One Loose Lug Nut – Daily Fantasy NASCAR – Axalta 400

Sam Sharpe - USA TODAY Sports

Axalta 400

Last week at the Coca Cola 600 we witnessed pure domination. Surprisingly, this domination came from last years Spring Pocono winner Martin Truex Jr. Truex led 588 miles and was a daily fantasy NASCAR gem at Charlotte. His domination doesn’t seem to have carried over to Pocono this week as his practice time wasn’t great and he qualified outside of the top 10. For Daily Fantasy NASCAR this week, place differential and finishing position will be king. Leading laps are usually important, but due to the size of Pocono (2.5 miles) and only 160 laps, leading  laps and fast laps won’t be as important this week. If you can pick the right lap dominator and some nice place differential picks you should be in the money this week. Let’s run down the top 10 plays this week at the Axalta 400. One Loose Lug Nut is presented by UTV Family this week. Check them out at utvfamily.com or on twitter @utvfamily they are giving away a 2016 Polaris Rzr Turbo. For every $5 spent at their website you’ll get entered into the raffle to win!

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Draftkings has a $250K NASCAR Beast contest this week. Click Here and make your picks. First Place wins $50K and bragging rights for a year.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Picks

1. Joey Logano

Logano won her in 2012. Both Penske Ford’s have looked tough and Logano led the first two rounds of qualifying. Joey has a lifetime driver rating at Pocono of 91.7. I like how Penske looks this week and think he could find some laps at the front.

2. Brad Keselowski

BK took down the pole this week and grabbed his first pole at Pocono. BK also has a 91.7 Driver Rating lifetime at Pocono and an average finish of 11th over the last four years. I am on the Penske train and think dominator points could from one of the two drivers.

3. Jimmie Johnson 

Jimmie qualified in the 7th spot and has the potential for dominator points as well as some decent place differential points if he finishes in the top spot. Over the last three races at Pocono in June he has an average finishing position of 3.3. He has a 106.9 Driver Rating lifetime at Pocono and he won in 2013. Hendrick Motorsports has done well at Pocono and should repeat this performance tomorrow.

4. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 

Junior has the Hendrick title going for him, but he also hasn’t been to shabby at Pocono as of late. He won in 2014 and has the best average finishing position at Pocono over the last 4 years. He qualified in 8th and had a place differential of plus 9 last season. I think we could see a plus 7 this year and a potential win for Junior.

Dale Earnhardt Jr

Jerry Markland

5. Kyle Larson 

Larson has been awesome over the last four races, but has also been great at Pocono since he started with the big boys. He qualified in the 21st spot, but has an average finish of 9th since 2014. Larson should be a great place differential play and may even slip into the top 10.

6. Denny Hamlin

Denny qualified in the 10th spot, but is part of Joe Gibbs racing and could easily find himself at the front of the pack this week. He has an average running position of 10.7, has led the most laps here and has the most laps in the top 15. Its hard to pick against a guy that has all the stats and could win.

7. Ryan Newman

Newman has a pretty good history at Pocono with a 92.9 driver rating. He qualified in 22nd and has an average finish of 12.4 at Pocono. He should also make for a great place differential play this week.

8. Kyle Busch

Busch qualified in 12th and also presents us with a nice place differential play. He doesn’t have the best track record at Pocono with an 85.8 driver rating lifetime, but it’s Kyle Busch and he has the ability to be top 5 every week.

9. Kevin Harvick

I like Kevin Harvick every week, but I wish he would have qualified outside of the top 4. He has an average finish of 15th at Pocono, but should have a tough time gaining an advantage on the Penske Ford’s or Hendrick cars. I think he will finish high, but won’t score you a lot of daily fantasy NASCAR points.

10. Martin Truex Jr.

Last weeks 600 winner hasn’t looked great in practice and qualified 17th. We all know how he dominated the 600 and his team has the ability to run well on race day. Over the last four years he has a 15.25 finish, but carries a 99.9% driver rating. I like his place differential potential as he should work his way into the top 10 this week.

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