MLB DFS: Targets for 5/2

(Josie Lepe/Bay Area News Group)

It’s hard to believe that we’re already one month into the baseball season!  It’s not a large slate of games and we have a little bit of everything for tonight’s MLB DFS targets.

It’s a full house on the latest episode of Fake Pigskin’s 60 Feet 6 Inches podcast.  Kyle, Ron, Ben, and Damian cover a lot of fantasy baseball topics to help you get ready for this week and beyond.  Listen to the podcast on iTunes and Stitcher!

Pitchers

Johnny Cueto (SF @ CIN)

Moneyline: -155

Over/Under: 7 1/2

FanDuel: $10,600/DraftKings: $10,800

It’s a homecoming of sorts for Cueto, as he will be pitching against his former team at Great American Ball Park.  Although it is a hitter’s park, Cueto has a higher K percentage against lefties, lower slugging percentage and HR/9 as well, and should be able to keep the Reds under control.

Nate Karns (SEA @ OAK)

Moneyline: -110

Over/Under: 7 1/2

FanDuel: $8,200/DraftKings: $7,600

Karns’ last start was a really good one, and he’ll look to continue with that performance in Oakland.  The ballpark is prime, against an A’s offense which is not very good.  Opposing pitcher, Kendall Graveman, hasn’t pitched well overall and the Mariners should be able to score some runs to help Karns get the win.

Other pitchers to consider: Adam Wainwright (STL vs. PHI), and Jon Gray (COL @ SD).

Catchers

Buster Posey (SF @ CIN)

FanDuel: $3,400/DraftKings: $4,400

This is a great matchup for Posey, against Reds starter, Brandon Finnegan.  His splits are much stronger against southpaws with a slugging percentage of .558, ISO of .231, and wOBA of .401.  The Giants as a team should do well offensively with Posey leading the way.

Francisco Cervelli (PIT vs. CHC)

FanDuel: $3,300/DraftKings: $3,100

Cervelli is put together a nice month for April but his price is reflecting it.  He bats usually bats fifth which puts him in a good spot for RBIs with Jaso and Andrew McCutchen.  Cervelli may not be as cheap of an option as you want on FanDuel, but could be a good way to differentiate your lineup a bit.

Other catchers to consider: Evan Gattis (HOU vs. MIN), and Stephen Vogt (OAK vs. SEA).

prince fielder

via Dallas News

First base

Prince Fielder (TEX @ TOR)

FanDuel: $3,100/DraftKings: $3,900

Hitter’s park against R.A. Dickey, puts Fielder in a nice spot considering his salary.  It’s a small sample size but Fielder has one home run against Dickey, and considering how Dickey has been pitching, there is the potential for more.

Brandon Moss (STL vs. PHI)

FanDuel: $2,700/DraftKings: $3,400 (OF eligible)

If he’s starting, Moss’ power is always appealing.  Hellickson had his best start of the season in his last game against the Nationals but he’s not consistent enough to think that he’ll be able to shut down the Cardinals.

Other first basemen to consider: Edwin Encarnacion (TOR vs. TEX), Freddie Freeman (ATL vs. NYM), and John Jaso (PIT vs. CHC).

Second base

Brian Dozier (MIN @ HOU)

FanDuel: $2,900/DraftKings: $3,700

Considering Dallas Keuchel‘s poor starts as of late, Dozier is in a good position to make value with his salary being lower than we normally see.  Even though it’s a home game for Keuchel (who has much more favorable splits at home), right handers usually fare well in Minute Maid Park.

Robinson Cano (SEA @ OAK)

FanDuel: $3,600/DraftKings: $4,900

Cano is an automatic consideration for the position when he has the platoon.  Oakland Coliseum is a pitcher’s park but Cano doesn’t need to hit home runs to have a big fantasy night.  His season so far speaks for itself.

Other second basemen to consider: Rougned Odor (TEX @ TOR), and Daniel Murphy (WAS @ KC).

Andy Cross - The Denver Post

Andy Cross – The Denver Post

Third base

Nolan Arenado (COL @ SD)

FanDuel: $4,800/DraftKings: $4,100

Arenado has hit home runs in his last four out of five games.  He and the Rockies will be facing James Shields at Petco Park.  Shields is prone to giving up home runs and Arenado likes hitting them in San Diego.  In 81 plate appearances, Arenado has five home runs, which is the third most home runs hit in a ballpark after Coors Field and AT&T Park.

Matt Carpenter (STL vs. PHI)

FanDuel: $3,900/DraftKings: $4,200

Carpenter should be batting leadoff against Hellickson and is in a good matchup as well.  He has some power in his bat and even if he’s not hitting home runs, Carpenter finds ways to get on base and is able to drive in runs from the top of the lineup.

Other third basemen to consider: Adrian Beltre (TEX @ TOR), and Josh Donaldson (TOR vs. TEX).

Shortstop

Troy Tulowitzki (TOR vs. TEX)

FanDuel: $3,400/DraftKings: $3,300

A.J. Griffin‘s stat line for April looks great, but regression is due.  Tulowitzki is in a nice spot, hitting at home against Griffin who has a 47.8% fly ball rate against righties.  The Blue Jays will probably be a popular stack today because of all of their righties and the possibility of Griffin imploding.

Eduardo Escobar (MIN @ HOU)

FanDuel: $2,400/DraftKings: $2,600

Escobar is a cheaper option at the position tonight being near minimum salary.  He could a punt option for you with the Twins facing Keuchel.

Other shortstops to consider: Trevor Story (COL @ SD), and Aledmys Diaz (STL vs. PHI)

Outfield

Carlos Gonzalez (COL @ SD)

FanDuel: $3,700/DraftKings: $3,800

Gonzalez is underpriced, especially on DraftKings.  Petco is still more of a pitcher’s park, but we have seen more offense being produced here in the last couple of years.  The reasons why I like Arenado are the same for Gonzalez and a Rockies stack shouldn’t be overlooked.

Nomar Mazara (TEX @ TOR)

FanDuel: $3,200/DraftKings: $2,900

Mazara had a solid April while in the second spot in the batting order.  He has been hitting well against both fly ball and ground ball pitchers, and although Mazara’s bat has bat has been quiet for a few games but this could be the time for it to heat up again.

Stephen Piscotty (STL vs. PHI)

FanDuel: $3,300/DraftKings: $4,000

There are a lot of expensive outfielders today, and if you want to spend down, rostering Piscotty could help save some salary.  He is better against southpaws but his numbers against righties to start the season are pretty good too. We don’t have the platoon here with Piscotty and Hellickson, but you could pivot to Jeremy Hazelbaker if he gets the start.

Other outfielders to consider: Hunter Pence (SF @ CIN), Kole Calhoun (LAA @ MIL), Gregory Polanco (PIT vs. CHC), Bryce Harper (WAS @ KC), and Lorenzo Cain (KC vs. WAS).

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!

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