MLB DFS: Value Plays for 4/5

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With a couple of the early games postponed, we look to tonight’s the 12-game slate for MLB DFS. Today, I have a few value plays for you to consider.

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Taijuan Walker (ARI vs. SF)

FanDuel: $7,500

DraftKings: $7,500

Walker had a solid spring and looks to start the year fully healthy. While Chase Field is not a park of preference when it comes to rostering pitchers, it doesn’t mean you have to completely fade them. Chase Field has a retractable roof, so that’s one thing to watch out for when it gets closer to game time if that’s a factor in your decision making. Back to Walker, you’re not paying a price where you can’t afford the higher priced bats that you want, so if he doesn’t get you the win (and/or QS on FD), you won’t be at a loss. The adjustments that he’s made should translate here in this home game. If you don’t think his improvements will stick, then maybe now is the time to play him. I think he’ll get the job done tonight against the Giants. The season is still young, but the Giants are striking out a few percentage points higher than their 2016 K-rate. The velocity bump and improvement with his secondary pitches should keep the Giants off balanced. Here’s a recent article to read up on about Walker and his changes: ESPN: Buy into strong spring from D-backs’ Taijuan Walker

J.T. Realmuto (MIA @ WAS)

FanDuel: $2,300 (C)

DraftKings: $3,500 (C)

Realmuto is too cheap for what he’s able to do in the Marlin’s lineup. He’s one of the few catchers who bats higher in the order, and he’s hitting second tonight after Dee Gordon. Realmuto possess one trait that most catchers don’t have, and that’s speed. With Tanner Roark on the mound for the Nationals, don’t let the righty-righty matchup deter you. Realmuto actually has better numbers in categories like OPS, BABIP, and wOBA, against RHPs.

Steven Souza Jr. (TB vs. NYY)

FanDuel: $2,700 (OF)

DraftKings: $3,500 (OF)

More comfortably a play for me on FD, Souza may go overlooked because of the matchup with Michael Pineda. It’s a viable option for his price on the site. Souza doesn’t have the platoon here, but he actually has reverse splits. From 2015 to 2016, he’s improved in the majority of advance stats categories against RHPs. If we’re sticking with advanced stats, Pineda HR/FB rate against RHHs (right-handed hitters) increased from 12.9% in 2015 to 19.4% in 2016. Souza can save you some salary in one of your OF spots while you spend up with another player, and hopefully he can make the most of his matchup.

Yangervis Solarte (SD @ LAD)

FanDuel: $2,500 (3B)

DraftKings: $3,200 (2B/3B)

Solarte and the Padres are facing Rich Hill tonight. Even though the Dodgers are the favorite to win this game, I do like some of the Padres’ bats. The nice thing about Solarte is that he’s a switch hitter, and shouldn’t get pinch hit during the game. Against the lefty tonight, he should bat third in the order. Usually, the left side of the platoon is more desirable with a hitter, but I like Solarte from the right side as well. Over the years, he’s gotten better against LHPs and his numbers against them are closing the gap versus those against RHPs. A fine play on both sites, Solarte’s savings can make lineup construction a little easier.

Results from 4/3 targets:

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Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!

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