- NBA DFS: Better Late than Never
- 2017 Fantasy Baseball Busts
- Fantasy Baseball: Staff Relief Pitcher Rankings
- Kyle Schwarber: Fantasy Superstar or Bust?
- Fantasy Baseball: Auction Draft Strategy
- 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers
- 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers
- NBA DFS: Targets for 3/20
- Fantasy Baseball: Staff First Base Rankings
- Fantasy Baseball: Staff Catcher Rankings
2QB Dynasty League Intro – The Groundwork
In fantasy football dynasty leagues, the focus is on finding the players who will be around for the longest, and produce the most fantasy points over that time. In two quarterback leagues however, there are almost always teams that never get off the ground because they didn’t address the most scarce position up front.
It’s a simple mathematical problem: In twelve-team leagues, twenty-four quarterbacks are required to start each and every week including bye weeks. There aren’t thirty-six starting quarterbacks in a thirty-two team NFL league, and quality ones cut the number down even more. The overall winning team in a 2QB league is almost always the one that has two top quarterbacks plus a startable backup and did enough research to find value at other positions early on. My 2QB dynasty articles will address the format and provide both general and specific strategy for drafts, trades, team management and long-term vision.
I need to note up front that this differs from “superflex” leagues where you’re only required to start 1QB. In a 2QB league, you’re required to start two, which is where these strategies can be used against your opponents. You’re essentially attempting to strangle them out with the format.
I joined my first two quarterback (redraft) team in 2010 and I was hooked. I researched the format and saw the scarcity problems right away. I picked up Aaron Rodgers and Tony Romo in the first two rounds and later added Joe Flacco in a trade when Tony Romo broke his collarbone. Because I was handicapped without a starting WR or RB in the first two rounds, I had to find the value in later rounds. I picked Brandon Marshall in the third round and took a chance on someone who was starting to turn heads in his team’s practices – Arian Foster – in the fourth. I was also starting to hear good things about a guy named LeSean McCoy and I added him in the fifth. Needless to say, it was a good year. I didn’t win as I had one hard-luck playoff week, but I put forth a good team and it left me hungry for trophies on my shelf.
So here’s the basic overarching strategy. Imagine you’re in an upcoming 2QB dynasty draft. You have the fourth pick in the first round. Who are you going to get at that spot? Send your mind off into the future a moment. If you spent your first round pick on Julio Jones and your second round pick on Randall Cobb, then your starting quarterbacks – because you’re required to start two each week – are probably going to be some combination of Joe Flacco, Kirk Cousins, Derek Carr and Carson Wentz. While you may think, if you’ve been in fantasy football before, that this is a fine group of quarterbacks you will not win a league with them. That’s not a stretch; a current league I’m in has a team with Flacco and Blaine Gabbert as his starters. Brett Hundley is the quarterback filling in on bye weeks, when we all know Hundley isn’t even playing unless Aaron Rodgers gets injured. Another team is currently trying to field two of Teddy Bridgewater, Geno Smith, Kirk Cousins and Robert Griffin III. Don’t get me wrong, these teams have great wide receivers and running backs, but they aren’t going to the playoffs. And even worse, it’s a dynasty league. They will be fighting over who gets Jared Goff in the draft, and I don’t see Goff turning into the next Tom Brady. The guy with the second overall pick in this year’s draft has Russell Wilson, Jimmy Garoppolo (who will only start four games this year), Josh McCown and Nick Foles as his starters.
As you think of that bleak future in your dynasty league, you come back to your draft and see Aaron Rodgers sitting there at 1.04 right next to Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown. Andrew Luck went at 1.01, Cam Newton was the 1.02 and Odell Beckham was the 1.03, much to your dismay. “Is this really dynasty?” you cry out. “Does no one covet Dez, Gronk, Julio and Gurley as much as I do? They should have gone at 1.01!” You can shake your fist at the sky all you’d like, but you need to get the quarterback.
It’s ok, I have a few gray hairs myself.
Doesn’t that future seem uncomfortable – going into a season with, say, Mike Glennon and Ryan Fitzpatrick as your starting quarterbacks when you’re required to start both of them? It’s like trying to win a championship with Jonathan Stewart and Charcandrick West as your starting running backs or Vincent Jackson and Michael Crabtree as your starting wide receivers. There are lots of starting running backs (who are constantly changing roles due to injury) and plenty of wide receivers. Gronk is a reasonable add at that point, but there’s only one of him. 10 weeks out of the season you won’t be facing the guy with Gronk at his disposal. If you can go in with Russell Wilson and Ben Roethlisberger, both high confidence quarterbacks, you can whip 75 percent of the league in that position. Add a late round guy who’s been kicked around like Cutler (but he’s still starting!) and you’ve got a team that can contend.
In most leagues, the quarterback is not a high priority target because there are enough top guys to go around. In 2QB leagues, that strategy is thrown out for the same reason. There are only about twelve quarterbacks who produce top numbers and some of those are close to retiring. Imagine playing with a 385 point-producing QB and a 347 point QB (Like Wilson and Rodgers) versus a 240 point QB and a 202 point QB (Like Bridgewater and Flacco). That’s a handicap of 290 points! And if your guy gets injured like Romo breaking his collarbone again last year without you having the top spot in waivers, you’ve officially screwed the pooch. Pack it up and come back next year.
But next year… Oh, yeah right. This is dynasty. You’re screwed then too. Who’s going to save you then? Jared Goff or Carson Wentz? Both low confidence dynasty starters. Paxton Lynch who seems to be falling behind seventh round pick Trevor Siemian in camp? Well, maybe Brett Hundley or Bryce Petty can save you.
In a few years.
This article was originally posted in May 2015 and has been updated to include current player data.