NBA DFS Playbook – 2/5/16

thad young

The Daily Fantasy Basketball season continues tonight Friday, February 5, 2016. A 10-game slate is upon us tonight as some premier superstars take the court. On a night where there are a large number of options, my best advice is to pay up for the stars and find value in the role players. Best of luck tonight guys, lets go out and win.

**These prices/values come from DraftKings.com. However, all players mentioned are recommended picks regardless of DFS gaming platform.

 

Play of the Night: Thaddeus Young ($6,200)

Of all the superstars tonight, I chose to make Thaddeus Young of the terrible Brooklyn Nets my play of the night. Some things I look for when constructing lineups are price, matchups, and consistency. Young has one of the best matchups he can have tonight with the Sacramento Kings in town. They are simply one of the worst teams in the entire Association at playing defense. At only 6,200 on DraftKings, you would look for Thad to get you around 30 points. I see no reason why 35 is out of the question, and if the game stays close (which is expected) he could exceed 40 fantasy points easily. It is hard to not give him a spot in your lineups tonight, and at the same time include two higher priced players.

 

Point Guard

Chris Paul ($9,500) – While Blake Griffin has been out, CP3 has elevated his game to an MVP level. In his last 15 games, Chris has only played less than 30 minutes just 3 times. In that same stretch, he has scored 44 or more fantasy points 12/15 games. That is insane consistency and you have to respect the grind he is putting in. Tonight, the Clippers travel to Central Florida to take on an Orlando Magic team that has struggled to find its identity this season. While I don’t think the Clippers completely blow them out, I do think CP3 will be on the court enough to produce plenty of stats for your lineup.

Isaiah Thomas ($7,500) – IT2 and his Celtics will travel to the Land tonight in a fun matchup with the Cavs. I love IT2 tonight for many reasons. The first being, I think his ownership will be lower than usual. Many DFS players will pivot to Wall and Paul for obvious reasons, and some will avoid him because of the bad rated matchup with Cleveland. The truth of the matter is, Kyrie Irving is a TERRIBLE defender. He plays not to get in foul trouble, and saves a ton of energy on the offense end of the floor. Thomas has come just shy of 40 fantasy points in each of his last 3 games, which is important considering he is coming off an injury. I see no reason to avoid playing him tonight, unless you have other options you feel that much more comfortable about.

Elfrid Payton ($5,300) – Elfrid is that one player that is never talked about, yet always seems to put up great numbers when he is slept on. Boring lines of 12, 5, 7 and a few steals really add up. He basically is looking at 25 points to hit value tonight. I don’t see how 30 is out of the question at all. He isn’t a flashy play, but his upside isn’t as limited as you would think. Safe pick and saves salary.

 

Shooting Guard

Danny Green ($4,600) – Danny Green really fell off a cliff this season. His production is down across the board, and for a while he was in the coach’s doghouse. Tonight all of that should change. Dallas does not do the greatest job at defending wing players, and Green is the primary beneficiary of Ginobli being sidelined due to surgery. He is coming off a 39 minute, 32 fantasy point showing against the Pelicans. Green could be the value you need tonight to pay up for a superstar. Once a GPP play, one of the safer cash game plays tonight.

Mario Hezonja ($3,300) – Orlando is all but out of the playoff race in the East, so you will start to see their rotation open up a lot. In the past month we have seen Aaron Gordon really gain a lot of minutes, and now we are starting to see it with Super Mario. This kid was a top 5 pick, so it was only a matter of time before Fournier began to lose minutes. He is the key to their roster that spaces the floor and can knock down a 3 point shot from anywhere. He has played over 20 minutes in each of his last 4 games and is averaging about 10, 2 and 2 respectively. Add in a steal/block here or there and the added bonus for 3pt FGM and you have yourself  a steal at $3,300. How can you say no?

 

Small Forward

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist ($5,200) – I will continue to play MKG until Draftkings makes his price at 6k or more. His floor is 25 and his ceiling is around 40. I just can’t avoid that while is price is still so low. Throw in added bonuses like a plus matchup against Miami and his 31 fp average in the last 3 games and you again have yourself a steal. This lineup is building itself isn’t it? 

Paul George ($8,400) – As the season has gone on, Paul George has actually played worse. It is clear he has hit a wall and is just playing poor basketball at this point. He was able to somewhat get back on track last night against Brooklyn with 42 fantasy points, but regardless he isn’t hitting value right now. The last time the Pacers took on Atlanta, George played horrible with 11 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists. That was just 8 days ago, and usually seeing a team twice in a short span results in different numbers. GPP only, take your chances. Could win you a lot of money, could ruin your lineup.

 

Power Forward

LaMarcus Aldridge ($7,100) – The news of Tim Duncan missing yet another game, really bolds well for LMA. The Spurs have the second record in the West, and will continue to push Golden State. This one is a no brainer. The minutes are there, his shot attempts have risen, and most importantly he is very confident at this point in the season. A nice matchup with a weak Dallas frontcourt should prove very valuable for the big man.

Derrick Favors ($13,700) – He is finally back. Everyone do me a Favors (pun intended) and play him tonight. He essentially is the same price as LaMarcus Alrdidge, has a better matchup on paper, and has played 35 or more minutes in each of his last 3 games. I really love the production also. 41.75 fantasy points last game proves he is ready to go.

 

Center

Brook Lopez ($7,700) – Lopez has been the one bright spot for a pathetic Brooklyn Nets roster. They are clearly in rebuild mode and it is centered around this guy. 7,700 is a lot to pay for him right now, however a juicy matchup with the Kings make it worth it. Hope Brook explodes tonight and pays off his salary.

Marcin Gortat ($6,800) – Gortat in a fast paced game against the 76ers at home? Sign me up. The Wiz have limited the Polish Hammer’s minutes this season, but the important thing is he is playing when it counts. This game has double-double written all over it. There are many better Center options tonight, which helps ownership stay low. His upside is there, if you believe the 76ers will miss a lot of shots.

 

Thanks for reading and be sure to follow me on Twitter @BrandonHodge for any NBA DFS questions you may have!

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