DraftKings Week 6: All. The. Megatron’s.

Calvin Johnson

It’s fair to say that the first five weeks of the season have not been kind to Calvin Johnson and the Detroit Lions. And if you’ve invested in the usually-dominant “Megatron” – in DFS or seasonal – the season might not be going quite as you hoped either.

That all changes in Week 6, as the Lions get a cure-all in the form of a visit from the Chicago Bears. And, more specifically, cornerbacks Kyle Fuller and Alan Ball – one of the worst cornerback pairings in the league. Johnson should have little to no trouble exploiting this massive mismatch, regardless of wether Matthew Stafford or Dan Orlovsky is throwing him the ball.

If there’s one positive we can take away from Johnson’s slow start is that it’s driven his cost down to an absurdly low $7,300. The time to buy is now before he regains his god-like status and the price sky rockets. He makes for a no-brainer cash play this week, as his targets should keep his floor relatively high. But he’s also an excellent GPP play due to his likely low ownership after his recent struggles, and his chances of completely going off and scoring multiple touchdowns.

Let’s take a look at some of the other strong DraftKings plays for Week 6.

Quarterback

Cash Plays

Carson Palmer/Arizona ($6,600) @ Pittsburgh

If you’re looking to save a little at the quarterback position this week (Brady and Rodgers are always in play – no need to recommend them) while still rostering someone with similar upside as the big boys, then Palmer might be your guy. The Cardinal offense can do little wrong right now, and Palmer is playing some of the best football of his career. Ordinarily I’d be hesitant to roster a quarterback on a team making the long trek out east, but he’ll be facing a porous Pittsburgh secondary coming off a short week after playing on Monday night.

Andy Dalton/Cincinnati ($5,700) @ Buffalo

Andy “The Red Rocket” Dalton and the Cincinnati offense have been one of the biggest surprises of this young season. Coming into the year, most thought the Bengals would pound the rock with Jeremy Hill, rely on AJ Green to be their primary aerial weapon, and mainly operate as a ball control offense. However, five weeks in and we essentially have the exact opposite; Hill is almost un-startable, Tyler Eifert is seemingly the primary target, and Dalton is second only to Tom Brady in FPPG. He’s still – for whatever reason – priced far too low for a quarterback of his caliber (did I just say that about Andy Dalton?), and is in a great spot this week against a Buffalo defense that looks good on paper but has been giving up some big games to passing attacks.

Other Considerations: Eli Manning/NYG ($6,800) @Philadelphia

GPP Play

Andrew Luck/Indianapolis ($7,600) vs. New England

I have a feeing this will be the lowest we see Luck’s price all year, and it couldn’t come at a better time. His ownership will likely be down due to his recent shoulder issues, and he gets a primetime matchup at home against the team that has sent him home in the playoffs the last two seasons. This game has an opening line of 55 points, with New England being a six point favorite. Points will be had in this one. Lots of them. Get on the Luck train now.

Running Backs

Cash Plays

Adrian Peterson/Minnesota ($7,600) vs. Kansas City

I actually don’t mind this spot for all the usual suspects on the Viking offense (not in cash games, though), as they’re coming off of a bye and get a home tilt against a Kansas City team that is reeling right now and just lost their best offensive player for the season. Peterson, however, is in the best spot because you already know he’ll be the workhorse. The Vikings opened as a three point favorite, and the Chiefs offense will undoubtedly struggle without Jamaal Charles. This means game script should be in Peterson’s favor for most of the game, and that means he’ll have every opportunity to pay off his salary.

Arian Foster/Houston ($7,000) @ Jacksonville

Last week against Indianapolis things looked bleak in the early going for Foster, and it looked like we were going to have wait another week to see him at full strength, especially after it appeared his night was over with what was believed to be a concussion. Fortunately, he was cleared to play coming out for the second half. And while we still probably didn’t quite get the Foster of old, we did see the explosion that was missing in the first half and were reminded of his importance in that offense, as he scored nearly all of his 20.8 points in the second half. His price hasn’t gone up from last week, and this week he gets a Jag’s defense that just got toasted by Doug Martin.

Dion Lewis/New England ($5,800) @ Indianapolis

It’s impossible not to love Dion Lewis. He is the prototypical cash game play as his role in the passing game keeps his floor relatively high. He’s a lock to catch five or six passes each game, and is a strong bet to hit pay dirt despite not being a “goal line back”. His price tag is up $1,000 from last week and we’re probably approaching a price where we’re paying for his ceiling, but while he’s under $6,000 I’ll continue to roll him out in cash games and not think twice about it.

Other Considerations: Frank Gore/Indianapolis ($4,900) vs. New England

GPP Play

Lamar Miller/Miami ($4,300) @ Tennessee

I know you’re probably shuddering at the thought of rostering Miller, but consider this: he’s coming off ofa bye and he’ll be playing for someone who’s not Joe Philbin. Hopefully interim coach Dan Campbell realizes just how under-utilized his very talented running back was for the first four games, and will actively seek to get him the ball. The spot against Tennessee isn’t stellar, but they have surrendered 100-plus yards rushing in three straight games.

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Wide Receivers

*This is looking like a week where receivers are fairly deep, with a plethora of mid to lower tiered players having good match ups. It might be a good week to “pay up” at other positions and save some coin at wide receiver.*

Brandon Marshall/NYJ ($7,100) vs. Washington 

You’ve probably noticed a theme with some of my suggestions so far, but in case you haven’t – BYE WEEKS! Players coming off of bye weeks are excellent targets in DFS because you know they’re going to be healthy, rested, and well prepared for the team that’s been next on their schedule for the last two weeks. Enter: Marshall and the Jets who get a visit from a Redskins team that has one of the worst secondaries in the league. Marshall and his partner in crime, Eric Decker, should go right through the Skins’ secondary like crap through a goose!

Allen Robinson/Jacksonville ($5,900) vs. Houston

“A Rob” is fast-becoming a fantasy star, and is now entering cash game territory due to the large amounts of targets he receives. And, providing Blake Bortles is healthy, that shouldn’t change against a Houston team that just let Andre Johnson and his old balls (gross!) go wild last Thursday night. Be sure to keep an eye on Bortles this week, though, as I’d be less likely to use Robinson in cash if he can’t go.

Willie Snead/New Orleans ($3,300) vs. Atlanta

Ordinarily, I’m fully on #TeamFadeTNF because the games don’t usually live up to their billing, and that often leaves players short of their value threshold. However, Snead might just be too good to pass up this week. Over the past two weeks he’s clearly become Drew Brees’ favorite target, and has seen his snap counts drastically rise as well. Needing only about 10 points to pay off his salary, he might be the chalk play at receiver this week – even though he plays on Thursday night.

Other Considerations: Larry Fitzgerald/Arizona ($7,000) @ Pittsburgh, James Jones/Green Bay ($5,800) vs. San Diego, Donte Moncrief/Indianapolis ($5,000) vs. New England

GPP Play

AJ Green/Cincinnati ($7,600) @ Buffalo

With most people likely paying for the higher priced receivers (Jones, Beckham), Green makes for an excellent tournament pivot. He hasn’t quite been his usual self over the first five games, but despite Eiferts emergence we all still know that Green is Cincinnati’s best offensive player. And, like we saw in Baltimore a few weeks ago, we know he can go nuts at any moment. The Bills secondary can be had, and this might just be the week to pull the trigger on AJ again.

Tight Ends

*I’ll preface this section by saying that as long as he’s healthy, every week is a “Gronk week”. He’s match up proof and if you can make room for him in your lineup, do it. You’re basically paying for an elite wide receiver without the hefty price tag that comes with him. But, if you’re not paying up for Gronk…

Cash Plays

Tyler Eifert/Cincinnati ($4,900) @ Buffalo
Eifert is finally starting to make good on all that talent we were promised. He’s healthy, for starters (which is huge), but he’s also demonstrating the hands and the athleticism that we saw when he was coming out of college. I’ve already explained on a few occasions that Buffalo is a ripe spot for the Bengals passing game, and Eifert’s price is still fairly reasonable, needing around 15 points to hit value.

Martellus Bennett/Chicago ($4,800) @ Detroit
Full disclosure: If Alshon Jeffery is still out, or even if he plays but is going to be limited, Bennett is who I’ll be targeting in cash games if I’m not paying up for Gronk. He has at least four catches in every game thus far, and is clearly Jay Cutler’s favorite target, outside of Matt Forte. Detroit is an early three point favorite, so Chicago is likely going to have to be throwing a lot to stay in the game.
GPP Play

Kyle Rudolph/Minnesota ($3,000) vs. Kansas City
Like I stated earlier, I really like this spot for Minnesota offensive players. The Chief’s have struggled mightily against the pass this year, and while the yardage likely won’t be there, the Vikings should be in the red zone plenty on Sunday which could lead to Rudolph hauling in a touchdown or two.

Defense

Cash Plays

New York Jets ($3,100) vs. Washington

There really isn’t a need to look anywhere else in cash games this week, unless you find yourself needing to scrape a hundred dollars or two to fit another player you like into your lineup. They’re coming (say it with me now) off a bye week, they’re at home, and they’re 5 1/2 point favorites on a team with a turnover-prone quarterback (Kirk Cousins). As Bernie Mac said in “Ocean’s 13″…”Nuff Said”.

Cincinnati ($3,000) @ Buffalo

I almost never roster a road defense, but the Bengals open as a 3 1/2 point favorite – and that’s before the news coming that Tyrod Taylor is likely to miss the game. That means good ol’ EJ Manuel would be under center for the Bills. Yeah, that should go well. I don’t mind the Bengals in cash games, but they could also make for a nice pivot in tournaments, assuming most people roll with NYJ.

 

 

 

 

 

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