Fantasy Baseball: OF Rankings (Roto)

mookie-betts

It’s time to shift our focus to my OF rankings with the infield all wrapped up, . Given the standard roto rosters outfield will always have the most players drafted so developing a good strategy to approach the position is especially important.

If you’ve checked out any of my other positional ranks this year you’ve noticed I’m trying out a new format. Instead of tiered commentary I’ve broken down my analysis into two sections; overall draft approach to the position and thoughts on individual players. Hope you enjoy the new setup and as always I’d love to hear your feedback.

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Note: I’m using a combination of Yahoo and ESPN positional eligibility which cumulatively will be more lenient than some individual sites so a few players you see here may not actually be OF eligible in your league. Additionally, I’m including players who are expected to gain OF eligibility in-season.

C | 1B | 2B| 3B | SS | OF | SP | RP

PlayerRankLeagueTeam
Mike Trout1ALAngels
Mookie Betts2ALRed Sox
Kris Bryant3NLCubs
Bryce Harper4NLNationals
Charlie Blackmon5NLRockies
Trea Turner6NLNationals
Ryan Braun7NLBrewers
Nelson Cruz 8ALMariners
Starling Marte9NLPirates
George Springer10ALAstros
A.J. Pollock11NLD'backs
Carlos Gonzalez12NLRockies
Giancarlo Stanton13NLMarlins
Andrew McCutchen14NLPirates
Yoenis Cespedes15NLMets
Justin Upton16ALTigers
Gregory Polanco17NLPirates
Christian Yelich18NLMarlins
Khris Davis19ALA's
Mark Trumbo20ALOrioles
Kyle Schwarber21NLCubs
Matt Kemp22NLBraves
Adam Jones23ALOrioles
Jose Bautista24ALBlue Jays
J.D. Martinez25ALTigers
Ian Desmond26NLRockies
Billy Hamilton27NLReds
Stephen Piscotty28NLCardinals
Jackie Bradley29ALRed Sox
Lorenzo Cain30ALRoyals
Odubel Herrera31NLPhillies
Adam Eaton32NLNationals
Miguel Sano33ALTwins
Jose Ramirez34ALIndians
Adam Duvall35NLReds
Kole Calhoun36ALAngels
Andrew Benintendi37ALRed Sox
Marcell Ozuna38NLMarlins
Dexter Fowler39NLCardinals
Hunter Pence40NLGiants
Wilson Contreras41NLCubs
Joc Pederson42NLDodgers
David Dahl43NLRockies
Eric Thames44NLBrewers
Byron Buxton45ALTwins
Carlos Gomez46ALAstros
Nomar Mazara47ALRangers
Randal Grichuk48NLCardinals
Yasmany Tomas49NLD'backs
Jay Bruce50NLMets
Carlos Beltran51ALAstros
Michael Brantley52ALIndians
Ben Zobrist53NLCubs
Keon Broxton54NLBrewers
Ender Inciarte55NLBraves
Jose Peraza56NLReds
Melky Cabrera57ALWhite Sox
Yasiel Puig58NLDodgers
Kevin Kiermaier59ALRays
Curtis Granderson60NLMets
Jacoby Ellsbury61ALYankees
Rajai Davis62ALA's
Hunter Renfroe63NLPadres
Domingo Santana64NLBrewers
Matt Holliday65ALYankees
David Peralta66NLD'backs
Max Kepler67ALTwins
Corey Dickerson68ALRays
Jarrod Dyson69ALMariners
Brett Gardner70ALYankees
Jason Heyward71NLCubs
Michael Conforto72NLMets
Jorge Soler73ALRoyals
Mitch Haniger74ALMariners
Manuel Margot75NLPadres
Josh Reddick76ALAstros
Hernan Perez77NLBrewers
Leonys Martin78ALMariners
Shin-Soo Choo79ALRangers
Kevin Pillar80ALBlue Jays
Cameron Maybin81ALAngels
Brandon Moss82ALRoyals
Scott Schebler83NLReds
Danny Valencia84ALMariners
Travis Jankowski85NLPadres
Jayson Werth86NLNationals
Tyler Naquin87ALIndians
Alex Gordon88ALRoyals
Denard Span89NLGiants
Steven Souza90ALRays
Michael Saunders91NLPhillies
Brandon Drury92NLD'backs
Seth Smith93ALOrioles
Nick Markakis94NLBraves
Andrew Toles95NLDodgers
Roman Quinn96NLPhillies
Howie Kendrick97NLPhillies
Aaron Judge98ALYankees
Chris Owings99NLD'backs
Gerardo Parra100NL Rockies

Positional Strategy

  • It pays to grab a couple high-end options early.
    • Don’t be afraid to draft a pair of top 20 outfielders in the first 4 or 5 rounds.
      • I like the depth at several of the infield spots more so than OF so this is actually preferable to waiting on the position.
  • Don’t reach for unproven rookies.
    • Their ADP has dropped some over the last few weeks, but I was never on board with drafting David Dahl or Andrew Benintendi as top 30 outfielders.
      • Aside from incredibly small samples sizes, I find the lack of a single dominant skill makes projecting these players particularly difficult.
  • I almost always try to grab at least one of the high risk-high reward power/speed guys (Carlos Gomez, Byron Buxton, Keon Broxton, etc…).
    • Roster construction has to be considered when you do this as all of these players have the potential to be huge batting average liabilities and in the case of Buxton and Broxton, lose playing time because of it.
      • At the same time, I prefer the ability to kill two birds with one stone if you will rather than reaching twice for a combination of say Adam Duvall and Jarrod Dyson.
  • Try to avoid relying on one-trick ponies for all your steals.

Player Notes

  • I’m not worried about Nelson Cruz’s age.
    • It seems like people have been expecting a drop-off for the last three years and it just hasn’t happened
    • Playing DH is helping him stay healthy and the Mariners may have one of the strongest lineups in the AL this season.
  • I don’t expect to have many, if any shares of Starling Marte this season.
    • Given the park and his poor plate discipline I don’t think he’s ever going to be more than a 12-15-homer guy and I need at least average power from my top outfielder.
  • Don’t overlook Matt Kemp.
    • He’s streaky, but Atlanta’s lineup really came together in the second half of last season and their new park is expected to be more power friendly.
      • While I can’t rank him there yet, I can easily see Kemp performing similarly to Andrew McCutchen or Yoenis Cespedes and he’s coming at a 40 pick discount.
  • Matt Holliday and Corey Dickerson should provide great value late in drafts.
    • Park and lineup are key for Holliday, add in the health benefit of playing DH and he’s a 20 homer 80 RBI guy going outside the top 240
    • Going from Colorado to Tampa killed Dickerson’s average last season, but the counting numbers were still useful.
      • He’s talented enough to make the necessary adjustments so I’d expect him to hit closer to .270 in 2017.

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