NFL DFS: Week 5 Monday and Thursday Night Playbook

Peter Diana/Post-Gazette

Welcome back to this weeks NFL DFS playbook Monday and Thursday edition. Last week’s playbook had some duds that I expected more out of, but overall was far from a bust. This week is much better in that it offers two studs to build our lineups around. Let’s get to the plays of this week.

 

Quarterback

Philip Rivers (FanDuel: $7,500, DraftKings: $6,200)

Rivers has had at least 240 passing yards and a touchdown in every game so far this season. That’s a nice foundation to build your team on with the Steelers being a very mediocre defense at best. It’s very possible that Rivers throws for 3+ scores tonight, and he’s got a decent price tag this week to fit in other higher price guys.

 

Drew Brees (FanDuel: $8,100, DraftKings: $7,000)

Playing Brees in a primetime game is usually never a bad decision. But I’m going to counter that with how bad this team has looked, especially last game against the Eagles. But there is something about being in the spotlight playing a division rival that brings out the best in him. He’s averaging over 300 yards and about 2 touchdowns a game against Atlanta for his career, and the Saints are going to be brining it all to try and save face for this season. I don’t expect him to be as highly owned as normal, so he makes for a sneaky good play this week if the Saints can run their offense.

 

Running Back

Le’Veon Bell (FanDuel: $9,000, DraftKings: $8,500)

Bell is the guy that I built all my lineups around this past weekend in DFS. He’s going to be well over 50% owned, but his upside is far too great to fade this week. He’s the main focus of this offense, especially with Ben Roethlisberger still out. Bell has also caught at least 7 balls since returning from his suspension. He’s the one guy that I couldn’t fade this week and just pay up to have him in your lineup.

 

Danny Woodhead (FanDuel: $6,000, DraftKings: $4,600) I’m really torn this week because Melvin Gordon is also a solid option at the position. Like I have said before, I tend to shy away from guys like Woodhead that are “PPR Running Backs” or “PPR Gold” because game flow dictates how much they are going to be used. I think Gordon will be the more highly owned player this week, so I’m going with Woodhead because his ownership value and his ability to catch the ball out the backfield.

 

Devonta Freeman (FanDuel: $7,600, DraftKings: $7,000)

Freeman has been an absolute madman since becoming the starter three games ago. He has 8 touchdowns over the past 4 games, and Tevin Coleman is still dealing with his rib injury that allowed Freeman to become the starter in the first place. He will continue to get most of the snaps, and that bodes well for him with the Saints defense leaking like a sieve. His price tag still hasn’t caught up to his output on the field, so I’ll gladly enjoy that for one last week.

 

Mark Ingram (FanDuel: $8,000, DraftKings: $6,000)

If the Saints want to have any chance of winning this game, they are going to need to run the ball against Atlanta. With him being the feature back in the New Orleans backfield, it’s hard to fade him when running backs have absolutely smashed the Falcons this season. With Ingram going up against the second to worst fantasy defense against his position, he makes for a sneaky play that should pay off at home for Ingram.

 

Wide Receiver

Julio Jones (FanDuel: $9,200, DraftKings: $9,200)

After the first three weeks of the season, Julio was looking like the best fantasy receiver I’ve ever seen since I started playing fantasy football. He’ come back down to earth over his last two games, but his floor is higher than any other player at the position right now. He’s averaging over 12 targets a game, and this Saints secondary will not be able to cover him. If Josh Huff can look like Julio Jones against them, imagine what the actual Julio Jones can do to them. I know he’s been listed as injured, but that’s nothing to worry about this week. Pay up for him and don’t even think twice about it.

 

Willie Snead (FanDuel: $5,300, DraftKings: $3,300)

I know season long players know his name already, but Snead is for real for those of you that don’t know. He’s the number two guy in New Orleans, especially with Marques Colston’s status up in the air for this week after leaving the game on Sunday with an arm injury. He finished this week with 6 grabs for over 140 yards. Understandably, Snead will be one of the most owned players this week at the position, but rostering him allows you to fit in Brees, Julio and Bell because of his bottom of the barrel price tag. Add that to his upside, it’s hard to pass on that value.

 

Keenan Allen (FanDuel: $7,700, DraftKings: $7,200)

 Allen has been a monster so far this season, and has been the comeback player of the year so far in fantasy circles. Even with the addition of Antonio Gates this week, it’s hard to think Allen’s productivity will take a step back this week considering the Chargers defense is nothing more than a placeholder. He’s not my favorite play this week, but a darn good one that can easily score over 20 points.

 

Marcus Wheaton (FanDuel: $4,800, DraftKings: $3,300) 

Every week there has been a player that has made me sick to my stomach for recommending them, but every single one of them has came through in spades when I did (see Jeremy Maclin and Doug Baldwin). Wheaton gets another chance this week to produce with Martavis Bryant out another week after his suspension was lifted with a knee injury. One of these receivers not named Antonio Brown will need to step up this week and Darrius Heyward-Bey isn’t someone I can trust to even catch a ball, which is funny considering that’s literally his job. Wheaton is a risky play, but you need to swing for the fences sometimes in these small slate games. Hopefully he can catch one and take it to the house.

 

Tight End

Antonio Gates (FanDuel: $5,500, DraftKings: $4,200)

Gates will be another guy that will be highly owned because of the lack of options this week at the position. The good news is that he’s fresh with no issues coming into this game, and he has a great history of Rivers’s primary target. I think the Chargers get him involved early and often because they will need him this week to have any hope to stay in the game. He’s honestly the only tight end I’m considering this week. If I’m looking to save some cash, Jacob Tamme makes for a sneaky play at minimum price on both sites.

 

 

Defense

Atlanta Falcons/San Diego Chargers – Kicker is a crapshoot this week. If I had to pick one, it would be the Falcons. I like the chargers as a sneaky play because they’re going up against an inaccurate backup quarterback in Michael Vick. The Saints defense has been terrible so that’s the only one I’m fading this week.

 

Kicker

Matt Bryant (Fanduel: $4,800)/Josh Lambo (Fanduel: $4,500)

 

Bryant is the only guy I feel confident in starting this week. Pittsburgh’s kicker, Chris Boswell, their fourth kicker in the past two months, is fresh off the streets and the Saints kicker, Dustin Hopkins, can’t be trusted to make a chip shot. Bryant is the obvious choice and Lambo comes in second by default, which saves you some cash.

You can reach me on Twitter with any thoughts, questions, concerns, or just want to talk fantasy sports. 

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