NFL DFS: Week 10 Monday and Thursday Night Playbook

DeAndre Hopkins

Welcome back to the NFL DFS Monday and Thursday night playbook. From a football perspective, this week’s slate of games won’t blow anyone away. But from a fantasy standpoint, these games offer a lot of fantasy output. This is why we love fantasy football. Don’t let that deter you from entering in this weeks contest, and let’s continue to build on our success so far this season.

 

Quarterback

Brian Hoyer

I don’t think most people realize how well Hoyer has played since he took back the starting job in week 4. He’s thrown 12 touchdowns over that span with only two interceptions. That’s not going to light the world on fire, but he makes for a solid contrarian play. Three out of his previous four games has resulted in over 20 fantasy points. I expect the Bengals play him tough, but expecting 20 points from him is not as far fetched as it may seem.

Blake Bortles

Even with his erratic fantasy production, Bortles has had a nice stretch of games that is out producing his price tag. It helps when you’re throwing to the Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns. Tennessee’s defense doesn’t sway me from fading Bortles, and I feel much more confident in him producing than Marcus Mariota.

 

Running Back

Jeremy Hill

Hill hasn’t lived up to his price tag in some time, but if there ever was a week to get right than this is the one. That’s another reason why I think he’s a sneaky play this week with his ownership not being as high.

T.J. Yeldon

I’m a big believer in Yeldon and it’s done nothing but disappoint me so far. I know it’s not his fault his line hasn’t played well, but you got to believe that he could do more with the volume of touches he’s getting. Toby Gerhart stinks and Denard Robinson can’t stay healthy this season. I’ll always invest in a guy that will get 20+ touches in hopes he can make something happen.

Giovani Bernard

Stacking running backs is one of the cardinal sins of DFS. So why am I recommending it? Well, the other options are complete and utter trash to be honest. There’s no set running back in Tennessee. Andrews has been getting the carries, but it’s only a matter of time before David Cobb starts working into the rotation. Houston is a three-headed monster with Alfred Blue, Jonathan Grimes, and Chris Polk. Bernard will at least see the field on third downs and get some runs sprinkled in here or there. I’d much rather invest in the Cincinnati run game than the Titans or Texans.

 

Wide Receiver

Allen Robinson/Allen Hurns

Food for thought here: name me a receiving core that has been more consistent than the Allens this season? Eric Decker and Brandon Marshall and maybe Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree. Since week five, both receivers have caught at least one score except once. Can’t get much better than that. If you’re rolling Bortles out there tonight, I love the stack of Robinson and Hurns as well.

DeAndre Hopkins/Nate Washington

Outside of Julio Jones, Hopkins has been the best fantasy wide receiver all season. He’s had over 20 fantasy points in all but two games this season. It’s always hard to roster a guy you know is going to be highly owned, but Hopkins is worth the money because his upside is massive. Washington is my sneaky play since people will be fading him with Cecil Shorts returning to the lineup. He’s been a fantasy monster the last two games and double digit points certainly isn’t out the question.

A.J. Green

I don’t recommend using both Green and Hopkins because it will eat up too much of your budget, but Green makes for a nice alternative play to Hopkins. He’s been solid all year, but his production has been all over the place. Johnathan Joseph has been pretty bad this year unlike years past. Green should eat him for lunch and has a good chance of finding the endzone as well.

 

Tight End

Delanie Walker

Everyone will be all over Tyler Eifert for his production last week, but don’t make that mistake. I always say not to chase last weeks numbers and Walker has been the model of consistency when Mariota is under center. He has double digit fantasy points in every game except two. He’s my guy this week at the position. 

Julius Thomas

Not to my surprise, Thomas has looked nothing like he did last season. Granted, he’s been banged up for most of this season but he’s only had one good game. Everything else has been poo poo. This is mostly a guy feeling, but I think Thomas finds the endzone this week. If the Jags get it inside the red zone, Thomas should get a couple looks. If he scores once, that’s all you need for him to hit value.

 

Defense

Jacksonville Jaguars/Tennessee Titans

These two are basically the same price, so have your pick. I’d lean Jacksonville slightly here because they face a rookie quarterback, but Tennessee isn’t a bad option either. Both quarterbacks are turnover prone and it’s very likely one gets returned for a touchdown.

 

Kicker

Mike Nugent/Nick Novak

I expect this to be a higher scoring affair than people realize. Nugent is by far the best of the two, but he is also the most expensive. If Andy Dalton and company can’t find the paydirt, than Nugent will be money tonight. Novak kicks for a team that runs the most plays and controls the clock. Hard to not like a kicker for an offense that stays on the field as much as Houston does.

You can reach me on Twitter with any thoughts, questions, concerns, or just want to talk fantasy sports. 

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