Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread

ED MULHOLLAND/USA TODAY SPORTS

Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread features the opportunity to find some serious value from teams that you wouldn’t typically expect. This week features a pick in the London game. It also features a bounce back opportunity for a team heading home. Lets see if we can pick some winners.

>Season Total 19-9-2
>Upset Alert 4-2

New York Jets +9 at New England Patriots

It’s hard to step in front of the New England Patriots, who have been steam rolling opponents, but they are the right side here. Julian Edelman typically struggles against the Jets averaging less than 4 catches and 40 yards. The Jets front seven is stout and should slow the run game. Ryan Fitzpatrick will have to be able to throw well enough to keep the Jets in this game. Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker should produce for Fitzmagic. I think the Patriots win this game but it will be around a field goal 23-20 or 27-24 sounds about right.

St. Louis Rams -6 vs Cleveland Browns

This is a big number for a Rams offense that is far from the greatest show on turf, but I think they can. They have an explosive defense that seems to excel at home. The face Josh McCown and the Browns, who had been playing well until last week when they faced the Broncos tough defense. I expect another poor performance this week. On offense for the Rams, Todd Gurley has proven to be worthy of the high draft pick. The Browns struggle against the rush. This all sets up for a game the Rams control with a strong running game and defense. The Rams will cover the 6 points and then some.

Minnesota Vikings -2.5 at Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions played their best game of the season last week and needed overtime to beat the Chicago Bears. This week they are home again and face a Vikings defense that has a ton of talent. I expect Adrian Peterson to take advantage of a Lions defense that will be without Deandre Levy. The Vikings should do enough on both sides of the ball to cover the 2.5 points even on the road.

New York Giants -3.5 vs Dallas Cowboys

The Giants are home this week after an ugly performance a week ago in Philadelphia. It seemed like New York was going to dominate the game after marching right down the field and getting an Odell Beckham Jr. touchdown. However, after Larry Donnell coughed the football up, the Eagles seemed to gain traction and ran away with the game. I expect a rebound performance in this spot. They face a Cowboys offense that made the switch from Brandon Weeden to Matt Cassel, which I’m not sure is an upgrade. I expect an impressive performance by the Giants, winning this game going away.

JerseVegas.com

**Upset Special**

Can Blake Bortles lead the Jags to a win in London?  (USATSI)

Can Blake Bortles lead the Jags to a win in London? (USATSI)

Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 vs Buffalo Bills in London

I know the Jacksonville Jaguars are 1-5 this season but they are showing flashes of improvement. On offense Blake Bortles is playing well. Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns and the return of Julius Thomas gives Bortles three legit weapons. The Bills can be attacked via the pass. For the Bills, this is another E.J. Manuel game. They will be without Sammy Watkins and Percy Harvin in addition to Tyrod Taylor. I think the Jaguars can do enough to slow LeSean McCoy in this one. Expect the Jaguars to not only cover the 4.5 points but to get the outright win.

3 Comments

  1. Brick Top

    October 23, 2015 at 7:08 pm

    Where are the dfs early slate and late slate picks for tomorrow’s college games?

    This is 2 weeks in a row now that the best plays and bargain plays have not been posted for dfs!

    I understand that this is not a pay service, but if you offer dfs advice for the first six weeks of the season then stop posting them, it is going to cause readership to move on and begin to follow other, more consistent sites.

    • Regan Yant

      October 23, 2015 at 10:09 pm

      Our writer Brian, who was covering college DFS, left us mid-season for a different site offering to pay him more. Rather than continue the article with another writer who doesn’t follow college DFS and wouldn’t be giving you quality plays, we decided to scrap it until next year. I won’t poach another site for a writer for half a season, that’s not how you grow in this business.

      • Brick Top

        October 24, 2015 at 1:45 pm

        Thanks for the explanation. It is appreciated.

        I am a dfs player, and would like to continue reading Brian’s thoughts on different college and NFL players. Do you mind telling me what site he moved onto?

        Sounds like you were left in a lurch, which is unfortunate.

        Cheers – Dan

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