Daily Fantasy Basketball Playbook – 10/30

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NBA Daily Fantasy Playbook- 10/30 It’s the first Friday night of the season in the Association.  A nice twelve game schedule featuring LeBron playing the Heat, and a rematch of last years Western Conference finals with Golden State travelling to Houston.  Let’s get right to some plays. *Note- Salary’s used are from DraftKing

POINT GUARD

Top Plays:

Stephen Curry, GS ($9900)- Not much explanation needed.  Curry started his quest for back to back MVP awards with a ho hum 40 points, 7 assist, 6 rebound game.  GS/HOU is highest total on the board tonight.

Russell Westbrook, OKC ($10,100)- Again, no explanation needed here.  Started 2015-2016 with 33 and 10.  It’s a glorious time for point guard play in the NBA.

Damian Lillard, POR ($9300)- Lillard is going to get all the opportunities to possibly lead the NBA in scoring this season with the overhaul in Portland.   His opening night line of 21 points, 11 assists and 5 boards might be standard with a few more points and a couple fewer dimes.

John Wall, WAS ($9100)- The three point guards mentioned above will be toward the higher owned side.  Wall represents a nice contrarian play in GPP’s with a huge upside.

Mid Priced:

CJ McCollum, POR ($6400)- Quite the debut for everyone’s preseason darling with 37 points with 6 treys.  Price jumped a bunch from $4800.  Felt obligated to mention him here, but with the price increase and his production almost solely based on his scoring, and his likely high ownership again,  I’m shying away tonight.

Emmanuel Mudiay, DEN ($5700)- The rookie has been given the keys to the car by head coach Mike Malone.  Saw 38 minutes in the Nuggets opener, contributing 17 points, 5 rebounds, 9 assists and 3 three pointers.  Yes, there were 11 turnovers also.  Match up tonight with Minnesota should be an up and down the floor type of game.

Mo Williams, CLE ($5,300)- I’m looking more at Tuesday’s game line for Mo as mwhere Cleveland blew the doors off the Grizzlies in the second half of a back to back where he played just 23 minutes.  Expect him back in the 30’s for minutes tonight vs. Miami

Bargain Bin: Isaiah Canaan, PHI ($4,800)- Injuries in the Philly back court leave Canaan as one of the teams few de facto scorers.  He’s not a distributing PG but put up 18 points with 7 boards in 38 minutes of action in the 76ers opener.  Last year when he saw 30+ minutes of action he averaged 16.8 points, 4 assists and 3.7 rebounds.

Marcus Smart ($4,700)- I do not recommend using Celtics in cash games.  You just can’t trust Brad Stevens rotation night to night.  But Smart has big upside in GPP’s with the way he’s capable of stuffing the stat sheet.  You just don’t know if he’s going to get 30+ minutes or less than 20.

Greivis Vasquez, MIL ($3,700)- Speculative cheap option play for GPP.  OJ Mayo is out once again tonight leaving minutes to be had in the Milwaukee backcourt.  Came off the bench for 29 minutes with 15 points, 7 rebounds and assists Wednesday, a solid 30.75 DraftKings point outing.

Sorry, I realize that is a lot of point guards but the level of play in the league at that position is just incredible.

SHOOTING GUARD

Top Plays:

James Harden, HOU ($10,300)- The clear top dog at SG tonight is the beard.  Had a rough shooting night in the Rockets opener, still managed 22/6/6 line and 46 DK points.  As mentioned with Steph Curry, highest total on the board tonight in this game.  A top option overall (duh).

Victor Oladipo, ORL (&7100)- Orlando is going to need to score tonight to keep up with Oklahoma City.  Enter ‘Dipo.  The third year Hoosier looks primed for a breakout year and is another player who has the ability to contribute all over the stat sheet.

Mid Priced:

Bradley Beal, WAS ($6,100)- Another potential breakout star, Beal opened his 2015 campaign with 24 points and 6 rebounds with 2 three pointers.  With John Wall running the show, Beal should get plenty of ample scoring opportunities tonight against Milwaukee backcourt starting Jerryd Bayless at SG.

Kobe Bryant, LAL ($6,800)- Daily fantasy doesn’t care about shooting percentages ( well, it used to, RIP DraftStreet), so the old man is still a viable option.  Kobe hoisted up 24 shots in 29 minutes of action in the Lakers opener.  Tonight’s game in Sacramento has the second highest total in Vegas.

Bargain Bin:

Danny Green, SA ($4800)- Green is not a player you’re going to use in cash games, often times coming up with duds ( like Wednesday’s opener), but he is someone to look at in GPP’s.   His ability to score in bunches with his three point shooting, plus contributions in steals and blocks makes him an attractive try in tourneys.

SMALL FORWARD

Top Plays:

Kevin Durant, OKC ($9400)- 22 points with 6 rebounds is a decent start to the season but when you’re Kevin Durant it’s unacceptable in fantasy circles.  The matchup improves infinitely tonight as the Thunder and KD move away from Kawhi Leonard and onto Orlando, where OKC has one of the highest individual team point totals.  Figure on Durant’s ownership being down tonight after his bad start, so he makes for a nice tourney play as well as cash.

Kawhi Leonard, SA ($7700)- If Wednesday’s opener was any indication, we are in for quite the treat this season with Leonard.  A career high 32 points, with 8 rebounds, 3 steals and 2 blocks.  The only thing getting in his way this season is getting Pop’d.  Concern tonight is a blowout vs. Brooklyn, as San Antonio is a 14 point favorite.  That’s my hesitation as a cash game play. Rather perhaps use:

Rudy Gay, SAC ($7,500)- Sacramento is the highest team total of the night at 109.5.  After almost missing Wednesday’s opener after the birth of his child, Gay should be back at full throttle for tonight.  The Lakers don’t offer much in the way of defense so Gay could be looking at a big scoring night.

Mid Priced:

Danilo Gallinari, DEN ($6300)- Expected to take on more of the offensive load in Denver this year, Gallo certainly disappoint in the Nuggets opener when he poured in 23 points with 3 treys, to go along with 8 boards and 3 blocks.  Mentioned earlier tonight’s game vs. Minnesota could be up and down the court which bodes well for another solid night for him.

Marcus Morris, DET ($5100)- Morris seems to be fitting well in Detroit.  He’s seeing plenty of court time with 37 and 35 minutes played in the Pistons first two games, while averaging 16 points and 8 boards.

Gordon Hayward, UTH ($6,900)- It was a dreadful start to the season for the Butler Bulldog, opening with just 13 points.  He gets a good chance to get back to his scoring ways tonight with a tilt in Philly.  While Nerlens Noel occupies front court mate Derrick Favors, Hayward should hopefully be able to get back on track.

Bargain Bin:

Al-Faroug Aminu, POR ($4600)- Going to see a lot of Blazers in DFS circles as they just don’t have the overall depth, so starters should play aplenty.  Aminu played 31 minutes Wednesday coming off a bad hamstring.  A good rebounder who adds steals and blocks, any scoring is a welcome addition to his daily game.

Jae Crowder, BOS ($4400)- I mentioned with Marcus Smart I don’t recommend Celtics in cash games but Crowder is another one I don’t mind throwing in a GPP lineup to save salary.  He seems to be a Brad Stevens favorite, and like Aminu possesses the ability to accrue points in the defensive stats.  Can score and rebound as well, throwing in the occasional 3 ball.

JaKarr Sampson, PHI ($3100)- At basically the bare price minimum, Sampson doesn’t have to do much to earn value.  A game like Wednesday’s 13 points, 4 rebound, steal game accomplishes the trick.  If he gets another start tonight, he could be a decent source of salary relief if looking to play a few big guns.

POWER FORWARD

Top Plays:

Greg Monroe, MIL ($7700)- Monroe had quite the debut with his new team ( although the team did not) scoring 22 points, grabbing 14 rebounds while also contributing 4 assists, 2 steals and 2 blocks.  He will be the focal point of the Milwaukee offense most nights.

Paul Millsap, ATL ( $7700)- A great thing about rostering Millsap is the on nights he is off scoring ( like his 11 spot last night), he can still give you a big fantasy night, as evidenced by his 11 rebounds, 5 assists and 5 steals in last nights tilt at New York.  Even though its very early in the season, be wary of coach Mike Budenholzer and his team playing back to backs.

Also: Pau Gasol, CHI ($7,600)

Mid Priced:

Nerlens Noel, PHI ($6900)- If Noel starts scoring in double figures nightly, he is going to be much more than $6900 soon enough.  Double digit rebounds and just an animal with steals and blocks, Noel gets his fantasy points in many different ways.

Nikola Mirotic, CHI ($6600)- Grabbing a starting position has certainly agreed with the European import.  He has just missed double doubles in Chicago’s first two outings going for 19/9 and 18/9 slashes with 7 triples thrown in.  A delicious match up with Ersan Illyasova awaits tonight.

Also: Kenneth Faried, DEN ($6600),  Serge Ibaka, OKC ($5900)

Bargain Bin:

Julius Randle, LAL ($5200)- I realize this isn’t the biggest “bargain” at $5200, but there is nobody below this price point I was enthralled with.  Randle is a nightly double double threat, already collecting one in the Lakers opener with 15 points and 11 rebounds.  That’s big on DK with the dbl-dbl bonus.  He won’t give you much else, but should see plenty of minutes in tonight’s game at the Kings

CENTER

Top Plays:

DeMarcus Cousins, SAC ($10,200)- Yes, he’s good and now he’s making threes (4-5 from downtown Wednesday).  Yes, Roy Hibbert is big, but very slow and shouldn’t really slow down Boogie.  Enjoy the feast.

Andre Drummond, DET ($8100)- I’m not a believer in using Drummond much in cash games cause of his propensity for foul trouble, but you can’t ignore his prowess for getting those valuable double doubles with a few blocks thrown in.  Tough match up on defensive side with Pau leaves me a tad hesitant tonight.  I’d use in GPP’s though.

Rudy Gobert, UTH ($7200)- The “Stifle Tower” did not have a good night offensively with only 6 points in the Jazz’s opener.  He was still able to grab 12 rebounds and block 3 shots.  Better matchup tonight with a poor defender in Jahlil Okafor most likely on him.

Mid Priced:

Jonas Valanciunas, TOR ($6,200)- 21 points and 15 rebounds for openers, J-Val should be able to patrol the paint vs. the Celtics tonight.  Prone to the occasional clunker however, like more in GPP’s

Haasan Whiteside, MIA ($6,500)- Was just awful in the Miami opener with 4 points and 6 boards.  Strictly a GPP flier as he won’t be heavily owned at all.

ALSO: Karl Anthony Towns ($5900), Enes Kanter ($6200)

Bargain Bin:

Meyers Leonard, POR ($4500)- What do you know, another Trail Blazer.  34 minutes in season debut, and got going after a slow start.  Can pile up points, boards and hit 3’s.  A quality value tonight in Phoenix.

Joffrey Lauvergne, DEN ($4200)- Certainly not as enticing tonight at $4200 as he was Wednesday at $3000, King Joffrey still holds appeal.  An every night candidate for foul trouble, he still doesn’t need all that much to get value.  If he stays on court he should get it.

Festus Ezeli, GS ($3100) – With Andrew Bogut out tonight, Ezeli may get the start for the Warriors.  Minimally priced at $3100, could be a good value play if he gets the starting nod.  Looked improved in opener with 13 points in 17 minutes.  Quality shot blocker and rebounder.

Thanks and good luck tonight, and every night!  Any questions hit me up on twitter @bsteinhause or @fakeroundball and the crew @saidhehadastory, @brianjodoin, @brandonhodge

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