NBA DFS Playbook: Top Plays, Values and Sleepers – 12/23

Chris Paul

NBA DFS Playbook: Top Plays, Values and Sleepers – 12/23

This is a huge slate of games today so there will be a lot of information to crunch into one article. You will be getting the top plays, values, and sleepers of all the games on tab for the night. I suggest checking various NBA DFS news outlets (I use Twitter and RotoWorld) as they will provide updates on all game-time decisions, inactive players, and other helpful news you may need to build your roster. I suggest playing Turbo and Late night sessions tonight, as you can condense the number of players you will be picking from and focus on a more precise strategy. However, if you are looking to play an all night session that includes all 13 games, do not worry about player ownership as much. Good luck tonight everyone!

 

Top Plays

Kevin Durant/Russell WestbrookSelf explanatory. Still the best one-two punch in the NBA in scoring. The risk of a blowout is there, but the upside of 60-70 points is very much in play if this game manages to stay close.

Stephen CurryCurry is the best player in the NBA. That cannot be denied, as he is still averaging almost 32 points per contest 27 games into the year. His price is ridiculous on Draftkings and throughout the industry, so be cautious. Saving 3000 at the position will get you Isiah Thomas who has been just as good in the past two weeks. Weigh your options, decide what is best for your roster. But again, you can’t actually go wrong with Steph.

Paul George: PG13 will absolutely dominant the competition tonight. His price tag is under 10,000 which makes him a must play. His team doesn’t really face the problem of a blowout, the minutes will be there, and the upside is insane. Don’t overthink this one.

Other Top Plays include: Demarcus Cousins, Anthony Davis, John Wall, James Harden, Andre Drummond, and LeBron James. All of these players also make for solid points to construct your roster around.

Top Values:

C.J. McCollum: With Lillard out, McCollum will see all the work. Expect 20+ shots and another 5-10 from the charity stripe. CJ has two bad ankles, but if he is healthy enough to play, he should not have any issues putting up a big night. Portland needs the scoring badly.

Tim Frazier: Frazier played 48 minutes last game which is hard to fathom. He had a respectable line of 12-7-7, which is underwhelming for 48 minutes. If only we could get Steph Curry or Westbrook out there for that long. Either way his price is under 4k on Draftkings and he should still see a ton of minutes, especially if McCollums ankles begin to flare up.

Kelly Oubre: Otto Porter is doubtful for tonights game against the Grizzlies so continue to monitor his status as it ties directly to Oubre. If Porter indeed sits, I love how great the rook has been playing. He should see upwards of 25 minutes, and for this price, I can’t stay away. He makes solid value for this slate.

There is a ton of value today. Make sure you are careful in picking your spots. My number one correlation to value is how many minutes the player is getting. Time doesn’t always equal production, but it does increase the chances of it. Finding the player under $4000 that will get you 30+ fantasy points will put you in the money.

Top Sleepers

Enes KanterKanter dominated the Lakers in the last matchup almost doubling his expected value output. This game was a blowout, and Westbrook and Durant did not need to score opening up shot attempts for Kanter. I can not fathom any reason why tonight should be different. The Lakers are still very bad and will allow a lot of rebounding opportunities. A double-double should be in reach. He won’t take the court until 10:30 EST and a lot of players rather start hot than try to finish hot with their DFS teams.

Michael Carter-Williams: MCW plays in a revenge game tonight against a Sixers team that simply gave up on him for draft picks and opportunity. If the minutes are there, MCW is a triple double threat against his former team. He has been playing well of late and has shown confidence shooting the ball. There are about 10 other guards that make for ‘better’ plays, but very few will actually pull the trigger on the Bucks PG. This could leave you with the perfect setup for a GPP.

Dwight HowardYes, D12 makes my sleeper list. I actually believe Dwight is the top center on the night, through every game. I think his ownership on a 13 game slate will be around 5-9 % which is very low. A ton of DFS players will attempt to save value by going with Lopez, a lot will take their chances with higher upside plays such as Gasol, Gortat, and Drummond, and many will simply spend all of their salary on expensive forwards and guards. Throw in his ‘revenge’ game against the Magic and this makes for a very solid opportunity. I could be wrong and Dwight could throw up an egg… But all signs point to a very efficient night with high upside from the big man.

A Sleeper is simply a low ownership player, a player that has been slumping, or a player who you just have a hunch about. When taking your chances on a sleeper pick, weigh your options carefully and consider only using them in giant leagues and contests.

 

Thanks for reading and be sure to follow me on Twitter @BrandonHodge for any NBA DFS questions you may have!

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