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2016 NFL Draft Round One: IDP OUTLOOK
Ladies and gentlemen that time has come, we’ve officially kicked off the 2016 NFL Season as we’ve approached draft season and round one is in the books. There where many surprises, some questionable fits and some excellent selections. I know we’re already looking forward to our dynasty rookie drafts and where should you draft these IDP Rookies, well to start this off, I provide some thoughts on the IDP’s that have been taken on day one of the 2016 NFL Draft.
(3) San Diego Chargers: Joey Bosa (DE) – The Chargers pulled a fast one here, it was sorta obvious once I read a tweet stating Telesco spent a good amount of time on the phone with OSU Coach, Urban Meyer, talking about Bosa. Yes, Bosa is going to a 3-4 scheme (not entirely though) but expected to play RE opposite Liuget. On name alone you can expect Bosa to get drafted somewhere in the second round of rookie drafts, you should expect Justin Smith type numbers (sorta) shouldn’t have a problem collecting tackles, possibly 8-9 sack ceiling so not much to get excited about but I’m shying away (momentarily, we’ll see how the rest of the draft plays out) because why take Bosa high when you could possibly get better with Noah Spence (pending team he lands on).
(5) Jacksonville Jaguars: Jalen Ramsey (DB) – many are thinking he’s going to play FS for Jacksonville, think again because Jaguars have already spent money on Tashaun Gipson in free agency and he’s actually pretty damn good. Instead, Ramsey is expected to play outside CB opposite Amukamara as the Jaguars continue rebuilding this defense. Many may shy away from Ramsey in IDP leagues (unless it’s a CB required league) but I wouldn’t, has good cover skills, can lay the wood and has solid athleticism that’ll help him put up numbers. You can expect Ramsey to fly off mid-3rd in rookie drafts, has top 10 CB potential/top 25 DB potential.
(7) San Francisco 49ers: DeForest Buckner (DE) – big body, extremely powerful & physical, solid run stopper and joins fellow Oregon Duck, Arik Armstead. Buckner was my top DL IDP pre-draft and right now seems to stay there, should battle for a starting spot right away and many have Calais comparisons (which is fine) but I think his ceiling could be Justin Tuck and Buckner has no competition so one of the starting DE jobs should be his. I’m expecting Buckner to go about late 2nd in rookie drafts, could be a steal if you land him late 3rd/early 4th.
(9) Chicago Bears: Leonard Floyd (LB) – explosive edge rusher that gives CHI good depth at OLB, paired with Houston, Young and McPhee. Floyd could be utilized in sub packages to start things off but I wouldn’t be surprised if he got a handful of starts as we reach week eight in the season. I’m passing in IDP leagues though, let someone else have him, even in big play leagues I’d rather go after the guys who you should see going in rounds 2 & 3 of the NFL Draft.
(10) New York Giants: Eli Apple (CB) – with the first WTF pick of the day, thanks Giants. Apple is solid in press coverage though and should continue developing next to Janoris & DRC as he has CB1 potential for NYG. I’m passing in IDP leagues, even in CB required leagues, it’s such a wildcard but wouldn’t be surprised if Apple put together a couple good games (he’ll be on waivers or in your taxi squad; if that)
(11) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Vernon Hargreaves III (CB) – has the ball skills, upside and competitiveness and fits the Bucs scheme pretty well. Vernon is going to be a CB I want to target in CB leagues as he should have no problem putting up Davon House type numbers (50+ tackles, 15-20 Pass Deflections), in CB leagues I could see Hargreaves go late 2nd and maybe early 3rd for that matter.
(12) New Orleans Saints: Sheldon Rankins (DT) – explosive gap shooter with power, will make an immediate impact on a defense that needs playmakers. Rankins will thrive lining up next to Jordan and provide the Saints with an interior pass rush, something they lacked for a long time. In DT leagues I’d want Rankins as my spot starter, or 3rd DT to have as depth. I’ll gladly take Rankins mid-4th in rookie drafts.
(14) Oakland Raiders: Karl Joseph (DB) – love this pick by the Raiders, fits a need and will be tremendous for them. Karl slowly heals the wound of losing a HOF’er in Charles Woodson, he makes a great pairing with newly acquired; Reggie Nelson. Arguably the best safety in this class, is built like a SS but has FS range and cover ability, he’s a ball hawk & solid run defender. Karl has the upside nearing the top 15 in DB’s in dynasty and I’ll be buying/drafting where I can; I’ll gladly use my 3rd round pick on Karl in rookie drafts.
(17) Atlanta Falcons: Keanu Neal (DB) – the kind of safety Quinn has been needing/looking for as he continues to rebuild the defense. Neal is physical, hard hitting and sets the tone with his aggressiveness & range (he could cover here and there but don’t make it all the time). Looking to play the “Kam” role in Quinn’s defense at SS while Ricardo handles the FS job. Neal makes a fine late 3rd round selection in rookie drafts, keep him on your radar.
(19) Buffalo Bills: Shaq Lawson (DE) – shouldn’t have a problem being a 3-down player for Buffalo, with the lost of Mario Williams (is it really a lost tho?) the Bills need to re-establish a pass rush because last year was an embarrassment. Lawson will be a headache for opposing OL’s and possibly carries with him a 8-11 sack ceiling. Don’t be surprised if someone takes Shaq in the 3rd, but I think his value lies mid-4th.
(20) New York Jets: Darron Lee (LB) – Bowles has found his “Bucannon” and Lee brings a lot of athleticism and speed on this somewhat aging defense (or just LB unit) and is expected to be the replacement for veteran David Harris in the near future. Lee would have to beat out Erin Henderson in camp to earn a starting gig, if not expect him to be in sub packages/rotations. Whats intriguing is Lee can provide a pass rush from inside and is a tackle machine in the making. I’d definitely use a 2nd on Darron Lee, if not early 3rd but anything after would be of solid value.
(24) Cincinnati Bengals: William Jackson (CB) – arguably the purest corner in the draft has gone to a team that needs him because their CB’s are aging. Jackson posted 28 pass deflections last year (that’s a lot) and should be a starter within a year, could have Ronald Darby type impact as I expect him to shine in off-season/training camp to show he belongs. In CB leagues is where I’d want Jackson, has top 12 potential once he locks up a starting spot.
(25) Pittsburgh Steelers: Artie Burns (CB) – think we all knew that Steelers wanted Jackson but thanks to their rival, the Bengals snatched him just one pick ahead. It’s true PIT needed a CB, Burns isn’t that bad as he’ll bring ball hawking ability, struggles in zone though. Could post some impressive numbers up ahead as PIT’s depth at CB is gross, therefore Burns could see all the targets come his way.
(27) Green Bay Packers: Kenny Clark (DT) – can line up at multiple spots, bull-rush power with a nonstop motor. Clark is going to make GBP feel as if Raji never left, but Clark is better. I’m only targeting Clark in DT required leagues though and as a backup or third in line on my depth chart.
(29) Arizona Cardinals: Robert Nkemdiche (DT) – sure Nkemdiche has character issues but he couldn’t have gone to a better place as he will be surrounded by leadership and guidance, just has to realize that he has the potential to be very dominant. I’d keep Nkemdiche on IDP radar but would wait & see how ARI will utilize him because they also have Gunter and they like him a lot. Could be a rotation and if it is, you can leave Nkemdiche on waivers.
(30) Carolina Panthers: Vernon Butler (DT) – many have questioned who is he replacing, I saw this as a typical Panthers pick as they like to build their front line and then move up to linebackers and secondary. Another thing is that the Panthers depth behind Star and Kawaan is laughable so this was a solid pick in my opinion. Butler has some power and quickness to his game, good interior pass rusher and will make an immediate impact. Butler is one of my incoming IDP faves but sorta bummed he’ll be at least a sub package player in Carolina, I’d still go ahead and target him in DT required leagues and stash him everywhere I can.
That’s it folks, as always if you have any questions please feel free too look me up on Twitter @IDPwithBEE_8o8