DraftKings Week 7: Get Your Gurley On

gurley

Coming into the season, many thought seeing Todd Gurley on the field by week 7 was far from a sure thing. But, not only have we’ve seen him, we’ve seen exactly how the Rams intend to use their prized stallion. And if his 30-carry performance against Green Bay in week 5 was any indication, they’re planning on making him the centerpiece of their offense.

Week 7 brings about the perfect opportunity to roster the former Georgia standout, as the Cleveland Browns pay a visit to the Rams. The Browns, you may well know, rank 32nd (that’s last, by the way) in opponent rushing yards per game, surrendering a whopping 149.8 yards per contest.

Opening Vegas lines have this game at a 42 1/2 over/under, with the Rams being a four point favorite at home. While another 30-carry game might not be on the docket for this game, what does bode well for Gurley is the projected low point total and the fact the Rams are slight favorites. Game script should stay in his favor for most – if not all – the game, giving him ample opportunity to crush his value threshold.

At a mere $5,000, he makes for an almost must-play in cash games, but can also be deployed in tournaments due to the absolute peach of a matchup. He may be highly-owned, but if he goes off he may very well be one of the players you have to have in your lineup if you even want a chance at cashing in tournaments.

Let’s see what other strong plays week 7 has to offer.

Quarterback

Cash Games Plays

Carson Palmer/Arizona ($6,700) vs. Baltimore

I recommended him last week and while the two interceptions are a slight stain on the final line, he didn’t disappoint so I’m going back to the well again. This week Palmer and the #BirdGang return home to the desert for a Monday night tilt with Baltimore, who are fast-becoming the go-to defense to stream against.

Cam Newton/Carolina ($6,600) vs. Philadelphia

Newton is ordinarily a GPP-only play for me due to his volatility and upside, but when he’s under $7,000 and facing a Philadelphia secondary coming off a short week and boasts Byron “Toast” Maxwell as their top cornerback, he suddenly becomes an excellent cash game play. The projected game total of 45 isn’t stellar, but thanks to Philly’s up-tempo style of play the Panthers should get a few extra possessions, giving Cam a higher floor.

Ryan Fitzpatrick/NYJ ($5,200) @ New England

“Fitzmagic” is the ultimate cheap play this week. Yes, he’s on the road but he’ll be facing a leaky New England secondary in a game with the second highest over/under on the slate, currently set at 49 points. The Patriots are huge favorites (-9), so it’s likely that Fitz will be dropping back most of the game to try and keep pace. He needs just around 15 points to pay off his salary, and with the weapons at his disposal plus the fact that he’ll be throwing a lot, you can feel secure in his floor.

Other Considerations: Andrew Luck/Indianapolis ($7,600) vs. New Orleans, Landry Jones/Pittsburgh ($5,100) @ Kansas City (if Vick is out)

GPP Play

Philip Rivers/San Diego ($6,500) vs. Oakland

Despite his absolute seller play, I feel Rivers is continually underrated. He’s thrown for 350-plus yards in four out of six games this year, and has attempted 30 or more passes in five of those, as well. San Diego, despite investing major draft capitol in their running game this year, really struggles to run the ball – and frankly, doesn’t try that hard anyway. They won’t find it any easier this week against Oakland, who surprisingly are quite stingy against the run (4th in the league). Once again, the burden will fall on Rivers’ shoulders to provide all the offense in a game that Vegas thinks will be somewhat high scoring, with an over/under of 47 points.

Running Back

Cash Game Plays

Devonta Freeman/Atlanta ($7,900) @ Tennessee

Look, I’m as surprised as everyone else that Freeman is a thing this year. Who in their right mind saw this coming? Oh well, it doesn’t matter now – he is. And until we see otherwise, he might have entered that Gronk/Antonio Brown (pre Vick, of course) territory where you start your lineups with him and go from there.

Adrian Peterson/Minnesota ($7,600) @ Detroit

Hopefully you didn’t invest too much in Peterson last week, as he was certainly the downfall of many a lineup. But, for as bad as his performance was, it’s important to remember that Minnesota’s identity, at least while they wait for Bridgewater to mature, is to run the ball. They didn’t veer from that last week when they gave him the ball 26 times, and they won’t against Detroit this week. In week 2, Peterson gashed the Lions for 134 yards. You can go back to the well again.

Frank Gore/Indianapolis ($4,900) vs. New Orleans

It’s pretty simple: did you see what Freeman did to the Saints last Thursday night? Now, at this point in their respective careers obviously Gore isn’t as explosive as Freeman, but he is running extremely well and shouldn’t have any trouble carving up that wet diaper that the Saints call a defense. This game has the highest over/under on the slate at 52 1/2 points, with the Colts as a four point favorite. Game script should be in his favor most of the game, and has an excellent shot at 100 yards and a score.

Other Considerations: Lamar Miller/Miami ($4,600) vs. Houston

GPP Play

Dion Lewis/New England ($6,500) vs. NYJ

Lewis’ price jump is one of the biggest head-scratchers for me this week, considering he laid a dud last Sunday night against Indianapolis. At $6,500, he’s priced out of consideration for cash games, even though the matchup against the Jets sets up much better than it does for Legarratte Blount and should see the smaller, quicker Lewis utilized much more than he was last week.

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Wide Receiver

Cash Play

Brandon Marshall ($7,800)/Eric Decker ($5,300)/NYJ @ New England

I list both of the Jets’ star receivers not because I recommend using them both in your cash lineups (though you could probably get away with it), but because you should at least find yourself rostering one of them. Both are seeing enough volume (especially Marshall) and are in a prime spot in a game where the Jets will probably be playing from behind most of the game.

Larry Fitzgerald/Arizona ($7,400) vs. Baltimore

Meet your Monday Night hammer for week 7. This one writes itself: one of the leagues premier passing attacks, at home, on Monday night, and facing a defense that couldn’t stop a flag football team. His targets all but lock in his floor, and rostering Fitz might rival Gurley as one of the biggest no-brainer’s this week.

Jarvis Landry/Miami ($6,200) vs. Houston

He’s anything but sexy, but week in and week out Landry may just be one of the safest plays. The Miami offense under Dan Campbell looks like it’s going to be more balanced than it was under Joe Philbin, but Landry is Tannehill’s first look almost every time he drops back.

Other Considerations: Antonio Brown/Pittsburgh ($7,900) @ Kansas City- if Roethlisberger plays I’m probably locking in AB, as his last few games have driven his price down to the point where we can easily exploit it in a dream matchup against the Chiefs.

GPP Play

John Brown/Arizona ($5,500) vs. Baltimore

Brown’s game is so hit or miss right now that I’d probably never roster him in cash games, but he’s perfect for GPP’s as could easily get behind that Raven secondary for a couple of scores.

Tight Ends

Cash Plays

If you’re not rostering Gronk….

Antonio Gates/San Diego ($5,000) vs. Oakland

Despite missing the fist four games of the season, Antonio “Synyster” Gates has resumed his place as one of Rivers’ favorite targets, and has looked every bit the hall of fame tight end we’ve come to know over the past two games. This week he’ll see an abysmal Oakland secondary that is particularly horrible against tight ends. His price and matchup will make me think long and hard about fading Gronk this week.

Travis Kelce/Kansas City ($4,900) vs. Pittsburgh

Last week against Minnesota, Kelce saw his second highest yardage total (88) since week 1 (106). With Jamaal Charles on the shelf, the Chiefs offense must move through their highly athletic tight end – surely Andy Reid recognizes this, right? Right? Well, we can hope. And this would be a good week to kick start “Baby Gronk”, as Pittsburgh employs one of the worst defenses in the league.

GPP Play

Delanie Walker/Tennessee ($3,900) vs. Atlanta

Marcus Mariota is set to miss this game due to injury, so, unfortunately, that does mean Zach Mettenberger will get the start, but Walker will make for a nice, big target in the middle of field for the second year signal caller. Atlanta got roasted by Ben Watson last week, so we already know their safeties and linebackers are no match for athletic tight ends. Plus, this game has a surprisingly high over/under at 48 1/2 points. Tennessee will need to keep pace somehow.

Defense

Cash Plays

Carolina ($3,100) vs. Philadelphia

I absolutely don’t love any spot for defenses this week, so I’m taking a simple approach of using home teams in games with lower over/under’s. The Panthers fall into that category this week as two point favorites at home in a game with a projected total of 45 points. Philly’s offense is a mess right now, and Carolina has an excellent secondary that could feast on Sam Bradford.

St. Louis ($2,400) vs. Cleveland

Cleveland’s offense has surprised the past few weeks, but I’m still not buying that they can sustain it. The Rams defense isn’t anything to write home about, but they do have an elite front four that should wreak havoc on Josh McCown. I’ll put my faith in Vegas as they’re giving the Rams a four point edge in a game with a 42 1/2 point over/under.

GPP Play

Miami ($2,700) vs. Houston

Coming into the season, everyone was on Miami – on both sides of the ball. The first few games left us with a sour taste in our mouth, but they do still have a very talented defense. If nothing else, they’ll be at home against Brian Hoyer.

 

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