MLB DFS: Targets for 9/23

Can Hamels be a top fantasy pitcher in hitter friendly Texas?

Baseball season is coming to an end so get your MLB DFS fix while you can!

Pitchers

Cole Hamels (TEX @ OAK)

Moneyline: -152

Over/Under: 8

FanDuel: $9,500/DraftKings: $9,300

There isn’t much to choose from in terms of top-tier pitching for tonight, and eventually settled on Hamels as one of the pitchers that I’m comfortable with. He has a positive park shift with this game being in Oakland. The A’s are coming out of a sweep against the Astros, and momentum is not in their favor. The Rangers are the front-runner to win the AL West, but that doesn’t mean they should stop trying to win games. Strange things happen in baseball.

James Paxton (SEA @ MIN)

Moneyline: -134

Over/Under: 9

FanDuel: $7,300/DraftKings: $8,400

The line for the win is not what you hope for when targeting a pitcher, but Paxton looks to be in a good position tonight against the Twins, who have only scored nine runs in their last six games. Paxton has been able to avoid giving up home runs in his last two starts. His strikeouts do fluctuate, but he’s facing a Twins team who have a K-rate of 22.6% for the season. With the combination of the upside in strikeouts and the Mariners facing Kyle Gibson, it could be a good night for Paxton.

Other pitchers to consider: Drew Pomeranz (BOS @ TB), and Francisco Liriano (TOR vs. NYY).

Pitchers to target against:

Shelby Miller (ARI @ BAL)

Miller is still struggling, and tonight he’s facing a Baltimore team who leads the league in home runs. He’s allowing 1.4 HR/9, and this is a spot to stack the Orioles. Chris Davis, Manny Machado, Mark Trumbo, and Pedro Alvarez are all under $4k on FanDuel, and under $5k on DraftKings. On a night where high-priced pitching isn’t available, there’s more salary to spend on hitters and an Orioles stack is do-able.

Bryan Mitchell (NYY@ TOR)

This is another good spot to roster against Mitchell. He hasn’t been pitched deep into any of his three game starts, and has allowed 10 runs in his last two. Over his career, Mitchell has higher strikeout rate against left-handed bats, and reverse splits in a small sample size for this season, which looks like Devon Travis, Russell Martin, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, and Josh Donaldson are all in play.

Andrew Cashner (MIA vs. ATL)

The Braves offense has really turned in around in the last 2 1/2 months, and they crushed Cashner in their last meeting for seven runs in two innings with no strikeouts. As a Braves fan, it’s been tough to watch them over the past three years, but after acquiring Matt Kemp the batting order has really taken shape and more importantly, it’s been steady. If you’re targeting Braves’ bats, the usual of: Freddie Freeman, Kemp, and Ender Inciarte are probably on your list. Don’t forget about Adonis Garcia, who has been hitting right-handed pitching much better since the start of the season.

A Couple of hot takes!

Braves Matt Kemp

Brett Davis – USA TODAY Sports

Matt Kemp – it’s his birthday today, so does that mean he’ll hit a birthday home-run? He may have started the celebration early with hitting two last night, but maybe the party will continue on.

Miguel Gonzalez – He’s pitching in Cleveland tonight with Trevor Bauer on the mound for them. Bauer’s been terrible and I would trust Gonzalez more in this match up if I had to choose between the two. He has seven quality starts in his last eight games started. It’s probably a play better suited for DraftKings if you’re not confident with Gonzalez getting the win.

Results from 9/16 targets:

2016_09-16

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!

For more help winning your fantasy baseball league check out Fake Pigskin’s 60 Feet 6 Inches podcast on iTunes and Stitcher

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