Daily Fantasy Basketball Playbook 12/25

steph santa

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to everyone! Friday, December 25, 2015. A 5-game daily fantasy basketball slate is upon us as some premier superstars take the court in primetime.In this edition of the Daily Fantasy Basketball Playbook, the number one advice I would give is to target value in games that may be blowouts, and in cash games pay up for the second tier superstars. Best of luck tonight guys, lets go out and win.

 

Play of the Night: Chris Paul

CP3 represents the top play of all the games on Christmas Day. He has been consistently hitting value and exceeding it on most nights. Tonight he gets a juicy matchup against the Lakers, who allow a ton of points. Paul is averaging 18 points and 10 assists in the month of December, while adding almost 3 steals a game to his totals. This will be an uptempo game with a very high over/under. This game does have a high blowout potential to it, as the Lakers are a terrible basketball team all around. However, Kobe will be playing in his last Christmas Day game, so I expect him to try and keep this game somewhat in reach. CP3 is significantly cheaper than Westbrook and Curry, so it just makes a lot of sense to take the value where you can get it.

 

Pelicans vs Heat

New Orleans will travel to South Beach to enjoy their Christmas Holiday in the first game of the evening against the Heat. The Pelicans have really underachieved this season, as they look bound for the lottery. Injuries have burdened them all year, but from a DFS view they have actually been a nice team to target. Anthony Davis is a stud when healthy, but his inability to put together a string of consistent performances without getting hurt has been a lot to ask. Under the radar has been Tyreke Evans. Evans is a triple-double threat nightly, and at just 7,800 on DraftKings, that is a steal. Jrue Holiday’s price has risen a lot, which caps his value off. Ryan Anderson makes for a dart board throw of a GPP play as does Norris Cole. Although, Cole now has no legitimate threat in the backcourt to cut into his minutes as Ish Smith was shipped off to the 76ers. For Miami, I would put all my eggs to the basket of Hassan Whiteside. At a little over 7k on DraftKings, he is a steal. 40-50 fantasy points his honestly his floor at this point, with a ceiling of around 60+ if he really starts blocking shots like crazy. Wade has an opportunity to play well in this one, but it can be very hard to trust him at times. Bosh is very consistent in DFS, however his ceiling isn’t as high as the others. If you are looking to jump out to a fast start, do so with this game where at least 3-4 players can be legitimately targeted

Bulls vs Thunder

Chicago will travel to Oklahoma City in the second game of the Christmas Day slate. For DFS purposes, this is a tough game to pick from. Almost instantly you have to pay attention to the fact that Joakim Noah is out and target value in Taj Gibson and Bobby Portis. Both should be able to hit their value granted the increase in minutes, however exceeding that will be the only problem. I love the consistency you can get from Jimmy Butler, although if Durant guards him that could create some issues. My sleeper from the Bulls is Doug McDermott. Dougie McBuckets as few call him these days, saw 25 minutes in his last outing against Brooklyn and was able to hit value with almost 21 fantasy points on DraftKings. The Thunder have a tendency of leaving corner three point shots open, so I would take my chances. At 3700 there is only so bad he can actually perform. On the flip side, Durant and Westbrook are must plays in cash games. I won’t have them in my lineups however because the pain of paying over 40% of my entire teams salary for 2 players is tough. Both are so expensive but if I had to pick it would definitely be KD35. Enes Kanter has been playing well, and the Bulls do give a lot of fantasy points up to the Center position. Shoot your shot.

Cavaliers vs Warriors

Finally! The rematch, what we have all been waiting for. Curry vs Lebron. Warriors, Cavs. This one is a lot different than the finals. The addition of Kevin Love changes EVERYTHING. I think he matches up beautifully against the Warriors. With Love at the 5, and Lebron at the 4 the Dubs will have their hands full when they adjust to playing small ball. If we get a Cavaliers vs Warriors final rematch, I am still betting on Cleveland when healthy. For DFS purposes this game has some obvious gems. Curry is a little overpriced, being the most expensive player on the slate, but his upside is still out of this world in a game that could potentially go into overtime. Klay had a very quiet NBA Finals, as his defense was more valuable than anything. However, a few back to back 3’s and he can catch fire and have an amazing game. Draymond does it all, but guarding Love/James will be a tough matchup for him, and he will have to stay out of foul trouble. Most intriguing for the Cavs will be King James. This game is meant for him. Curry has taken a lot of the spotlight from him this calendar year in winning MVP, beating his team in the Finals, and setting records (individual and team) left and right. He put up INSANE numbers during the Finals, but that was without his two best sidekicks. He will still be motivated, whether he admits it or not, and is a triple double threat. At 10k on DraftKings, Lebron could be the play of the night, or he could just play in cruise control as is this simply 1 of 82 games on the schedule.

Spurs vs Rockets

The Spurs and Rockets is probably a much better real life game, than one you would bet on for fantasy purposes. Kawhi Leonard is a steal of a play at under 9k, and the rockets are god awful terrible at defending the wing. There is no reason you shouldn’t play him today. I will not be touching James Harden in any format. The Spurs really force him to play a different brand of basketball that he is not comfortable with. The pace really slows down and the Rockets will probably struggle in the halfcourt. Not my favorite game of the slate, but it does have potential.

Clippers vs Lakers

This game. This game right here. Gold mine, all the money. On Blake, on Paul, on Jordan, on Redick. On Crawford and Rivers, and Pierce and Stephenson. There isn’t a bad play you can have if you pick a Clipper for this game. I literally can’t think of a reason. The worst player on LAC would get at least 20 minutes in a Byron Scott rotation. In all seriousness, I love Deandre Jordan and CP3 the most. While Blake is expensive, I still would take my chances on him getting a triple double in less than 30 minutes of play. For the Lakers, Kobe makes for a great GPP play. Probably the best GPP play in all honesty. He could go 2-25 or he could give you 30 points. What a narrative that would be huh? With Kobe, it would not surprise me to see him have a good game. Lou Williams always sees minutes, so he also makes a decent cash game play at 5,400.

 

Thanks for reading and be sure to follow me on Twitter @BrandonHodge for any NBA DFS questions you may have!

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