One Loose Lug Nut – Daily Fantasy NASCAR – Toyota/Save Mart 350

kurt busch

Toyota Save Mart 350

After a long couple of weeks without a race, we are back to racing this week at Sonoma Raceway. For all of you casual fans this means that not only will we be turning left, but we will also be turning right as Sonoma is a road course. The race will span 218.9 miles and 110 laps at the Raceway. Drivers will make a total of 12 turns in both directions (yes I said both directions). Being a NASCAR purist I never thought that I would get into road courses, but I have learned to love them over the last couple of years. On a track that used to provide us with a lot of “Road Course Ringers” now we see a lot of the Sprint Cup drivers who have added road course racing to their list of skills. Last years winner, Kyle Busch, made Sonoma a notch on his belt as he pushed toward his first Sprint Cup Championship. It wouldn’t surprise me to see Kyle up close to the front again this week.  This week I will provide 5 top end daily fantasy NASCAR plays and 5 value plays. One Loose Lug Nut is presented by UTV Family. Check them out at utvfamily.com or on twitter @utvfamily they are giving away a 2016 Polaris Rzr Turbo. For every $5 spent at their website you’ll get entered into the raffle to win!

UTV Family

Draftkings has a $115K NASCAR Slingshot contest this week. Click Here and make your picks. First Place wins $10K and bragging rights for a year.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Picks

Top End Picks

1. Kurt Busch

I went back and forth with this pick for a couple of hours and eventually went the way of the place differential. Kurt has the best active lifetime driver rating at Sonoma of 109. He has the most laps in the top 15 and has led the most laps. He qualified in the 5th spot and should give Edwards and Allmendinger a fit early and often. I love his past history, but I also love his ability to score dominator points and place differential on DraftKings.

2. AJ Allmendinger 

If you are looking for a “Road Course Ringer” with win potential this week, look no further than AJ. AJ has built his season on the road course races over the past couple of years and uses them to sneak into the Chase. He qualified in the 2nd spot and barring a catastrophe (last year) will stay up front most of the race.

3. Jimmie Johnson

Johnson can do a little bit of everything and driving at a road course is no different. He has the 2nd highest driver rating of 101 at Sonoma and has spent a lot of time in the top 15. I love that he qualified in the 15th spot and could easily see him competing for a win at the end of this one.

4. Kyle Busch

Last years winner, has two wins at Sonoma and can be a boom or bust guy. His aggressive style of driving can bid well for the road course and I love his 8th starting position. He has a driver rating of 88 here and may be one of the big name guys that goes overlooked here.

5. Kevin Harvick

Throw practice, past history, his sponsorship and a Budweiser out of the window. Kevin Harvick starting in the 25th spot of any race means sign me up. He will easily pull down place differential points and he is another guy that could compete for the win.

Value Picks

1. Matt Kenseth

He qualified in the 23rd spot, but this is another play similar to Kevin Harvick. He cost only 7,600 on DraftKings, any elite driver from an elite team that costs under 8k, sign me up. I think he will be highly owned, but rightfully so tomorrow.

2. Clint Bowyer

Bowyer has an average lifetime finishing position of 8.6 at Sonoma and an average finish of 6th at Sonoma over the last two years. He has a driver rating of 96.7 and will roll off in the 18th spot. Daily fantasy NASCAR players should easily be able to fit Bowyer into their lineups this week.

3. Casey Mears

I love Mears price this week and his overall consistency. He isn’t a guy that provides a lot of flare, but he gets the job done week in and week out. If you are looking to stack the upper tier he provides you with a lot of salary relief. He qualified in the 14th spot, which scares me a little, but I could see him sneaking into the top 10.

4. Greg Biffle

The Bif is an under the radar guy every week (just like his teammate Trevor Bayne). Greg will start in the 32nd spot, but definitely won’t end there. He has an 81.4 driver rating and an average finish of 13th lifetime at Sonoma. I say 12 spots and at least a top 20 finish this weekend.

5. Ryan Blaney

Blaney will make his Sonoma Cup debut, but has done well at road courses on the lower NASCAR series. I love his 26th qualifying spot and feel that he could work his way up into the top 15. I also think that he will have low ownership this week.

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