Making the Case for 1.01: Corey Davis

Central Michigan Corey Davis

Wide receiver Corey Davis is garnering all kinds of attention with the 2017 NFL Draft rapidly approaching. Fantasy Football owners in dynasty leagues should do much of the same as they head into rookie drafts. If you have the 1.01 in upcoming drafts, Corey Davis is the name you should be choosing.

At 6’3” and 209 pounds Davis fits the bill of a traditional top end wideout. Player Profiler has his best comparable as Jordan Matthews, a comparison that makes a ton of sense. Both Matthews and Davis can be target monsters, although they are traditionally targeted in different parts of the field. Matthews is a guy that excels in the slot role but can play on the outside. While Davis is a guy that typically lines up on the outside but can play inside. Matthews has been a 100 plus target performer in each of his three seasons and Davis should be able to do much of the same.

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While his 4.53 40 yard dash doesn’t blow anyone away, but when you factor in his height he goes from the 55th percentile to 75rd percentile per Player Profiler.  Like Matthews, Davis will have plenty of speed to perform at the next level. He also has the savvy and smarts to win as a route runner. NFL Media’s Bucky Brooks gave him high praise when he said, “Davis is the smoothest route runner to enter the draft since Amari Cooper.” If you remember back to the year Cooper was coming out he didn’t have the blazing speed of the sexier prospect to some, Kevin White but his production thus far is not in question. Davis should be able to have a similar impact.

 

His college dominator rating and breakout age show an elite performer. College dominator looks at the percentage of receiving yards and receiving touchdowns a player has vs the rest of his team. Anything over 45% is considered exceptional per Player Profiler and Davis check in at 51%. Some may chalk this up to playing in the MAC, but Davis faced plenty of quality competition in the MAC. He also was able to produce when CMU played teams like Wisconsin and Michigan State.

Corey Davis is player that not only produced in his four seasons at Western Michigan University but improved his stats year over year. After a 67 catch, 941 yard, and 6 touchdown freshman season, Davis’ production jumped to over 1,400 yards and double digit touchdowns over the following three seasons. In his final season with the Broncos, Davis caught 97 passes for 1500 yards and 19 touchdowns.

There are few teams that have been tied to Davis as possible NFL homes including the Arizona Cardinals, Tennessee Titans, Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals. The Cardinals and Titans would be the most exciting for fantasy owners. Both teams are in transition and are devoid of a true number one wide receiver.

The Titans have two first rounder and could grab Davis with one of those picks. Quarterback Marcus Mariota needs an elite option and Davis would have a chance to grab that role immediately. Rishard Matthews, Delanie Walker and the rush attack would help create space and balance to the offense.

Fitzgerald Brown Cardinals

AP Photo – Jae C. Hong

The Cardinals have an aging Larry Fitzgerald who makes a great number two wideout. With Michael Floyd moving on, the Cardinals need a physical presence on the outside. Both JJ Nelson and John Brown excel in the slot. Bruce Arians is not afraid to call a pass and Carson Palmer is very willing to throw it down the field. Davis could excel in his rookie season and beyond in Arizona. There are a few more questions in the desert about the future beyond the next 2-3 seasons.

While running backs like Leonard Fournette and Dalvin Cook may be tempting there are a ton questions about their NFL future. Does Fournette have the speed to excel in the NFL? Does Cook have the size to contribute consistently at the next level. Even if you believe they do, WRs typically last longer, are more consistent and the elite ones become incredibly valuable. Davis has the skills to pay the bills and  be a top WR at the next level. He will be my 1.01 pick in upcoming drafts.

2 Comments

  1. Alex

    April 23, 2017 at 8:07 am

    Davis played at Western Michigan, not Central.

    • Kyle Robert

      April 23, 2017 at 9:22 pm

      brain fart. Thank you!

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