NASCAR DraftKings Dover Preview

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DOVER

The Monster Mile (WikiMedia Commons)

 

As the NASCAR Sprint Cup series rolls into Dover, one thing is for sure, Joe Gibbs Racing has figured out the new low down force rule.  They should be a favorite when building your NASCAR DraftKings lineup this weekend. JGR drivers have swept the three short track races this year and missed winning at Phoenix by 0.01 of a second. This week should be no different, I expect JGR cars to run very well. We will look at two different Draft Kings strategies.

Spending heavy on quality drivers and filling out the last two spots with the cheapest drivers that start at the very back of the field. The approach is a lot like stocking your bar with Grey Goose, Patron, and Johnnie Walker Black with Wild Turkey bourbon.

Top Shelf:

Jimmie Johnson (DK Salary: $10,700, Starting: 21): There is a reason Johnson is the most expensive driver at Dover this week, he DOMINATES! Johnson has won four of the last eight races at Dover. One of the times that he failed to win was due to the fact he jumped a late restart and got black flagged resulting in a 17th and off the lead lap. The only thing that could stop Johnson this week is Joe Gibbs Racing.

Kyle Busch (DK Salary: $10,500, Starting: 3): Busch has finished first or second in the last three races and is looking to continue his streak this week. He is a boom or bust pick at Dover. In the last eight races he has either finished in the top 10 (five times) or recorded a Did Not Finish (three).

Carl Edwards (DK Salary: $9,900, Starting:4): Edwards won the last two short track races and nearly won at Phoenix so Dover is his type of track. Edwards has not recently had success at Dover, but he is having too good of a year to keep him out of your lineup.

Matt Kenseth (DK Salary: $10,100, Starting: 10): Kenseth is the lone JGR car that has not scored a victory this year and this could be the week. Before Johnson began dominating at Dover, Kenseth was a perennial favorite yearly. He has had fallen on bad luck lately at Dover as he has two DNFs in the last eight races, but five Top 10s in the other six races.

The Bargain Bin:

Michael Annett(DK Salary: $5,300, Starting: 37) and Landon Cassill (DK Salary: $6,000, Starting: 35): I am grouping these guys together because when you are picking them you are hoping they can just finish the race with minimal laps down. Starting them so far back in the field you can lower your expectations and if they finish 10 spots higher than where they start they will compliment taking a few high end salary drivers.

Balanced Roster Approach

When creating a balanced roster you are playing it a little safer and looking for consistency. There are three drivers that standout in that tier:

Kyle Larson (DK Salary: $ 7,900, Starting: 23): Dover has been Larson’s best track in his young Sprint Cup career. He has three top 10 finishes in only four races. He is a little higher than other of the drivers to help balance your roster but he is consistent at Dover.

Aric Almirola (DK Salary: $ 6,700, Starting: 15): Almirola finished fifth in both Dover races in 2015 and had a solid run at Phoenix this year finishing 13th. If Almirola avoids trouble he can be great value and helps you balance out your roster.

Jamie McMurray (DK Salary: $7,600, Starting: 24): Like McMurray’s Ganassi Racing team mate, Kyle Larson, McMurray should be a solid start this week. McMurray’s only two Top 10 finishes at Dover in the last five years came last year. Perhaps McMurray has figured out this larger short track, regardless McMurray averaged a 15th place finish at Phoenix, Martinsville, Bristol and Richmond and will provide you with the consistency you will need to keep your roster in contention to pay out this weekend.

PICK OF THE WEEK:

Denny Hamlin (DK Salary: $8,300 ,Starting: 6): Surprise! Another Joe Gibbs Racing car, I would suggest building your lineup around Hamlin this week because you are getting a great value. Hamlin led over 100 laps in the Spring race in 2015 and was on his way to a top 10 finish before he was involved in a late race accident. I believe Hamlin provides you solid points for his salary this week.

Below are my two of my most submitted lineups this week. Good Luck to everyone this weekend!

Jimmie Johnson $10,700
Kyle Busch $10,500
Carl Edwards $9,900
Denny Hamlin $8,300
Michael Annett $5,300
Cole Whitt $5,200
TOTAL $49,900

 

Carl Edwards $9,900
Joey Logano $9,600
Denny Hamlin $8,300
Kyle Larson $7,900
Jamie McMurray $7,600
Aric Almirola $6,700
TOTAL $50,000

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