NFL DFS: Week 13 Monday and Thursday Night Playbook

Carson Palmer and Larry FItzgerald

Week 14 of the season is always one of my favorites to play NFL DFS. There’s always a spike in popularity and contests will fill up quicker due to seasonal leagues starting playoffs. People still have the itch to play fantasy football, and DFS is a natural pivot for people to fill that void. This translates into lower pay lines and more variation in contests so we can take more risks when constructing our lineups. Let’s take advantage of all these newbies and close out the final stretch of the season to build that bankroll.

 

Quarterback

Carson Palmer

If you’re playing in a cash game, there’s no better option at the position. If Russell Wilson can torch the Vikings secondary, there’s no doubt in my mind Palmer can surpass those numbers. Palmer has the highest ceiling of any other QB, and he’s a lock for all cash games this week.

Matt Cassel

Cassel is my sneaky play of the week. I know he’s been terrible, but this is a big game for Dallas. With a win tonight, they’d only be one game back in the division which speaks volumes of the NFC East. His best games these season has come against division opponents and this game could easily turn into a shootout. His ownership will be one of the lowest in any contest, so that makes him perfect for a GPP play.

 

Running Back

Darren McFadden

Throwing out last week against the Seahawks, McFadden has been a gem this season since earning the starting job over Joseph Randle. He’s gotten over 17 carries in five of the past six weeks, and has at least 3 catches in his previous three games. You won’t find that kind of volume in most other offenses in the league, and he’s going to be the key to this offense producing points tonight.

Adrian Peterson

You can’t blame Peterson’s for Sunday’s disaster. Teddy Bridgewater laid a massive turd on the field and the game was over halfway through the first quarter. It’s not the best matchup for him, but AP can go for 200+ rushing yards against anyone in the league. Minnesota will look to keep the Cardinals explosive offense off the field so they’ll use Peterson often to slow the game down. I’m paying up for him with no hesitation.

David Johnson/Andre Ellington

Ellington sat out Sunday’s game, so it’s unlikely he will play on Thursday. If he does, he makes for the perfect GPP play. If Ellington is out, I have no problems using Johnson but strictly in cash games. It was good to see Bruce Arians give Johnson the majority of the carries since he hates playing rookies. I wouldn’t worry about Kerwynn Williams eating into his touches.

 

Wide Receiver

DeSean Jackson

DJax is a boom or bust play every week, so he is the very definition of a GPP play. Coming into tonight, he has consecutive games finding the pay dirt. When the Redskins need a big play, he’s the guy they look for down the field. Dallas doesn’t have the speed in the secondary to keep up with him either, so all it takes is one play for him to return his value at this price tag.

Dez Bryant

Call me crazy, but I think this is a week when Bryant shows flashes of his old self before the injury. Washington’s secondary is banged up and struggles against physical receivers. Even though he isn’t 100% healthy, he’s still the best player on the field. I think the Cowboys make it a priority to get him the ball often, and I would not be surprised if he has one of those big games we’ve been waiting for all season.

John Brown/Michael Floyd/Larry Fitzgerald

Okay, maybe this is cheating by naming all three guys but it’s my article so I’m going to do what I want. All three guys are in play and it strictly depends on where you want to spend up in your lineup. I wouldn’t stack all three in my lineup, but I wouldn’t blame anyone doing that in a tournament. The Cardinals were throwing the ball late into the game up 20+ points, so no need to worry about a blowout if the Vikings decide to take another week off again. If I had to rank them this week, I’d go Floyd, Fitz, then Brown.

 

Tight End

Jordan Reed

I’m feel pretty confident in saying Reed is going to be the most owned layer out of anyone this week. Kirk Cousins looks for him all over the field and looks to get him the ball in big situations. Dallas is below average at defending tight ends and Reed is averaging over 8 targets a game. He’s a lock in cash games this week, and I wouldn’t mind using him as a flex play either.

Kyle Rudolph

As someone who has believed in Rudolph all season, I’m just as befuddled as everyone else at his production. Frustrating is a gross understatement. If there is one way to beat the Cardinals though, it’s with the tight end. Stefon Diggs has faded into oblivion and will be shadowed by Patrick Peterson so that means one less option in the passing game. Teddy Bridgewater doesn’t throw the ball over 30 yards either, and he has been looking for Rudolph more recently so hopefully that translates into more production for Rudolph.

 

Defense

Arizona Cardinals

Great defense and playing at home against a struggling offense on a short week. Enough said.

Washington Redskins

Even though I think Cassel will be better this week, he’s still a backup quarterback at the end of the day. He’s thrown 75 interceptions in 97 career games, so saying he’s turnover prone is an understatement. Not to mention DeSean Jackson returns punts and he has the speed to break one for the end zone at any time.

 

Kicker

Dan Bailey/Chandler Catanzaro

Catanzaro is the chalk here. He’s kicks for one of the best offenses in the league. Bailey is a nice GPP play because they Cowboys always look for points any way they can get them. Dallas should be able to move the ball and he’s still got the range that Jason Garrett  trusts him to put it through the uprights.

You can reach me on Twitter with any thoughts, questions, concerns, or just want to talk fantasy sports. 

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