NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2016

Matthew Stafford

Would you look at that? We get to enter Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread off of a winning week. InWeek 6 the column week 3-2 and honestly should have been 4-1 if the Seahawks finished what they started at home. That said, we can use last week as a building block for the rest of the season. On the season the column sits at an underwhelming 12-17-1. There is still time to rebound, something I did last season finishing at an impressive 63% ATS. Lets keep marching forward and have a great Week 7!

Detroit Lions vs Washington Redskins Over 49.5

Both of these teams have shown two things for most of the season, an ability to score a ton of points and inability to stop anyone. The Redskins have gone over in every game they have played this season but one. The Lions have gone over in four of their six game this season including two in a row. Look for Matthew Stafford to find Marvin Jones, Golden Tate and company all over the field and finishing drives in the end zone. Expect Kirk Cousins and his teammates to do the same especially if Jordan Reed is able to return. I do like the Redskins in this game if you want a side to root for as well. That said, take the over and enjoy the fireworks.

Pick: Over 49.5

Spencer Ware

Jake Roth – USA TODAY Sports

Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 vs New Orleans Saints

I love this spot for the Kansas City Chiefs as they return home after an impressive win against the Oakland Raiders on the road. They were able to re-establish the run game. They should be able to do much of the same against a very poor Saints defense. Quarterback Drew Brees is a much better option at home vs on the road. Last season Brees threw only 9 of his 32 touchdowns on the road and had 800 fewer yards. This season has been much of the same averaging 235 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. Take the Chiefs who will control the ball and cover the touchdown at home.

Pick: Chiefs -6.5

San Diego Chargers +6.5 at Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons have been very impressive thus far this season including playing well in back to back road game against the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks. And yet in this spot I love the Chargers. The Chargers have kept all of their games close and have found ways to lose in dramatic fashion. The Falcons have done a phenomenal job of covering each week doing so five weeks in a row. That kind of consistency has the public running to the window and this line a couple of points too high. Give me Mr. Bolo Tie himself on the road chucking the ball like crazy.

Pick: Chargers +6.5

Broncos Von Miller

Kelley L Cox – USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos -7.5 vs Houston Texans

This game sets up really nicely for anyone who wants to take the Broncos. Denver returns home licking their wounds after a poor performance against the Chargers. They will have their coach Gary Kubiak back on the sidelines and have Trevor Siemian fully healthy after 10 days off. The welcome a Texans team that pulled a game out of their ass on Sunday Night Football. Oh and Brock Osweiler makes his valiant homecoming. This defense will be licking their chops to take out their frustrations on him. The Broncos get up big in this game and don’t look back covering the number and then some.

Pick: Broncos -7.5

New York Jets PK vs Baltimore Ravens

Say it with me, “Let’s go with Geno!” That’s right Geno Smith will be under center for the New York Jets and i’m taking them. They have looked miserable the past few weeks but Smith is an upgrade from the human turnover machine Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Ravens come to town with a depleted wide receiving corps and a team that relies heavily on the run. The Jets for all their struggles can slow down running backs not named David Johnson. Will it be pretty? No. Should you watch this game? I wouldn’t. But, will the Jets win? Yes they will!

Pick: Jets PK

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