NFL DFS: Week 7 Monday and Thursday Night Playbook

Brady and Gronkowski are crucial players in this year's auction drafts (AJ Mast/AP Images)

Welcome back to this week NFL DFS Monday and Thursday playbook. Last week was absolutely abysmal. There was less than 60 points scored between the Monday and Thursday games. I can almost guarantee that this week will not have the same pitiful result. Time to right the ship and get back to finish above the pay line as week 7 comes to a close.

 

Quarterback 

Carson Palmer

Palmer was easily my number one guy at the position this week for all DFS contests coming into this week. He’s been on fire so far this season and he’s coming off of a game where he threw for over 400 yards. The Ravens defense is a shell of its former self and things aren’t going to get any easier against this explosive Cardinals offense. I like Palmer as a nice alternative to Brady this week. Speaking of which…

 

Tom Brady

Don’t try to be the smartest guy in the room here. Brady is always in play every week he steps on to the field. The Patriots are in “double birds to the world” mode where scoring below 100 points a week just isn’t good enough. Take this past game against the Jets for example: less than two minutes left in the game in which they are winning, Brady threw a touchdown pass on second down to Rob Gronkowski. Brady will continue to throw the ball this week and attack the red hot Dolphins secondary. If you can afford him, he’s always worth the price.

 

Running Back

 Lamar Miller

Miller has finally shown that he is the back the Dolphins always intended for him to be. Granted, it took firing of Joe Philbin to do so because apparently Damien Williams and Jonas Gray deserve equal touches in his eyes. Miller didn’t play a snap in the second half on Sunday, but that had to do with being up by 45 points and they were looking to save him for this Thursday night. The Pats, while undefeated, have a very mediocre defense at best and are susceptible to the run. The Dolphins will want to manage this game and keep Brady off the field, so I expect a heavy dose of Miller in order to do so.

 

Justin Forsett

I know this isn’t a sexy pick, but if the Ravens want to have any chance of winning this game tonight then they need to rely on Forsett heavily. Much like Miller and the Dolphins, the Ravens will want to keep Carson Palmer and company on the sideline as often as possible. Not to mention, Joe Flacco’s receiving options are very limited to put it nicely. Buck Allen hasn’t proven anything yet either, so Forsett isn’t in danger of losing carries to third down. The volume of touches he should get should more than pay off his price tag.

 

Chris Johnson

I always like exposure to the running back on a potential blow out, so that’s why I’m loving Johnson this week. The Cardinals do have a RBBC, but Johnson has been getting the majority of the touches in the backfield ever since Andre Ellington went down. Add in the fact that his price tag is super cheap and it allows expensive guys like Brady and Gronk, I like Johnson as a sneaky play this week.

 

Wide Receiver

Steve Smith

Remember how I said Joe Flacco is hurting for receivers? Well Smith is the only guy he feels comfortable throwing to it seems. Kamar Aiken is an interesting option, but I don’t have confidence in the guy to recommend him. Flacco will be needing to throw a ton tonight and Smith should easily make his money even in a .5 PPR.

 

Larry Fitzgerald

I like all three Cardinals receivers with him in John Brown and Michael Floyd, but I think Fitz will be less owned than people realize. Every one is back in love with John Brown this week because of his monster game last week, but I’m not as confident he can repeat those numbers this week. Fitz seems to have found the fountain of youth, and he is Palmers most trust receiver. If you can fit him in, he’s the one I’m targeting to get a piece of this Cardinal receiving corps.

 

Rishard Matthews

This is my sneaky play this week. Jarvis Landry has been a machine all season, but Matthews has, to my surprise, been pretty consistent this season. He’s the guy that will be making or breaking my lineups tonight. If there is one thing that Bill Belichick does well, it’s taking away your best player. With Landry getting all the exposure, I expect Matthews to step right in and fill the void to get a ton of looks from Ryan Tannehill.

 

Julian Edelman

This is another guy I think will be less owned than people realize with the breakout game of Danny Amendola on Sunday. Edelman is still Brady’s go to receiver not named Gronkowski. The dolphins defense has the physical corners on the outside, but nobody that can cover Edelman in the slot. The running game for the Pats is in shambles as well, and they use these short passes basically as their running attack. I like the Patriots stack this week and I would love to find a way to get him in there.

 

Tight End

Rob Gronkowski

If you can afford him, do it. Nothing else needs to be said.

 

Crockett Gillmore

No Maxx Williams this week means Bottle Crockett will be second in command behind Steve Smith. Like I’ve said before, the Ravens will need to throw and Gillmore is their best receiving option behind Smith and Aiken. If there is one way to attack the Cardinals, it is at the tight end position.

 

Defense

 Arizona Cardinals

They are far and away the best play this week. The made Colin Kaepernick look like Colin Kaepernick, so I expect them to make Joe Flacco look like, well, Joe Flacco.

 

New England Patriots

At this point, you can just play any Patriot and I wouldn’t have a problem this week. I expect some people will do just that. If you cant afford the Cardinals, this is the only other defense I’m going after.

 

Kicker

Stephen Gostkowski

There is an ongoing joke in one of my season long leagues that Gostkowski is a WR2. Part of that is being funny while the other part of that is honestly true. He’s not that much more expensive tonight, so I’m going to have him everywhere in my FanDuel lineups. If you want to be different, I’d go with Chandler Catanzaro.

 

You can reach me on Twitter with any thoughts, questions, concerns, or just want to talk fantasy sports. 

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