Waiver Wire: Smasing Start for Souza and Story

Trevor Storey

With just over half of week of the baseball season gone the two names grabbing headlines on waiver wires this week will be Steven Souza and Trevor Story. The first few weeks of the waiver wire are the hardest to navigate because moving too fast could see you drop a solid guy for a flash in the pan player, but move to slow and you lose the opportunity to grab players with huge potential. The key in the early weeks is not to get too swept up in the small sample sizes and make clear headed sensible moves based around what you feel you lacked from the draft. At this time of the year I tend to look not only at the numbers but also the opportunities that players are getting both in terms of games and line-up positions.

This article is being written as of 4pm ET Thursday, so all stats are up to date as of then. I will try to keep the article updated if there are any major value changes but be sure to check out the 60 Feet 6 Inches podcast to get the latest news on hitter’s values entering the new week.

Hitters

Trevor Story, SS, Colorado Rockies

He is likely owned in most leagues by now but at a position as weak as shortstop he should be owned in every league. The only owner in the whole league who shouldn’t be considering Story on waivers this week is the Correa one, and even then grabbing him and trading him could net a decent return. However, don’t go crazy and blow all your FAAB if he is available or trade away too many assets for the chance to own him. Yes, he has hit four home runs but they are his ONLY hits so far in the majors and he has also struck out four times. Just to give you some context on him right now he has a 70% FB rate and a 57.1% HR/FB rate, which are numbers that have nowhere to go but down. The other things that gives me concern is that I think Jose Reyes will be back by the end of May and with Story’s bat inevitable to cool off he could be looking at some more time in the minors, especially if his strikeout rate remains near 30%. A good warning name here is Javier Baez who exploded onto the scene before flaming out and spending most of last season in the minors. Story is definitely worth a speculative bid in your league given that he has started the season batting second for the Rockies but going out of your way to pay for him on FAAB or trading for him can only hurt your team.

 Steven Souza, OF, Tampa Bay Rays

Another big power bat who has flexed his muscles early. A two-home run game on Wednesday was nice and Souza also has speed that he is yet to have shown this season, given that half his hits have been home runs he hasn’t had much chance to run. A word of warning is that he has struck out on 33.33% of his AB’s so far and this is exactly what we can expect this year: nice power but with a frustrating amount of strikeouts. For that reason, you cannot invest too much this week in a guy who could find himself in a platoon situation if the strikeouts don’t slow down. However, Souza should be owned in all five OF’er leagues and pretty much all roto leagues full stop.

Michael Taylor, OF, Washington Nationals

Yet another powerful young guy with strikeout concerns. Ben Revere has gone on the DL with an oblique strain which can be a lingering injury. Taylor appears to have slotted in at the top of the Nationals line-up and is a power speed guy who could really stake a claim for every day at bats in Revere’s absence. My biggest concern is if Revere comes back in a month then Taylor could be the odd man out with nowhere to go and find himself back on the bench but with the injury history of that outfield he is worth gambling a little on.

Eugenio Suarez, SS, Cincinnati Reds

With shortstop being such a barren position, Suarez has some nice value playing as the Reds everyday third baseman. He has two home runs already this season but against the Phillies he has had a fairly easy start. If it wasn’t for the position, I probably wouldn’t have included him even after his grand slam on Wednesday.

Victor Martinez, DH, Detroit Tigers

Hard to judge too much on two AB’s but when both are home runs it’s a reason to be excited and definitely worth a speculative add if you don’t have a DH-only guy on your roster.

Kevin Pillar, OF, TOR: Any guy hitting atop that order deserves consideration especially when he has a 20/20 ceiling. He’s off to a slow start so could get dropped or may be a buy low option. 120 runs are a real possibility.

David Freese, 3B, PIT: Intrigued to see him open the season batting third behind McCutchen and is worth a speculative add in deeper leagues as a potential CI or Util guy.

Jean Segura, SS, ARI: Segura is off to a nice start and is batting at the top of the Diamondbacks order. Should get plenty of green lights to steal and could have some nice pop playing in a hitter friendly park.

Jedd Gyorko, 2B/SS, STL: Even though he is hitting low in the order I was intrigued to see it was Wong who sat against the lefty with Gyorko shifting to second. Has decent power which is a nice addition in the shortstop/middle infield pool. Need to see him hit consistently before he becomes a must own.

Jonathan Villar, SS, MIL: Will be the everyday option until Arcia comes up and could put up some nice steals numbers if you lost Revere this week.

Leonys Martin, OF, SEA: Gave a good account in his chance atop the order Wednesday and could get more chances. A guy who could easily steal 20 bases and give you a little pop (5-10 homers) as well.

DL Stash: Jarrod Dyson, OF, KC: If you need speed then Dyson is a great stash right now. He is going on a rehab assignment early next week and that outfield isn’t impenetrable for him. With just a part time job we could be looking at a 30 steal guy.

Pitchers

With a lot of the big boys being shook up or rocked this week there will naturally be nerves, but over-reactions should be avoided at all costs. Most of the guys on this list will be streaming options in the shallowest leagues. For streamers be sure to check out the pitching articles being published Sunday and Monday as well as listening to the 60 Feet 6 Inches Podcast. Here I mention a few lower end guys with promising starts who should be considered for roster spots but with one start in the books I am not going into depth on any pitcher’s right now.

Carlos Rodon

Grab Carlos Rodon off your waiver wire this week and reap the benefits

Carlos Rodon, SP, CWS: A nice start with 7 innings, 6 K’s and 2 earned runs against Oakland. The most impressive stat, though is he only gave up one walk which was my biggest concern surrounding him this year. Oakland is not a particularly tough match-up but the good control makes me encouraged enough to go out and add him where I can given he has the potential to be an absolute stud. Should be owned in all leagues.

Juan Nicasio, RP, PIT: Nicasio had a lights out spring and carried that over with a seven-K performance in six innings against the Cardinals. The Cardinals have started slowly but that shouldn’t detract too much from a nice start for Nicasio. Should be owned in all points leagues due to his RP eligibility and his K potential means he should be owned in all but the shallowest of roto leagues.

Aaron Nola, SP, PHI: A strong first outing with 8 strikeouts and one earned run given up. Cincinnati is not the toughest match up he will face but the strikeout rate is extremely encouraging and given that was my biggest concern entering the year he is a guy I am adding with intrigue.

Once again be sure to check out Ron and Damian’s pitching articles over the weekend and subscribe, download and listen to the 60 Feet 6 Inches podcast for all the latest news and advice regarding pick-ups and streaming options for week two.

 

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