Yankee Stadium. He racked up 10 strikeouts in his last start, which is the most for the season and could be partly due to an increase in his slider’s velocity, which you can see here, courtesy of Brooks Baseball. Last night, Jason Vargas didn’t pitch terribly, but a couple of homeruns did it’s damage. Duffy’s only given up two homeruns this season, and has left 77.9% of batters on base. The Royals are dogs in this game, at +125, but I still really like Duffy here.

 

If not Jon Lesterthen Patrick Corbin

Lester (CHC vs. SF, FanDuel: $10,300/DraftKings: $11,100) and the Cubs are the favorite to win this game, with a run total of just seven. While this game has a playoff-feel, with Johnny Cueto on the mound for the Giants, I have to say that I don’t have a good read on this game and wouldn’t be surprised if Lester ended up on the short end. If not Lester, then take a look at Corbin (ARI vs. CWS, FanDuel: $7,300/ DraftKings: $7,000). If you’re looking at his game log, it’s underwhelming, but look at tonight’s matchup instead. It’s against a White Sox team, who I’ve been saying all season is struggling. In comparison to last season, Corbin this season is walking less batters, stranding more runners on base, and has a lower HR/FB rate. If you’re looking for a GPP play with potential upside, look in Corbin’s direction.

 

If not Rick Porcellothen Matt Shoemaker

Porcello (BOS vs. TEX, FanDuel: $8,900/DraftKings: $8,500) has certainly not been in Cy Young form this season, and he’s facing a Rangers lineup that can score runs. In that case, especially on FD, Shoemaker (LAA @ TB, FanDuel: $8,800/DraftKings: $9,200) makes for a viable upside option. If you look at his career splits, one handedness doesn’t have an advantage over another when it comes to batters. Shoemaker’s been striking out more batters in his last two starts, and tonight he’s facing a Rays team that’s striking out at a rate of 27.1%, which is the most in MLB. The strikeout upside alone is a strong reason for me to turn to Shoemaker in this matchup.

 

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!

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