MLB DFS: 4/24 If Not, Then Who?

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It’s a new week and we have a 9-game slate for MLB DFS. Today, I have a new format that I hope to use more when fitting, and I really like it for today’s matchups. “If Not, Then Who?” will look at positional pivots as a different way of helping with your lineup construction. I hope you enjoy it!

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If not Chris Archer, then Francisco Liriano

Liriano (TOR @ LAA, FanDuel: $8,400/DraftKings: $9,700) is starting tonight against the Angels, and a lot of people are still scared off by his horrific first start of the season. But it can only get better from there, and it has been. The Angels have Mike Trout, but that team is currently 8-12 for the season, and there’s not a lot of power coming from that lineup as they are second to last in the league in ISO. Liriano has only allowed one homerun and that was in the first game against the Rays. In his last start against the Red Sox, he got back to being more of himself by getting 57.1% ground balls, and the Angels hit ground balls at a rate of 50.3%.

If not Jason Vargasthen Miguel Gonzalez

Vargas has been impressive to start the season, but don’t forget about Gonzalez (CWS vs. KC, FanDuel: $7,400/DraftKings: $7,500). Their teams are facing off against each other and I think you can play them both in the same lineup in two-pitcher formats. If you want to pick and choose, I rather side with Gonzalez. Call me crazy, but I trust Gonzalez more. He really came through for me in my season-long leagues last season, and it’s the reason why he’s always on my mind when he starts. Of his last eight starts, six of them have been quality starts. With both teams’ offenses being pretty weak so far, the QS edge on FanDuel could make all the difference.

If not Jonathan Lucroythen Jett Bandy

It’s not just the name, I promise! Bandy’s (MIL vs. CIN, FanDuel: $2,800/DraftKings: $3,000) got some pop in his bat. Lucroy’s off to a slow start, and with his price being considerably higher on DK, we should look elsewhere. Also take into consideration their position in the batting order – Bandy bats in the 6, 7, or 8 spot, while Lucroy bats 6th or 7th. You’re not paying up for Lucroy to get a higher spot in the batting order to see more at-bats, you can pivot to Bandy for a chance at his upside. Reds’ LHP, Amir Garrett, has been very good but has also given up two homeruns in each of his last two starts. This game against the Brewers’ power bats could be a recipe for disaster for him.

If not Daniel Murphythen Ryan Schimpf

Murphy and the Nationals are at Coors Field (which has already burned us too many times in the early goings). As great of a hitter he is, he won’t have the platoon to start against Rockies’ LHP, Tyler Anderson. Since July 23, 2016, Anderson has pitched six quality starts at home, which is pretty impressive. Schimpf (SD @ ARI, FanDuel: $2,700/DraftKings: $3,900) and the Padres are in Arizona, and this game will probably be a popular stack. His bat has been quiet for the last few games, and there’s a chance he’s been forgotten about. It’s a small sample size, but Greinke doesn’t perform as well at home (Chase Field) if you look at his home-road splits. His K-rate is down, walk-rate and hard contract-rate is up at home. Schimpf’s at a more comfortable price on FD, and he could be nice value for your roster.

If not Mike Troutthen Corey Dickerson

Let me start by saying that I do not think that Dickerson (TB @ BAL, FanDuel: $3,100/DraftKings: $4,100) is equal to, or better than Trout. If we’re weighing our options for tonight, Dickerson has been great so far and has a better matchup against Ubaldo Jimenez. 2016 was his first full season in the AL after being traded away from the offensive-friendly, Coors Field. Dickerson’s sporting a .271 ISO, slugging .586, with a wOBA of .398 – where he ranks top 30 in the MLB. Whether it’s a full season of AL experience, and/or shedding some weight, he’s been hitting leadoff and is still in lineups against LHPs. RHHs hit Jimenez too, and the Rays are also an option for a stack.

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!

One Comment

  1. steve

    April 24, 2017 at 1:19 pm

    i like the new twist on the article. very clever. keep up the great work

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