MLB DFS: Targets for 4/20

Madison Bumgarner

Today’s MLB DFS targets will only include games on the main slate, starting at 7:05 PM (EST).

Pitchers

Madison Bumgarner (SF)

Moneyline: -130

Over/Under: 6.5

Bumgarner did not show well in his last outing against the Dodgers but it’s reasonable to think that he can bounce back against the Diamondbacks.  This game has the lowest run total on the slate, so offense looks to be scarce from both sides of the diamond.

Zack Greinke (ARI)

Moneyline: +120

Over/Under: 6.5

Greinke performed much better in his last start, but getting his first win of the season against the Giants won’t be easy.  Because of the low run total, you will roster Greinke with the thought that he may not get the win and will probably be a better pick on DraftKings if you decide to roster him.

Nathan Eovaldi (NYY)

Moneyline: -140

Over/Under: 8.5

Vegas projects the Yankees to have one of the highest win percentages of the slate.  Although they lost in extra innings, Pineda had a solid outing and Eovaldi will look to do more of the same.  If the Yankees can get some runs early off of Kendall Graveman, it puts Eovaldi in a nice position for the win and a sneaky, underowned option.

Other pitchers to consider: Chris Archer (TB), and Bartolo Colon (NYM).

Catchers

Yasmani Grandal (LAD)

With Julio Teheran‘s scratch yesterday, Grandal fell off of my list of catchers.  As long as Teheran is still today’s starter for the Braves, I really like Grandal and because of the potential of a Dodgers stack of lefty hitters.  Teheran does have better numbers at home but it’s still not very good against lefty hitters.  Grandal’s splits from the left side of the plate are strong to start his career with a slugging percentage of .418, ISO of .177, and wOBA of .342.

Derek Norris (SD)

I like Norris again today against southpaw, Jeff Locke.  The power potential is there and that’s a nice advantage to have in a pitcher friendly park in Petco.

Other catchers to consider: Brian McCann (NYY), and Jarrod Saltalamacchia (DET).

First base

Chris Davis (BAL)

Advanced stats for Davis are considerably better against right handed pitchers and R.A. Dickey is off to a rough start this season.  Davis can definitely hit a home run or two on any given night with the ballpark and platoon on his side.

David Ortiz (BOS)

Chris Archer hasn’t gotten out of the sixth inning in his starts this season and didn’t reach double digits in strikeouts in his last two starts.   Ortiz looks to be in a good position here, especially if we see more of the same from Archer.

Joe Mauer (MIN)

For his price, Mauer looks to be an interesting option because many people may want to spend up or down instead of rostering him.  He has put together nice BABIP, wOBA, and slugging percentage so far this season and his advance stats for his career support that as well.

Other first basemen to consider: Justin Bour (MIA), and Paul Goldschmidt (ARI).

Can Dee Gordon steal 50+ bases in 2016?

Second base

Dee Gordon (MIA)

Gordon is always an interesting option.  Leading off with multi-hit and stolen base potential, the Marlins are in a better offensive position tonight against Joe Ross.

Chase Utley (LAD)

You have the platoon here against Teheran, and if Utley gets the start and bats high in the order, he is a Dodger that you can pencil in a part of your stack against the Braves today.  Utley wasn’t what he once was, but if put in the right position he can come through and tonight may be one of those nights.

Neil Walker (NYM)

Walker is a target of mine for the third day in a row, and for good reason.  Home runs are great, but we’re not trying to chase the home run ball.  The matchup against Jeremy Hellickson is a really good one and I don’t see him cooling down the Mets’ bats.

Other second basemen to consider: Brian Dozier (MIN), and Starlin Castro (NYY).

Third base

Alex Rodriguez (NYY)

Rodriguez has had a nice couple of games, and will be looking to extend that against Kendall Graveman.  For his career, Rodriguez has had better numbers against right-hander in terms of slugging percentage, ISO, BABIP, and wOBA.  Not having the platoon here isn’t a concern.

Josh Donaldson (TOR)

There is so much power to be had with the Blue Jays lineup, and Donaldson is no exception.  He is also another batter in his lineup that doesn’t need the platoon to have the home run power advantage.

Anthony Rendon (WAS)

Rondon is a much better option if he’s hitting higher in the order and the matchup is favorable with the platoon against Bruce Chen.  If you’re looking at salary relief at this position, Rendon may be a better play on FanDuel.

Other third basemen to consider: Manny Machado (BAL), and Nick Castellanos (DET).

Shortstop

Corey Seager (LAD)

As mentioned above with Grandal and Utley, I like the Dodgers stack against Teheran with Seager leading the way.  He has been impressive so far in his short time in the majors and is a nice pivot off of Carlos Correa if you’re looking to save some salary.

Troy Tulowitzki (TOR)

Tulowitzki bats lower in the batting order than I prefer, but with the lineup that the Blue Jays have, you can’t blame them.  He is more affordable on FanDuel than on DraftKings, but on either site he is a GPP play.

Other shortstops to consider: Carlos Correa (HOU), and Eduardo Escobar (MIN).

Outfield

Yoenis Cespedes (NYM)

The Mets have sure been hitting a lot of home runs lately and Cespedes could have another big night.  Hellickson’s career splits are fairly even against right and left-handed batters, so not having the platoon here isn’t a worry.

Billy Burns (OAK)

Eovaldi is by no means a shut down pitcher, and Burns is a nice option tonight at the position if he keeps hitting leadoff for the A’s.  The points for stolen bases is always a nice cushion.

Andrew McCutchen (PIT)

McCutchen with the platoon tonight against pitcher, Drew Pomeranz, looks to be a solid one.  In his career against lefties, McCutchen has a slugging percentage of .572, ISO of .239, BABIP of .348, and wOBA of .419.

Other outfielders to consider: Corey Dickerson (TB), Oswaldo Arcia (MIN), and Ryan Braun (MIL).

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!

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