One Loose Lug Nut – Daily Fantasy NASCAR – FireKeepers Casino 400

Brad Keselowski Nascar

FireKeepers Casino 400

I don’t even want to discuss last weeks Monday race at Pocono. In all of my fandom I though Junior would catch Kurt Busch and pull down the win. However, when I remembered where we were racing this week everything got better. Junior has a great history at this track and qualified in a spot to score a lot of daily fantasy points. Last years winner Kurt Busch, is coming off of a win last week, but only has a 90.9 lifetime driver rating at Michigan. Drivers will be faced with a tweak in the aero package and will have reduced sideforce (another desperate attempt to even the playing field). We will see 200 laps at the two mile track, so you will need to pick out one dominator and then fill with place differential guys. This week I will provide 5 top end daily fantasy NASCAR plays and 5 value plays (to satisfy my one twitter fan, love you mom!) One Loose Lug Nut is presented by UTV Family. Check them out at utvfamily.com or on twitter @utvfamily they are giving away a 2016 Polaris Rzr Turbo. For every $5 spent at their website you’ll get entered into the raffle to win!

UTV Family

Draftkings has a $100K NASCAR Slingshot contest this week. Click Here and make your picks. First Place wins $10K and bragging rights for a year.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Picks

Sam Sharpe - USA TODAY Sports

Sam Sharpe – USA TODAY Sports

Top End Picks

1. Joey Logano 

The Penske Fords look good again this week and Logano has found himself on the pole. Fords have won at Michigan 34 times (hmmm Detroit). Logano didn’t look great in the first practice, posting a 17th best time, but that was just play time. Logano has an average finish of 6th at Michigan since 2014 and has led 16% of the laps. I think he will provide quite a few dominator points tomorrow.

2. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 

Junior starts way back, but definitely won’t end up there. He qualified in the 27th spot and could easily find his way to the top 10. He is tied with Joey Logano for average finish since 2014. He also has a 98.6 driver rating here lifetime and a 105.8 since 2014. I know you all remember the Batman car, the Dark Knight may find his way back to victory lane this week.

3. Kevin Harvick

Harvick is starting in 29th. I will take him and all the place differential points he can give me. He has an 8.75 average finish since 2014 and is just that good every week. Barring any monumental collapse he will end up in the top 10 and score you an easy 50+ fantasy points.

4. Brad Keselowski

BK doesn’t have as far to go to get to the front, starting in 15th, but I can promise you he will get there. Close to his pole sitting teammate, BK has a 6.50 average finish since 2014. He also has the best average finish of 7th in the June races. He will be fast and should provide you with some nice place differential points. I may have to roll a Penske stack like everyone else in America.

5. Chase Elliot

Don’t be mad, but Chase has been on fire at similar tracks this season. He qualified in 10th and could easily work his way up to the top 5. He has a 105.1 driver rating at 2 mile tracks since 2014 and definitely has the equipment to perform. I am on the rookie for a potential win this week.

Value Picks

1. Clint Bowyer

Say what you want about Bowyer and his performance this year, but I’ll take him any day starting 34th. Bowyer has an average finish of 16.75 here (in better equipment) and should take advantage of the aero package tweaks. I like him to work his way up into the top 25 and easily hit value.

2. Paul Menard

Menard has an average finish of 7th here since 2014. He starts in 32nd, but definitely won’t finish there. He should easily be a top 20 guy considering his track history and his equipment.

3. Ty Dillon

I wish Ty would have qualified worse, but I still think he will be a strong play. He had a nice run at Pocono last week in the 95 car and finished 21st. He could easily put up a top 15 and hit value.

4. Aric Almirola

Almirola is another guy that qualified in a great spot. Almirola will start 30th and has an average finish since 2014 of 21st. I can’t pass up free fantasy points and that seems to be what Almirola provides us this weekend.

5. Michael Annett 

Where else can Michael Annett go, but up. Annett qualified in the 39th spot and has an average finish of 31.5 with some decent place differential performances. If I am stacking the top end of my line, Annett fits nicely.

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