Week 6 FanDuel Top Shelf & Bargain Bin Plays: Aaron Rodgers Bounces Back Bigtime

Aaron Rodgers

It’s hard to believe that we’re already in Week 6 of the 2015 NFL season. It’s been an odd fantasy season to say the least and one full of injuries to superstars. Week 5 claimed another victim with Jamaal Charles going down for the season with a torn ACL.  It’s a huge loss for the Chiefs and one that stings for his owners. Focusing on the positives we had some highly competitive games with three games going to overtime this past week. The Falcons and Bengals managed to squeak out wins in OT and remain undefeated. The Devonta Freeman show continued as he put up 197 all-purpose yards and scored another touchdown giving him eight total this year. The Packers and Patriots also won in convincing fashion while staying undefeated.  Speaking of the Packers Aaron Rodgers reminded us just how unbelievable he is but in this case it was an end to an amazing streak that stole the show. Aaron Rodgers headlines my Week 6 FanDuel picks and is a great bounce back canidate. Good luck this week with your FanDuel lineups and hopefully I can help you win build your bankroll this week with some of my picks.

Top Shelf Picks

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers- Green Bay Packers $9300

vs San Diego Chargers

Breaking news, this just in, Aaron Rodgers is actually human! The streak is finally over! After going 586 passes without throwing an interception at Lambeau Field, Rodgers was picked off by James Laurinaitis. His last home interception before last Sunday came on December 2nd, 2012. Rodgers has put back-to-back mediocre performances the past couple weeks. After shredding the Chiefs for five touchdowns on MNF in week 3 Rodgers has tossed three touchdowns and two interceptions in two games since. I’m expecting lots of scoring in this affair since Green Bay opens with the second highest over/under, currently sitting at 51 points. Pro Football Focus grades the Chargers as a bottom-three defense overall and odds are they won’t offer much resistance on the road. This is the week Rodgers bounces back and gets back on track. I have no reservations paying up for Rodgers this week and you shouldn’t either.

Tom Brady- New England Patriots $9000

at Indianapolis Colts

Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers are pretty much interchangeable and are hands down the top options if you’re paying up at the quarterback position. Brady has been a touchdown machine and nothing short of spectacular this season with an NFL-leading 347 average yards passing per game. Even more impressive is that he has zero interceptions in 160 pass attempts. He is the only starting NFL quarterback that can say that while ranking fifth in passing yards (1,387) and third is touchdowns (11). This week Brady travels to Indy for a showdown with the Colts defense that has allowed the fifth most passing yards on the season and the fourth most total yards. I sense that Brady and company will want to run up the score which makes sense with the Vegas line being the highest over/under of the week at 55 points.

Bargain Bin Plays

Carson Palmer- Arizona Cardinals $8000

at Pittsburgh Steelers

This week on FanDuel there aren’t a lot of intriguing options if you want to go cheap at quarterback. I would play it safe and pick Carson Palmer at his current salary of $8000. Palmer has been a staple of consistency this year and has easily been the most efficient fantasy quarterback. He leads the NFL with 13 touchdown passes and more importantly has stayed upright in the pocket taking only seven sacks. In week 6 Palmer gets the luxury of facing a porous Steelers secondary that just gave up 365 yards passing to Philip Rivers on MNF. The Cardinals have a stockpile of offensive weapons at their disposal and with the return of Andre Ellington the passing game becomes even more dangerous. The Steelers are going to have a tough time defending Larry Fitzgerald, Smokey Brown, CJ2K, and a fresh Andre Ellington. There will be mismatches all over Heinz Field on Sunday and they’ll be exposed more than ever with Palmer under center.

Andy Dalton- Cincinnati Bengals $7600

at Buffalo Bills

The Red Rifle is red-hot and continues to silence his doubters. I’ll be the first to admit I faded him last week playing at home in the jungle versus the Legion of Boom. This proved to be a huge mistake as Dalton shredded a stout Seahawks secondary for 331 passing yards and two touchdowns. He even added a rushing touchdown to boot which was his second on the ground this year. Make no mistake, this is a different Andy Dalton we’re watching play this year and regardless of what has changed its time to give him credit where credit is due. There is a theory that Dalton is improved because of his release or in this case, his improved ability to read the defense, then execute quickly after processing everything in front of him. According to ESPN Stats & Information, only Tom Brady releases the ball quicker than Dalton. Brady’s average time before he delivers a pass is 2.01 seconds. Dalton is next at 2.07 seconds. The Buffalo Bills will be a tough test on the road in Orchard Park but one that Dalton can handle. The Bills have allowed the ninth most passing yards along with 10 passing scores.

Top Shelf Picks

Running Back

Arian Foster- Houston Texans $8500

at Jacksonville Jaguars

It might be a shock to many but Le’Veon Bell isn’t my top running back pick this week. I actually prefer Arian Foster for $500 less this week on FanDuel. Foster has been dominating snaps since returning from his groin surgery. Foster played 61 percent of the snaps last week versus the Colts. I’m expecting this number to increase every week as Foster gets closer and closer to 100 percent. He’s a focal point of the Texans offense and is heavily involved in the passing game as evidenced by his 12 receptions in two games back. Foster faces a Jaguars defense that Doug Martin gashed for 123 yards and two touchdowns. The Jaguars have allowed 60.2 receiving yards per game to running backs this season, 25th in the league, offering Foster another shot at a strong total yardage outing. I’ll be locking Foster into the majority of my FanDuel lineups and I strongly recommend you to do the same.

Matt Forte- Chicago Bears $8400

at Detroit Lions

While Foster versus Forte makes for a great debate this week in DFS, I’d be happy with either back as my RB1 this week. Maybe you want to go cheap at quarterback or other skill positions and if so you can possibly afford both of them and still stay under the cap. Matt Forte is a workhorse running back who like Foster in Houston, will be leaned on heavily by the Bears. Forte is dominating snaps and has over 75 percent of the Bears carries and 15 percent of targets. Forte is averaging 24 touches per game and there’s no reason to expect anything less Sunday. Simply put the offense runs through Forte and the healthier the Bears get, the more holes will open up for him. The impending return of Alshon Jeffery is another reason for optimism but the matchup is also enticing. The Lions rush D has been Jekyll and Hyde so far. On average they give up 126 rush yards per game and have allowed 8 rushing scores, which is tied with the Falcons for the most allowed in the NFL.

Devonta Freeman- Atlanta Falcons $8000

at New Orleans Saints (TNF)

While I typically shy away from endorsing players on the Thursday night slate, there’s always an exception to every rule. In this case Devonta Freeman is the exception to the rule. Who would have guessed that heading into week 6 of the 2015 NFL season that Devonta Freeman would be the number one scoring fantasy running back? Freeman has taken the NFL by storm and has carried his fantasy owners on his back since week 3. Since taking over the starting reins from Tevin Coleman Freeman has rushed for 362 yards and a whopping seven touchdowns. Freeman is an exceptional pass catcher (24 receptions) which increases his value in PPR leagues. The matchup this week versus the Saints is a prime one considering that they’ve conceded 4.5 YPC, 24 catches, and five touchdowns to opposing backs this season. This Primetime matchup boasts the second-highest Vegas line with an over/under of 51.5 points. Freeman is showing no signs of slowing down so ride him until the wheels fall off.

Bargain Bin Plays

LeGarrette Blount- New England Patriots $6500

at Indianapolis Colts

I’ve been on Dion Lewis for the past couple weeks and while I still like him this games screams Blount forced trauma. Does anyone recall what happened the last time the Patriots traveled to Indy? Let me remind everyone about last year’s 42-20 blowout win that featured Jonas Gray rushing for 199 yards and a franchise-record four touchdowns. It appears that Andrew Luck will be back but even with Luck the Colts will have a tough time keeping up with Brady and company. This game could get ugly very early and if it does I’d expect the Pats to pull Gronk and Lewis. This means Blount is the favorite to lead the Pats in carries and touchdowns, especially if they use the same blueprint as last year. I’m expecting a similar performance from Blount as he put up in week 2 when he registered 18 carries for 78 yards and three touchdowns versus the Jags. Blount is the perfect tournament play and is a steal at his current FanDuel salary of $6500.

Knile Davis- Kansas City Chiefs $5500

at Minnesota Vikings

The aftermath of the Jamaal Charles ACL injury is still rocking the fantasy world. It’s a major bummer but anytime you have an injury to such a key piece of the offense it gives someone else an opportunity to step up. While Andy Reid has already proclaimed Charcandrick West as the guy to take over for Charles, I’m not buying it. More than likely we’re looking at another RBBC in Kansas City but if Davis steps up and shows that he’s clearly the better running back, he should earn the majority of the snaps. Davis has the size (5-foot-10, 205 pounds) to be the bruiser and between the tackles runner while also possessing better downhill running capability than West. In addition Davis profiles as the better option in short-yardage and goal-line situations. Davis also has the experience and has shown before that he’s more than capable of carrying the load. Last year he had a three game stretch while Charles was out, when he rushed for 318 yards and three touchdowns. This week the Chief’s travel to Minneapolis to take on a Vikings defense that has been decent versus the run but have still allowed 4.7 YPC and 125.5 rushing yards per game.  I won’t be playing Davis in my cash games but feel that he’s a great tournament play at his dirt-cheap FanDuel salary of $5500.

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Top Shelf Picks

Wide Receiver

DeAndre Hopkins- Houston Texans $8500

at Jacksonville Jaguars

Truth be told this is a week that I’m fading the top-tier, top salary wide receivers. Julio Jones and Odell Beckham Jr. are dealing with some nagging injuries and aren’t locks to be active. Even if they’re active they could play the role of decoys and/or play limited snaps. Antonio Brown is a fade until Big Ben returns for obvious reasons so next up is Hopkins. DeAndre Hopkins has truly arrived and become one of the elite wide receivers in the NFL. He’s leading the NFL in receiving yards per game (115.6), receiving yards (578), targets (75), and is second in receptions (42). Hopkins is as matchup proof as they come and is the only receiver to catch at least eight balls in four games this year. He faces a Jags defense that has only managed one interception on the year and that was by a linebacker. In this game it really doesn’t matter who is under center for the Texans because Hopkins will be soaking up targets regardless.

A.J. Green- Cincinnati Bengals $8100

at Buffalo Bills

A.J. Green was shadowed by Richard Sherman for most of last week’s contest but still managed a respectable six receptions for 78 yards. With a much improved Andy Dalton under center and a Bengals offense that has multiple scoring weapons Green doesn’t have to do all the heavy lifting. Opposing defenses now have to contend with an emerging Tyler Eifert and a very serviceable secondary option in Marvin Jones. Everyone knows A.J. Green has the upside to blow up at any point as evidenced by his week 3 performance versus the Ravens finishing with a 10/227/2 line. I love the Bengals matchup this week versus the Bills defense who’ve struggled to contain opposing number one wide receiver’s this season. T.Y. Hilton, Julian Edelman, Rishard Matthews, and Gronk torched the Bills secondary for some big games.  The Bills are one of five NFL teams that have allowed double-digit scores through the air. Add to that the loss of Tyrod Taylor which instantly kills the Bills chances of sustaining scoring drives. The Bengals should have the ball a lot so go Green this week

Brandon Marshall- New York Jets $8000

vs Washington Redskins

Brandon Marshall is back baby! The marriage with the bearded Harvard grad Ryan Fitzpatrick seems to be going well. Marshall has been a target monster with 45 targets over the past four games. He’s scored in three of the four contests and is locked in as Fitzpatrick’s go-to receiver. Washington has been decent versus the pass but has still allowed seven scores through the air while only picking off two passes. Fire up Brandon Marshall this week and watch him rack up the points.

Bargain Bin Plays

Allen Robinson- Jacksonville Jaguars $6700

vs Houston Texans

Allen Robinson is a stud and proving why so many experts were so high on him coming into this season. The Jaguars have an improved passing game with maturing second-year Brian Bortles under center. Bortles is locked in on Arob and has been peppering him with targets all season. Robinson is currently tied for the ninth most targets (50) in the NFL with along with Antonio Brown and T.Y. Hilton, if that tells you anything. The Jags aren’t good so expect them to be trailing in the majority of games and airing it out with Bortles. Arob has a ceiling of A.J. Green or Demaryius Thomas with a respectable floor comparable to T.Y. Hilton. I could see a lot of people fading him with the concerns about Bortles arm but I’ll assume the high risk for possibility of the high reward. It’s simple for me, if Bortles plays then you have to play Arob at his current salary of $6700.

Willie Snead- New Orleans Saints $6200

vs Atlanta Falcons (TNF)

Are we witnessing a changing of the guard in The Big Easy? Over the past three weeks Willie Snead has 24 targets compared to 25 for Brandin Cooks. Digging deeper Willie Snead has 274 yards receiving over that span while Cooks only has 211 yards. Last week was Snead’s coming out party with six catches for 141 yards against the Eagles. Over the past three weeks Snead has passed up Marques Colston, Brandon Coleman and now appears to be challenging Cooks for the top spot in Bree’s pecking order. This week the Saints are at home in the dome and are facing a Falcons secondary that has allowed the fourth-most passing yards. It’s time to buy what Snead is selling and get him in your lineups.

Top Shelf Pick

Tight End

Travis Kelce- Kansas City Chiefs $6200

at Minnesota Vikings

Last week I recommended Gronk and Owen Daniels and had to live with a big fat zero from Daniels in a lot of my lineups. I blame you Charles Woodson for this travesty but I’ll roll up my sleeves and get back to work. This week I’m fading Gronk and going the cheaper route at tight end with Travis Kelce for $2000 less. My reasoning is pretty simple in this case. The loss of Jamaal Charles creates an opportunity for someone to step up and that guy will be Travis Kelce. He’s been relatively quiet the past couple weeks but Alex Smith needs to focus on getting Kelce the ball now more than ever. Kelce becomes the Chiefs most dangerous offensive weapon with his elite after-the-catch skills. Sorry Jeremy Maclin but this is Kelce’s team and he’s going to steal the show this week in Minneapolis.

Bargain Bin Play

Antonio Gates- San Diego Chargers $5500

at Green Bay Packers

Well it didn’t take long for Antonio Gates to make an impact after his dominant return on Monday Night Football. Gates stole the show under the bright lights of MNF for the Chargers posting a monster line of 9/92/2. I’ve seen all I need to see and despite the tough matchup this week versus the Packers, I’m playing Gates in a ton of lineups. Gates is a matchup nightmare and not one that will be easy to contain for the Packers. Gates dominated targets on Monday night with 11 and I’m expecting Rivers to lean heavily on him again on the short week. Gates is fresh and a good bet to reach pay dirt again this week. He’s a nice bargain at his current FanDuel salary of $5500.

Defenses To Target

New York Jets- $4800

vs Washington Redskins

Todd Bowles and company have had plenty of time to prepare for the reeling Washington Redskins after returning from their bye week. Kirk Cousins is coming off another poor performance in which he threw two interceptions. Cousins has made a habit of throwing multiple picks having done it three times this year. The Jets defense should have no problem stopping the Skins ground game having allowed the second-fewest rushing yards (379) this year, while forcing four fumbles. I’m expecting a few turnovers for the Gang Green and a defensive score could be in the cards.

Cincinnati Bengals- $4700

at Buffalo Bills

The Cincinnati Bengals are legit this year. They’ve been a tough defense versus the run so far minus one unbelievable run last week by rookie Thomas Rawls. This week they travel to Orchard Park to take on Rex Ryan’s Bills. The problem for the Bills is the mounting list of injuries. They’ll most likely be playing without Tyrod Taylor, LeSean McCoy, Karlos Williams, and Sammy Watkins. The replacements will be E.J. Manuel, Boom Herron, and Anthony Dixon. I don’t see the Bills mustering up much offense and with Manuel under center moving the chains will be a major challenge. This game could get ugly early and I’m expecting the Bengals defense to create some turnovers and keep the Bills out of the end zone.

10-15-2015 2-10-40 AM 10-15-2015 2-20-36 AM

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