NBA DFS Playbook 3.4

John Wall

Welcome to the NBA DFS Playbook, where tonight we have 10 games to round out another great week of basketball. This may be the strangest 10 game slate I’ve seen this season. 10 games normally ensures we’ll have plenty of high end options available, but tonight we don’t see one player break the 10K threshold on Draft Kings. The current player pricing could provide a very unique night when it comes to roster construction, as where we normally see a tendency towards “Stars & Scrubs,” tonight taking the balanced approach may be the natural chalk… It’ll be interesting to see how rosters end up being built, and it’s definitely a night we should be analyzing other’s lineups for our own future research and strategy. Whichever route you end up choosing, here are the top guys to consider building your lineups around…

Point Guard

John Wall $9,400

As we saw from the last time I wrote the playbook, where top pick Kyle Lowry went on to embarrass the Cavs, Kyrie’s defense is not one to be afraid of. In three games against the Cavs this season, Wall is averaging 53 DK points per game on just over 36 minutes. Tonight should be no different, and you can always expect a little more motivation when it’s the nationally televised ESPN game. There are a lot of decently priced points on the board tonight, but I can’t see any of them matching the production I expect from Wall.

 

D’Angelo Russell $6,300

D’Angelo will probably be the chalk tonight, as his recent production is hard not to notice. While his price has risen since moving into a starting role, he has also continued to exceed expectations, reaching value in each of his last four games. With Lou Williams out, and the possibility of the Lakers also missing both Kobe and Jordan Clarkson, Russell may find himself with all of the minutes he can handle. D’Angelo provides a high floor, and his ceiling will continue to rise as he gains more and more confidence.

 

Shooting Guard

DeMar DeRozan $7,400

DeRozan still feels underpriced, especially considering the form he’s shown coming into tonight. This matchup with Portland is much more favorable than his past few games, and should be competitive enough to ensure the Raptors will need DeMar’s scoring to continue. DeRozan’s been one of the most consistent players we’ve seen all year, plug him in and move on.

 

Victor Oladipo $7,100

The Suns continue to allow the most fantasy points in the league to opposing backcourts, and are coming into Orlando on the second half of a back to back after getting smashed by the Heat. We know Oladipo plays a huge role for this Magic team, and he’ll have plenty of opportunity to rack up the points tonight. Oladipo’s price has stayed really fair, and the matchup couldn’t get any better. This should make for the perfect combination of the right price with the right opportunity.

 

Small Forward

LeBron James $9,600

With the news that Kevin Love will miss this game, LeBron gets a huge bump against a Wizards team that does not want to see any part of him. Regular season LeBron can always be difficult to predict in terms of effort, but it shouldn’t take much to produce against a Wizards team who has been terrible at stopping any small forwards, let alone one of the league’s best. Bron’s recent hiatus in Miami has the media buzzing over whether he’ll ever be able to deliver a championship to his hometown, and this is when the elite LeBron James usually show up to quiet the noise.

 

Giannis Antetokounmpo $7,700

We’re starting to see the Greek Freak really develop into the player the Bucks thought he could be, doing absolutely everything on the court. Not only is he frequently playing north of 40 minutes, but he’s producing in all peripheral aspects, picking up boards AND assists at a consistent rate. We’re getting a guy who offers a 35+ point floor, with as a high a ceiling as any superstar, at only $7,700! If this production keeps up, this could be the last time we see Giannis for this cheap.

 

Power Forward

Thaddeus Young $6,900

We’ve been down this road before, playing big men against the Nuggets is the way to win money in DFS. Denver ranks 24th in PF DVP, but when you watch them it feels like they easily contend for worst in the league. Thad has been on a tear since the Joe Johnson buyout, seeing an increase in both minutes and usage, so I’m surprised to see his price has not come up. This is a great spot to get some exposure to a game where neither team likes to play defense, and could easily exceed the 208 implied total.

 

Julius Randle $5,900

The Hawks continue to be the worst rebounding team in the league, which makes this a prime matchup for Julius. While some people may be scared off due to his recent production, I welcome the price drop and lower projected ownership! Randle performs well when given the chance to put up more shots attempts, and with more offensive rebound available, and no Kobe/Lou/Clarkson, Randle should get that opportunity tonight.

 

Center

Karl-Anthony Towns $8,200

There’s a ton of options at center tonight, but KAT offers us the combination off safety and upside that we’re really looking for. The rookie continues to improve his game every time he steps on the court, and the Twolves are finally starting to play like they notice it. KAT is the only top option where we do not have to worry over blowout potential, where he should be guaranteed plenty of time in a great matchup. We could easily see another big game from him tonight.

 

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