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College Football Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2016
Welcome to Week 7 of the College Football season. Last week was a little underwhelming going 2-2-1 after a 4-1 week but Week 7 has some tasty matchups that provide a fantastic opportunity to rebound and improve the season total of 16-12-1. This week features massive games in both the Big 10 and the SEC. It also provides two teams driving the struggle bus a chance to bounce back and right the ship. Let’s pick some winners in this weeks College Football Picks Against the Spread!
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3 vs Stanford Cardinal
These two teams came into the season with high expectations and had the College Football Playoff on their mind. Unfortunately for both of these teams their seasons have gone off the rails and they’re just hoping to make a bowl game with six wins. I love the Irish in this spot. The one thing Notre Dame can do is throw the ball and Stanford can’t stop the pass whatsoever. Deshone Kizer will throw all over this defense and score a ton of points. The Cardinal offense is a mess and they might not have Christian McCaffrey for this game. Take the Irish to rebound this week and cover the 3 point spread.
Pick: Notre Dame -3
Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide -13
Here we go again with a team that just won’t quit. They are the college football cockroach this season. Just when you think they’re dead and buried, they make an impressive comeback. This week the face a Crimson Tide team that has looked the part of the number one team in the nation. A team that won’t quit or ease up to let teams back in games. They are also an opportunistic defense that gets to the quarterback, forces interceptions, and more importantly finds a way to score touchdowns on defense. For the Vols running the ball opens up everything they do, taking pressure off of Joshua Dobbs and lets their defense rest. It’s going to be tough sledding for both Alvin Kamara and Jalen Hurd this week as they face a Crimson Tide defense that is allowing less than 70 yards rushing per game. The Vols defense on the other hand has significant trouble stopping the run allowing 183 yards per game on the ground including an insane 353 to Texas A&M last week. The Tide roll in this spot and cover the two touchdowns and then some.
Pick: Alabama -13
Kansas State +14 at Oklahoma Sooners
The Oklahoma Sooners come into this game after a win in the Red River Rivalry. A game in which the Sooners had almost 250 more total yards than the Longhorns and yet, only won by five points. OU still have big question marks on the defensive side of the ball ones that can be exploited. The person who will be scheming up ways to exploit those weaknesses this week? The one and only Bill Snyder. The Sooners showed yet again the trouble they have stopping the run and face a K State squad that has shown the ability to pound the rock. They are averaging 188.8 yards pers game on the ground including 231 yards a week ago against Texas Tech. The Wildcats will need to slow down Baker Mayfield and the quick strike Sooner passing attack that seemed more dynamic with a healthy Dede Westbrook a week ago. The early kick should help this game start a little slow and stay close. Take Kansas State and Bill Snyder plus those points in Norman.
Pick: Kansas State +10.5
Ohio State Buckeyes -10 at Wisconsin Badgers
This is a bad spot for the Wisconsin Badgers this week welcoming the Ohio State Buckeyes to Madison. They have looked the part of a strong team all season with a stout defense allowing the 6th fewest rushing yards in the country. They employ a strong running game that has averaged 161 yards pers game on the ground. The Buckeyes are a different animal however, and will do something the rest of the teams on Wisconsin’s schedule have yet to do, spread them out. J.T. Barrett and company will not run straight at them like the other teams have done and instead attack the edges of the defense. A scheme that currently has them averaging 323 yards per game, good for third in the country. The Buckeyes have a stout defense that is allowing less than 100 yards per game on the ground and playmakers in the back end of their defense who have 10 interceptions this year. I think the Buckeyes go on the road and make a big statement proving they are the class of the Big 10.
Pick: Ohio State -10
West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders Over 83
Anytime I see a total this high I find myself wanting to pound the over. The last number I remember over 80 was when Texas played at California. West Virginia is a high-powered air raid offense that gets to face an atrocious Red Raider defense. Quarterback Skyler Howard should have a field day. Texas Tech also has a dynamic offense that loves to throw the ball all over the yard with quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The 38 points they scored against Kansas State last week was their lowest output of the season and they scored 28 of the points in the first half. This is a team that scored 55, 59, 55, and 69 the four weeks prior. Sit back and enjoy the offensive explosion.
Pick: Over 83