NBA DFS Playbook – 1/6

Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh

\Welcome back to all my NBA DFS degenerates out there! Wednesday, January 6, 2016, a massive 11-game daily fantasy basketball slate is upon us as multiple premier superstars take the court in primetime. In this edition of the Daily Fantasy Basketball Playbook, my overall advice would be to play the matchups and identify what value plays make your roster the most well rounded. Best of luck tonight guys, lets go out and win.

 

Play of the Night: Andre Drummond

The Celtics have been pretty terrible against opposing Centers all year long. Tonight should be no different as Drummond is a double-double machine. Boston will likely use Kelly Olynyk and a combination of other undersized power forwards to stop him tonight. Drummond has an extremely high upside, but foul trouble has limited him at different times this season. Also, his inability to hit free throws has him sitting on the bench late in close games. I expect Detroit to key in on his advantage down low and feed the big guy all night.

 

Knicks vs Heat

New York Knicks players have been wildly inconsistent this season. Some nights Carmelo Anthony is a lock in lineups, Aaron Afflalo will come out of nowhere for fantasy performances of 40+, and for the start of the year Kristaps Porzingis was truly dominant. Pick your poison tonight as any of the forementioned trio have a great opportunity. As for Miami, I love playing Hassan Whiteside in games against teams that shoot a lot of jumpshots. He should thrive on the defensive end also, adding rebounds and blocks wherever he can.

Pacers vs Magic

With Elfrid Payton out tonight, Victor Oladipo should thrive with an increased opportunity to play point guard. His assists should go up, and he should make a valiant effort to score points in an uptempo game. Nikola Vucevic has played well all season, but the Pacers actually play pretty solid defense against opposing big men. He isn’t a guy I would immediately fade, but there are better options in such a large slate. For Indiana, Paul George has been playing better as of late. His price tag is still exceeding his performance on the court, but in high scoring affairs I would take my chances throwing him into a GPP lineup or two.

Cavaliers vs Wizards

The King is in town! Living in Northern VA has its perks and being just 30 minutes from Verizon Center when Lebron comes to town is one of them. LeBron has a history of destroying the Wizards, especially in the playoffs. I expect him to put on a show tonight at the phone booth and his team should sail against a poor defensive Washington ball club. John Wall will likely do everything he can to keep this game close, and he should feed Marcin Gortat all night long. However, I do not expect either to put up huge numbers and I will be fading both. Kyrie gets a bad rap for playing little to no defense, but if Wall begins to heat up I am sure Shumpert or Lebron will switch.

Pistons vs Celtics

Detroit has a nice matchup against a Boston team who utilizes their bench to capacity. Andre Drummond is a must play tonight, and if you are not playing him you almost have to be playing Russell Westbrook. We will get to him later. Regardless, Drummond has a solid matchup and makes a great play. Reggie Jackson is also a good play tonight for GPP contests. Boston is starting Kelly Olynyk tonight which usually guarantees about 30 minutes or more. If he gets going he will easily exceed his price tag and makes for a solid play. Boston has a lot of high upside players on their roster, so research carefully before choosing who to lock in. They usually have 1 guy that you weren’t expecting to have a great game, play brilliantly.

Raptors vs Nets

Kyle Lowry. Play him. Demar Derozan. Play him. James Johnson. Play him? If you caught the news, Carrol is out indefinitely for Toronto so in goes Johnson. His price tag on DK is almost a minimum of 3200, so even if he plays terrible it can’t be that hard to atleast hit value. He should see a minutes increase and is generally a high energy player. Going against a bad Brooklyn Nets squad, his team should cruise allowing increased opportunity. I would take the gamble and get him in my lineups. Brooklyn actually has nobody I am interested in playing today. Maybe Shane Larkin as he is starting and his tag is low, but he is not good at basketball. And Brook Lopez is usually solid, but his team will likely lose this one by 20.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves

This game has potential to be the game of the night. Honestly target every player who will get at least 25 minutes. Uptempo games with high over/unders make for fantasy gold. Rubio, Towns, Lavine, Wiggins, Nelson, Fareid, and Gallo are all on my radar.

Mavericks vs Pelicans

Deron Williams is sitting out tonight as well as Dirk Nowitzki. So for Dallas I would capitalize on Dwight Powell getting a lot more action. He had success early in the season and gets a decent matchup tonight. JJ Barea is almost a must play as he has put up insane numbers in a starting role. He needs about 27-30 to hit value tonight, and that should easily be accomplished. For the P’cans, Ant Davis is a no brainer. I would also take a look at Ryan Anderson, as his upside can be insane on nights where his jumper is falling.

Jazz vs Spurs

Boring. Boring in real life and DFS tonight. Both these teams slow the pace down, and primarily work a lot of their guys through half court sets. So I’ll keep it simple for everyone. Trevor Booker, Boris Diaw, Tony Parker, Trey Burke and Gordon Hayward all make interesting yet not safe plays. GPP masterpiece right here folks.

Hornets vs Suns

The Hornets travel to Phoenix to battle an injury ridden Suns team. Kemba Walker has been on fire (no pun intended) and gets a nice matchup against Brandon Knight and company. Knight himself makes for a fine play as his usage rate has increased with Bledose out for the year. Also target Marvin Williams and Al Jefferson for Charlotte, while taking a GPP gamble on Devin Booker and TJ Warren for Phoeniz. Both these guys have increased prices over the last week and it is difficult to consider them value plays.

Grizzlies vs Thunder

Russell Westbrook. If Durant sits, Westbrook is essentially a must play. His price tag is absolutely insane, but considering there was a point last season where the guy averaged a triple-double I wouldn’t put anything past him. Marc Gasol, Mike Conley, and Matt Barnes all make for solid options for Memphis, but they do have limited upsides. Again, check news on this one to monitor the status of Durant.

Clippers vs Trailblazers

The last game of the night should be a good one. With Dame Lillard back in the lineup a lot of people are shying away from CJ McCollum. I wouldn’t exactly go away from the hot hand. If  you can find room in your lineup for him, I would make it happen. For LA, I would key in on Deandre Jordan. He has a great opportunity for a huge game tonight and he can always Rey on CP3 to get him the ball in transition. The Clippers are favored in this one and for good reason. JJ Redick is playing like a man possessed and I don’t see Portland slowing him down with their perimeter defense.

Thanks for reading and be sure to follow me on Twitter @BrandonHodge for any NBA DFS questions you may have!

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