NFL DFS: Week 11 Monday and Thursday Night Playbook

Rob Gronkowski

This week’s NFL DFS playbook is going to be fun. We have four games on the gridiron, with three of them coming on Thursday. Nothing says Thanksgiving like turkey, football, and that weird uncle who has a story for every occasion. Let’s make the most of these extra games and win some extra cash to go with that stuffing.

 

Quarterback

Tom Brady

In 27 career games, Brady has thrown for 61 scores and over 6,700 yards against the Bills. That averages out to around 2.5 touchdowns and and 250 yards. I think that’s easily a baseline for what Brady will do tonight. That kind of floor is hard to pass up, and he’s easily the best play for cash games this week.

Matthew Stafford

This has less to do with Stafford playing better and more about how bad the Eagles are right now. They got obliterated by the Buccaneers on Sunday, letting Jameis Winston throw for 5 touchdowns to five different receivers. Stafford hasn’t played exceptional, but anyone throwing to Calvin Johnson against a bad secondary makes for a great DFS play.

Jay Cutler

Anyone that takes a look at the box scores over the past few weeks wouldn’t exactly get excited about Cutler. But if you watch the games, Cutler has looked sharp when they needed him to in clutch moments. He should have Alshon Jeffery back this week, and hopefully Matt Forte as well. I think he’s a sneaky GPP against a Packers team that hasn’t looked great the past month.

 

Running Back

Darren McFadden

DMC has defied logic so far this season staying healthy. Nothing has made me happier as a season long owner of the guy. But in daily, it’s hard to find a guy that touches the ball 20+ times a game like he’s been doing since getting the starting gig. It’s not an easy matchup against the Panthers, but the only way the Cowboys have a chance of winning this game is by using McFadden to set up the pass. I also don’t see his ownership being overly high so he makes for a nice GPP play.

LeGarrette Blount

Trying to figure out the Patriots plan of attack isn’t exactly coloring by numbers. With Julian Edelman and Dion Lewis sidelined, it does clear something up a bit. Blount will continue to be the feature back, and I expect the Patriots to lean heavily on him later in the game. With them being at home and New England looking to score 100 points a game, Blount will get his opportunities to do some damage against the Bills.

Jonathan Stewart

Stewart is one of those guys I refuse to play in DFS. His production was unreliable and he was injury prone in years past. But it’s hard not to like Stewart when Cam Newton is under center playing at a MVP level. The Panthers have had their way with teams, and Stewart has been getting 20+ touches a game. While the touchdowns haven’t been there, it’s hard to argue with the carries he’s been getting. Stewart should be in line for another heavy workload.

Eddie Lacy

Fat Eddie finally looked like the player we expected him to be at the start of the season. James Starks will continue to get touches, but the Packers leaned on Lacy when the game mattered most on Sunday. I have to think they will use the run game in a similar manner against the Bears on Sunday.

 

Wide Receiver

Calvin Johnson

Calvin and Stafford appear to be hitting their strides with each other late in the season. He has almost 30 targets over the past three weeks, and Philly should be able to put up points against this Lions shaky pass defense to keep the offense throwing the ball. While his numbers haven’t been outstanding, it’s hard to imagine Johnson not having a solid game against the Eagles on Thursday.

Jordan Matthews

Matthews has been frustrating this season. He didn’t do anything on Sunday when everything lined up for him to have a monster game. But watching the game, Mark Sanchez looked for Matthews more than any other receiver. If Sam Bradford is back this week, then I like him less though but he still makes for a nice GPP play. With a lot of people fading Matthews this week, I’m going to get right back on the horse and give him one final chance in my lineups.

Randall Cobb

Cobb has been one of the biggest busts so far this season. There is no way around it. He did grab a touchdown against the Vikings, so that does help his fantasy value knowing Rogers is still looking for him. Also, Cobb had 9 targets to go along with that. One of these games Cobb is going to bust out of his slump, and it’s not crazy to think it’s this week against a bad Bears secondary. 

Brandon LaFell

LaFell is my contrarion play this week since everyone is going to be on Danny Amendola. It’s not the best matchup for him, but I think he has just as much upside as Amendola with half the ownership. Grabbing any piece of the Patriots offense is never a bad idea as well, especially for a guy who’s been getting the most snaps behind Julian Edelman since his return this season.

Dez Bryant

Dez is going to be a boom or bust guy this week. Maybe I’m crazy, but I actually think he’ll be on the boom side against Josh Norman. I know Norman has been the best corner in the league this season, but the Cowboys have no room for error if they want to have any chance at the playoffs. Romo looked for Dez more than any other receiver in his first game back, and that amount of volume always bodes well for one of the best receivers in the game.

 

Tight End

Rob Gronkowski

He’s the best tight end in football on a team that’s had an extra day to prepare against a division rival. It’s never a bad decision to Gronk when you have the chance.

Jason Witten

Witten is my sneaky GPP play this week. The Panthers defense will look to shut down Dez Bryant and McFadden, and Witten is Tony Romo’s safety blanket. People will be fading him because of his down week against the Dolphins, but that makes him even more enticing this week. Witten may not find the end zone, but he should have the targets to make up for it.

Greg Olsen

It’s hard not to like a guy who’s scored 6 times over his last 8 games. Olsen is a red zone machine, and the number one threat in the Panthers passing attack. If this game is close, and I think it will be, Cam Newton will be looking for Olsen all over the field.

 

Defense

New England Patriots

No brainer here, they are by far the best option this week with so many explosive players in the other games. They’re the only defense I want for cash games this week.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys are my GPP defense this week. They played really well on Sunday against the Dolphins. With the offense playing better, the defense will be on the field less which means less opportunities for them to make mistakes. They’ll need to play just as well on Thursday to keep the Cowboys in the game against the Panthers.

 

Kicker

Stephen Gostkowski

Why not complete a Patriots stack with their kicker? Only makes sense if you believe in them scoring a ton that you’d look to get points here as well.

Mason Crosby

The Packers will be able to move the ball against the Bears. With Aaron Rodgers and company struggling at times, Crosby has been the benefactor from the offense stalling out. While I do think that the Packers can blow out the Bears, anything is possible in divisional games on a short week.

You can reach me on Twitter with any thoughts, questions, concerns, or just want to talk fantasy sports. 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>