Fantasy Football – Dynasty Stock Market – Week 1

Photo: Greg Buch | FFSwami.com

Well week 1 is officially in the books and time to find those fantasy football dynasty gems that others may be overlooking or undervaluing. This column will be directed at the dynasty aspect of the game and is focusing on long-term planning, although it will have some overlap with the redraft column.

This series will be focusing on players that are owned in less than 50% in leagues.

Wide Receivers

Laquon Treadwell – No stats to speak of and didn’t see the field. Just screams a buying opportunity, right? Somewhere out there is an owner panicking because Treadwell put up a goose egg. Yes, the Vikings will be run heavy this year with Bridgewater out so this will further depress his stats creating an even bigger opportunity. Try cashing in on those flash players that come every year and see if you can steal him away. Keep in mind he went high in drafts so patience is key.

Tyler Boyd – 2-3 rec, 24 yds – A.J. Green stole the show so not much more was available to go around. Looking to the contract side of the team will show that LaFell is a FA after this year and will not be back. There will be a void to fill opposite of Green and Boyd looks to be the one to fill that role.

Eli Rogers – 6-7 rec, 59 yds, 1 TD – 2nd on the team in receiving behind only Antonio Brown. The TD came on a ridiculous bounce off of Sammie Coates’ hands. Rogers was the target on Big Ben’s interception but Rogers did atone with the aforementioned TD. He received more playing time due to Wheaton being a scratch but he has earned a spot on the field with his play.

Josh Doctson – 1-1 rec,  9 yds – On a night that the Redskins looked horrible, we need to look past the box score. Desean Jackson is a UFA after this season and joins Garcon on the way out. Look for the Redskins to bring in/draft another receiver next year to go with Doctson and Crowder. The fantasy points this year will not be great but the future looks brighter. If you can buy low now or early this season from a frustrated owner, it will pay off handsomely later on.

Breshad Perriman – 1-2 rec, 35 yds – So the box score doesn’t stand out but the opportunity does. Yes, he missed all of last year and yes he missed the majority of the off-season this year. He is also playing behind Wallace and Smith Sr. so you can use all of these reasons to buy low. Perriman will be brought along slowly but is the future there in Baltimore. Check in with the Perriman owner in a few weeks and see if you can’t buy low.

Tyrell Williams – 2-5 rec,  71 yds – Led the team in receiving. Keenan Allen is lost for the year (ACL) Benjamin will be the #1 but he is the speed element and is not a #1 receiver. Williams, along with Woodhead, will absorb the majority of the targets vacated by Allen.

Jamison Crowder – 6-10 rec, 58 yds – Crowder is a mainstay at the slot position for the Redskins and has cemented his roster spot for beyond this year (see Josh Doctson). On a team that has a running game stuck in the mud, Cousins will be throwing quite a bit and looks Crowder’s way often. Consider Crowder a poor man’s Jarvis Landry if you will, as Cousin’s security valve. If you can get him as a throw in or as a secondary piece of a trade, it will be worth it down the road.

Chris Conley – 4-7 rec, 43 yds – Spencer Ware stole the show no doubt but Conley is quietly laying the foundation for later on. The Chiefs will not be playing a terrible Chargers defense every week and Smith won’t be airing it out to the extent he did on Sunday. Good thing is Conley is operating as the #2 receiver in KC but the bad news is it’s still Alex Smith. Conley would be a longer term stash until Smith leaves or Conley hits his second contract, hopefully somewhere with a better QB.

Quincy Enunwa – 7-8 rec, 54 yds, 1 TD – Playing the slot role with no real tight ends on the roster to speak of, Enunwa exploded on the scene. Besides Decker and Marshall, the Jets are void of talent in the receiving game. The opportunity is there for the taking and Enunwa looks ready to step up. He can be had for virtually nothing and is probably sitting out on the waiver wire in majority of leagues. At that price, he is hard to pass up.

Running Backs

Theo Riddick – 7-45, 1 TD, 5-5 rec, 63 yds, 1 TD – 2nd on team in receiving yards and only his 2nd career TD on the ground. Great PPR back so he is a sure hold in PPR leagues but sell high in non-PPR if you can.

Jerick McKinnon – 1-6 yds, 1-2 rec, 3 yds rec – Stats look horrible but need to look at the opportunity. Yes, he is sitting behind an aging running back in Peterson and has a terrible QB situation, even with Bradford taking over as soon as this week. The game plan will still be run heavy and the Vikings want to keep Peterson fresh for the season. McKinnon already holds stand alone value as the 3rd down back and there is nobody else on the roster to compete with for touches in the backfield if Peterson were to get injured and miss time.

Dwayne Washington – 2-1 yds, 1 TD – The stats are nothing to write home about but possibly taking over as the goal-line back …well that is something else. Washington sent Zach Zenner to the bench as a healthy scratch but this has been coming for a few week’s now as he played ahead of Zenner in the last preseason game. With Riddick taking the PPR side of the backfield, Washington has taken a hold of the short yardage/goal-line work which is where his value lies. He is virtually un-owned outside of the deepest of dynasty leagues and is worth a speculative pickup.

Jalen Richard – 3-84 yds, 1 TD – The 75 yard run had many owners asking “Who was that?” and scrambling to Google. Richard was an UDFA out of Southern Mississippi and promptly outplayed Taiwan Jones and George Atkinson with Atkinson being released and Jones demoted to 4th string. While DeAndre Washington is ahead of him (for now), Richard out performed him and is stating his case for backing up Latavius Murray. With the Raiders wanting to run this year, Murray should be looking over his shoulder. Keep in mind that Murray’s contract is up after this year and if Richard keeps producing, Murray could be looking for a new home in the off season. If you can find room, Richard is worth an end of the roster stash that may pay off huge as earlier as this season.

Tight Ends

Clive Walford – 3-5, 25 yds – With Walford finally cementing the #1 role in Oakland, brighter days are ahead. Amari Cooper stole the show this week but one huge thing worked in Clive’s favor – Mychal Rivera was a healthy scratch. Last year, Walford played behind Rivera and fought for the little bit of stats that Rivera didn’t get. With the Raiders handing the role over to Walford this year, the lid is popped. Now we must temper expectations a bit as he is still only in his second year and tight ends historically take several years to develop but the talent is there. I would expect Walford to end up as a mid TE2 but he has potential to grow into a mid to low TE1 as the older TEs retire and his role grows in Oakland. The opportunity to buy is still wide open and most savvy dynasty owners know that TEs take a while. If you can afford to stash now, he may pay off some now but this is more of an acquire and hold.

Jesse James – 5-7, 31 yds – With Ladarius Green sidelined, James is making the most of his opportunity. Just like with Clive, tight ends take a bit to come on and contribute but being the #1 TE on a team that likes to throw won’t hurt. With Green’s health a major concern, James could be a fill in option for now or possibly a more long option. Consider James in the mold of security valve TEs hence the high targets but low yardage. I expect the touchdowns to come but not in great bunches. If you can stash until a decision on Green is made, the return on investment could be high given the minimal cost now as he is virtually free.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins – 1-1, 30 yds, 1 TD– Sad thing is that ASJ has to be mentioned here as his ownership % has dropped quite a bit. The fact that he is a “co-starter” and his sideline antics, while comical, could have cost him a starting position, at least early on in the season. I don’t see Brate as a threat to him that is if ASJ gets his act together and flies right. This young Bucs team needs major help in the receiving game to complement Mike Evans and the opportunity is there for the taking. With a QB like Winston, ASJ is a great buy low candidate but the window will be closing soon. Use the preseason, as well as the rotating with Brate and Stocker, as talking points in negotiations. I would still expect some bumps in the road but the future is bright.

 

For more Fantasy Football coverage check out Fake Pigskin’s Angle of Pursuit podcast on iTunes and Stitcher.

Follow me on twitter @DaTrajik2

 

 

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