MLB DFS: Targets for 4/18

fantasy

Now that the dust has settled after the first couple of weeks of the season, here are some MLB DFS options for you to consider when doing your lineup construction. Not included today is the 11:05 AM game, between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox.

 

Pitchers

Noah Syndergaard (NYM)

Moneyline: -175

Over/Under: 6 ½

 

Syndergaard is the highest priced option on this short slate, but for good reason.  Fantasy points should accumulate nicely for the price with his 27.5 percent strikeout rate in 2015, and 42 percent to start this season.  The Phillies as a team in 2016, have a strikeout rate of 24.8 percent.  The low run total of 6 ½ is a bit of a concern, but it looks as though the Mets will be doing the scoring while Syndergaard keeps the Phillies offense at bay.

 

Jose Fernandez (MIA)

Moneyline: N/A

Over/Under: N/A

 

The next highest priced pitcher in Fernandez, should be considered because of this potential.  It’s a small sample size, but with two starts so far this season, Fernandez hasn’t made it out of the sixth inning.  His first start against the Detroit Tigers was less than desirable with five earned runs given up, but Fernandez did have 13 strikeouts as well.  I would proceed with caution with rostering Fernandez against Bryce Harper and the Washington Nationals.

 

John Lackey (CHC)

Moneyline: -125

Over/Under: 8

 

This will be Lackey’s first game against his former team, the St. Louis Cardinals.  There is just a slight edge for the win with the moneyline at -125.  The Cubs are first in the NL Central with a 5-1 road record so the much needed 12 points on FanDuel for the win is attainable.

 

Catcher

 

Jonathan Lucroy (MIL)

Lucroy and the Brewers are facing the Minnesota Twins and Phil Hughes at Target Field, and this is a good spot for him today because Hughes has reverse platoon splits over his career.

 

Here are some examples (righty vs. lefty):

  • Doubles: 134 vs. 122
  • Home runs: 83 vs. 76
  • wOBA: .328 vs .320
  • Slugging percentage .453 vs .419

 

Dioner Navarro (CWS)

Navarro has much better numbers from the right side of the plate against lefties (which is opposite of what we normally expect).  If he gets the start, this could be a nice punt play for you at the position.  With the game being at Cellular Field, there’s also the nice ballpark advantage to consider.

 

First base

Joey Votto (CIN)

Votto looks to be a strong play first base.  You have the platoon advantage against Rockies righty, Jordan Lyles, as well as ballpark advantage at the Great American Ballpark.  Even if he doesn’t hit you the home run that you’re looking for, Votto can definitely take a walk and has a career batting average of .327 with runners in scoring position.

 

Lucas Duda (NYM)

As mentioned above with Syndergaard, there is slight concern with the low run total, but if you’re looking to save money on FanDuel, Duda can help with that.  The Mets haven’t been scoring much to start the season but maybe the series against Cleveland was just what they needed to get the offense going.

 

Second base

 

Brian Dozier (MIN)

We don’t have the platoon here but you always like the Dozier’s power potential.  With the upside is the risk of his low floor.  Chase Anderson averages less than a strikeout per inning so Dozier should be able to at least put the bat on the ball.

 

Johnny Giavotella (LAA)

Giavotella was on my list of punt plays last season and it worked out well.  Unfortunately, he has been batting ninth in the lineup for much of this season.  If he does hit higher in the order against lefty, Carlos Rodon, Giavotella could be an interesting option.

 

Third base

 

Todd Frazier (CWS)

It was been an underwhelming season for Frazier and this could make for a GPP play because of the upside.  With a wOBA against lefties of .355, ISO of .244, and slugging percentage of .508, there is power potential.

 

Nolan Arenado (COL)

Arenado had a big power day yesterday with two home runs that accounted for all the runs scored between both the Rockies and Cubs.  Some may fade, but Arenado against Dan Straily is on this short slate is a nice spend.  Over/under is at 9 which looks to be a nice offensive night for both teams.

 

Shortstop

 

Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM)

Shortstop is my least favorite position today, but Cabrera could fare well against Jerad Eickhoff.  You’re not expecting much here but the it’s nice to have a switch hitter against Eickhoff, who pitches better against righties.

 

Brandon Crawford (SF)

Archie Bradley will be making his first start of the season for Arizona which will be in San Francisco at AT&T Park.  It’s a pitcher’s park, but not always an easy park to pitch at for opposing teams.  Crawford has a higher walk percentage and lower strikeout percentage against righties.  If the Giants can get to Bradley early, Crawford could have a nice night even if he’s hitting lower than fifth in the batting order.

 

Outfield

 

Michael Conforto (NYM)

Conforto has put together two multi-hit games against the Indians, and his hitting can continue against Eickhoff and the Phillies.  Although he hasn’t played many games in the majors during his young career, Conforto’s numbers against righties have been really strong.

 

Bryce Harper (WAS)

Harper is off to a hot start this season and Fernandez is not a reason of why you shouldn’t roster him.  He will be easier to fit into your DraftKings lineups, but might only be a GPP option on FanDuel at $6000, making Harper the highest priced hitter.

 

Mike Trout (LAA)

There’s always the conversational debate about who would you rather: Harper or Trout?  That extends to your DFS lineup construction.  Right now, Trout is more affordable, but on this slate can you play him and other high priced players if you have Syndergaard, too?  Carlos Rodon is a good pitcher, but Trout’s matchup against him is too good to pass up. Like Harper, their numbers, talent, and potential speak for themselves.

 

Other outfielders to consider: Carlos Gonzalez (COL), Miguel Sano (MIN), and David Peralta (ARI).

 

Thank you for reading and good luck with your picks!

 

Follow on Twitter: @DannaHanashiro

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>