- Dynasty: Pre-Draft Rookie Rankings
- Making the Case for 1.01: Christian McCaffrey
- MLB DFS: 4/24 If Not, Then Who?
- Fantasy Baseball: Week 4 Waiver Wire
- Dynasty Zone Rookie Mock Draft
- 2017 IDP Linebacker Strength of Schedule
- Making the Case for 1.01: Corey Davis
- Fantasy Baseball: Week 4 Pitching Streamers
- My 2017 NFL Mock Draft 1.0
- MLB DFS: Targets for 4/21
Ezekiel Elliot or Laquon Treadwell for the 1.01?
Dynasty rookie drafts are approaching and the biggest question for those holding the 1.01 is, Ezekiel Elliott or Laquon Treadwell? Both are incredibly talented, have produced in big spots and are worthy of being the first pick overall, but you can only take one of them. Let’s dig into who should be the top pick.
Ezekiel Elliott has everything you want in a dynasty asset. He possesses dynamic ability as a runner, makes defenders miss tackles, displays short area quickness and can explode at the second level. In two seasons as “the guy” in Columbus, Elliott put up back-to-back 1,800 yard seasons, finding the end zone 41 times. He also averaged over six yards per carry during those two seasons.
He was very impressive at the NFL Scouting Combine in Indianapolis. He ran a 4.47 40 yard dash which was good for sixth best among running backs. He went 32.5 inches in his vertical and 118 inches in the broad jump.
Elliott is very likely the only running back who will get first round consideration in June’s NFL Draft and is the only one you should consider for 1.01. He will ideally land in a spot where his talents can be put to good use, early and often. Elliott’s peak value will likely be a three to five year window, which is the case for most NFL running backs. That may cause some to look towards another position, specifically wide receiver.
Wide receiver Laquon Treadwell looks like a stud, standing 6’2” and 210 pounds. He does not have blazing quickness but has enough speed to create separation and run away from defenders. He can win consistently on the outside and runs efficient routes. He also can use his size well to shield defenders from the ball. He has garnered comparisons to Demaryius Thomas and Deandre Hopkins.
Treadwell made 2015 his best season with the Ole Miss Rebels, finishing with 82 catches for 1153 yards and 11 touchdowns. Not coincidentally, playing with Chad Kelly, who is likely the best quarterback he was paired with during his 3 seasons. His sophomore season was cut short due to a gruesome injury against the University of Auburn, but seeing how well he was able to bounce back the next season was a huge positive for NFL teams and fantasy owners alike.
He did not participate in everything at the combine but did show skills in the positional drills. He will run the 40 yard dash during his pro day at Ole Miss. That number is not likely to change how many view him for the next level.
It may be easy for some to say that wide receivers are more consistent and typically last longer, and that is often true, but running backs with elite upside can be more valuable. Treadwell should be a very good player at the next level but likely wont enter the Odell Beckham Jr, Antonio Brown or Julio Jones territory. Remember, players such as Tyler Lockett and Stefon Diggs were found in the third and fourth rounds of dynasty drafts, just a season ago. The odds of finding the next Todd Gurley or Le’Veon Bell in that same range are much lower.
Weighing the likelihood of immediate production and the probability of being named the starter for his drafting team, Ezekiel Elliott becomes the clear choice, especially when we are unsure of where each player will land in the NFL draft. I also advise not letting landing spot dramatically change your rankings. While it will help to land in a spot with a more clear route to snaps the cream always finds a way to rise to the top.