- Fantasy Football: Dynasty Rookie Rankings Post-Draft
- Fantasy Football: 2017 NFL Draft Division Winners
- Fantasy Baseball: Week 5 Pitching Streamers
- Fantasy Baseball: Closing Arguments – add Bud Norris
- MLB DFS: Targets for 4/28
- Week 5 Two Start Pitchers
- 2017 NFL Draft First Round IDP Reactions
- Chicago Bears Draft Day Prospect Analysis
- 2017 IDP DL Strength of Schedule
- Down on the Farm: Cody Bellinger Day
Waiver Wire: Looking a Shaw thing!
If there was one thing entering the year that I would have told you about Travis Shaw it would have been plenty of power but shaky batting average. However, that is the complete opposite of what we have seen as Shaw has got off to a great start getting on base but has struggled to find the power he showed in 2015. In a way though this pleases me because I think the power comes as the season goes on but I think if he was hitting 0.200 with six home runs right now I would be concerned that he would never bring that average up. Whilst hitting over 0.300 Shaw is locked in at third and has real potential to be a gem for you in the corner outfield or utility spots.
Week 3 in general is where I really start looking at the numbers behind the hot or cold starts and trying to determine if whether what we are seeing is real or a mirage of short sample sizes. For the pitchers it is still a little early to make bold proclamations but then pitching is inherently easier to stream and making a bad decision now is less likely to be as costly as it will be on a hitter.
For pitching streamers and two start options check out Ron and Damian’s articles this week and be sure to keep up to date with the latest news by listening to the 60 Feet 6 inches podcast.
I have tried to identify for each player here some guys who are owned in a greater percentage of leagues at their position that I would replace these guys with. If you have any specific questions be sure to get in touch with me @benrolfe15 or for our whole team send your question to @60ftpodcast
Will Myers, 1B/OF, SD
Myers has continued his nice start to 2016 adding another home run and three RBI so far this week. Concerningly, he has struck out in all but one game so far this season and has a 35% K-rate with 0.08 BB/K ratio. However, his plate discipline is the same as always so the extra strikeouts may just be chance but they may also be the price you pay for some extra power this year. A must own in roto but maybe not so much in points.
Travis Shaw, 1B/3B, BOS
Shaw finally hit a home run last Sunday and if the power is coming then he could easily be a top 10-15 option at both first and third. Interestingly, his fly ball rate is up so far this year but rather than the ball leaving the park he has a lot of doubles (on pace for 70-plus). My biggest concern on opening day is the Panda would have a shot at regaining third but right not Shaw is locked in and doing a great job.
Chris Owings, 2B/SS/OF, ARI
The demotion of Brito is huge here. Owings was a really hyped prospect a few years back and whilst he isn’t going to provide great power he is a guy I see as a safe MI choice with the ability to swag a few bases. Obviously his numbers are a little inflated from two steals Thursday and another Friday to take him to 4 on the year but there are a lot of bad MI’s owned in deep leagues and Owings is well worth a small FAAB bid if you have a sucky MI.
Jake Lamb, 3B, ARI
Another home run and a steal for Jake Lamb this week has seen him because a viable option at third base. Unfortunately for him there are a lot of third baseman doing well this year so recommending someone to drop who is higher owned is hard. Playing time was the big worry over Lamb and he hasn’t been good against lefties so far but I think he has that third base job locked down with Owings out at centre. Right now the numbers look very similar to his 2014 season where he hit 4 homers in 126 plate appearances. That season he only stole one base so if steals are now a part of what he can offer and we have a potential 15/10 guy on our hands then very soon I may be interested in cutting bait on the likes of Justin Turner and David Wright but I cannot do it quite yet.
Colby Rasmus, OF, HOU
A two home run game for Rasmus Thursday night has boosted his numbers to five on the season but what REALLY surprises me is the 0.311 batting average so far. His K% has dropped to 25% so far this season which is similar to what we have seen previously but a 0.346 BABIP is going to regress as well as a 40% HR/FB rate. I’m excited and I am willing to ride the streak but I am not going crazy if I already have solid guys in my outfield.
Players I would drop for him: Kevin Pillar, Angel Pagan
Melvin Upton Jr., OF, SD
Upton has stormed out of the gate with two runs and five steals. In a Padres team that has been struggling Upton has been one of their bright spots. His average is currently 0.288 which would be his highest ever in the majors. He is hitting a lot of ground balls and of what fly balls he has hit over 20% have left the park. If he has changed his approach and this ground ball/line drive hitter is the new him then his current BABIP isn’t far off what we have seen for him before. He has a career high 46 steals and whilst I don’t see those number being repeated I think 25-30 with 10 home runs is very possible.
Jarrod Dyson, OF, KC
Since coming off the DL Dyson has already stole two bases in four games. This is the exact reason you are picking him for that steals upside. His owns right field for the Royals now but the risk he may become a pinch runner going forward is enough to stop me banging the table too hard for him to be owned.
Players I would drop for him: Kevin Pillar, AJ Pollock, Brandon Moss, Joey Rickard
Michael Saunders, OF, TOR
He only has one home run on the season but his upside comes from replacing Kevin Pillar as the number one hitter in that Toronto line-up. If he can stick there all season he should score 100 runs. However, temper expectations a little because he is an injury risk and missed Friday nights game with a hamstring injury.
Players I would drop for him: Kevin Pillar, AJ Pollock, Brandon Moss, Joey Rickard
Rajai Davis, OF, CLE
Davis stole four bases and hit one home runs over the course of last weekend. He has added another home run this week and whilst you can’t count on the power from him he does come with tremendous steals upside. My only concern is how they work out the line-up with Brantley back and whether Davis remains a full time player or not.
Players I would drop for him: AJ Pollock, Brandon Moss, Joey Rickard
Steven Matz, SP, NYM
Matz rebounded from a terrible outing against Miami with seven shutout innings and nine strikeouts against Cleveland. He faces Atlanta Saturday so I am expecting another decent outing to confirm my feeling that Matz should be owned in every league.
Players I would drop for him: John Lackey
Matt Moore, SP, TB
Moore had a really nice 10 strikeout game against the White Sox where he gave up just two runs earlier in the week. However, his Friday night start against the Yankees saw him strikeout just five and give up four runs. However, he showed good control walking just two and I still think he is a really good fantasy pitcher, especially at home.
Jerad Eickhoff, SP, PHI
Eickhoff took his second loss of the season against the Mets this week but not because of anything he did. He pitched seven innings giving up just two runs and striking out nine to give him 21 strikeouts in 19 innings this season. Winning games will be tough pitching for the Phillies so in leagues where wins and losses are heavy influencers of values I am a little hesitant but he has shown some pretty nice stuff between 2015 and 2016. Eickhoff is definitely a pitcher I am excited about this season.
Drew Pomeranz, SP, SD
Pomeranz has raced out of the gate this year with 25 strikeouts in just 17.2 innings including a visit to Colorado and a game against the Pirates. In what is proving to be a tough year for the Padres, Pomeranz is proving a real ray of sunshine and in leagues where you can utilise his RP eligibility he is a must own.
Players I would drop for him: Mike Fiers, Mike Leake, Alex Wood, RA Dickey, Chris Tillman
Mat Latos, SP, CWS
Three games, three wins for Latos who has started the year with some really strong performances. However, they haven’t really been dominant performances as he has struck out just 11 in 18.1 innings and the velocity hasn’t been where you would want it. His three starts have come against bad offences and Sunday night we will see him tested by a slightly better Rangers line-up. If he comes through that then optimism will really be rising for Latos and you may have missed your opportunity to get him cheap.
Players I would drop for him: Mike Fiers, Mike Leake
Once again be sure to check out Ron and Damian’s pitching articles over the weekend and subscribe, download and listen to the 60 Feet 6 Inches podcast for all the latest news and advice regarding pick-ups and streaming options for week two.