NFL DFS: Week 4 Monday/Thursday Night Playbook

Russell Wilson

Welcome back to the Week 2 NFL DFS Playbook Monday/Thursday edition! This week will be more difficult with so many questions headed into these games. Marshawn Lynch is out tonight and the status of Andrew Luck is up in the air after missing the game on Sunday. Still, there are plenty of options out there to continue cashing out and building your bankroll this week. Lets get to it!

 

Quarterback

 Russell Wilson

It’s hard for me to fade Wilson this week even though I full admit to not being a Wilson believer in DFS. He’s a solid quarterback in reality, but in fantasy he is very unreliable. His offensive line is a mess and he isn’t running the ball as much as we would like. But still, he’s the best at the position with so much uncertainty across the board. I like him far and away as the best option this week.

 

Andrew Luck

Much like Aaron Rodgers, it’s always hard to fade one of the best in the game. The brightside is that his ownership will be really low, and this Texans defense is really bad. If the Falcons can demolish them like they did on Sunday, you can believe that Luck is capable of putting up similar numbers as Matt Ryan. These Texans cornerbacks rank near the bottom of the league in coverage, and if Luck plays, he should be able to put up some nice numbers.

 

Running Back

Arian Foster

Foster’s first game back left much to be desired. I know that he got the majority of the carries, but that isn’t saying much considering they were down 45-0 before the end of the third quarter. I think Houston will look to get him much more involved this week against a terrible Colt defense. He clearly was on a limited snap count this week, and I have confidence in saying that the Texans will give him the full workload.

 

Theo Riddick

This is another one of my ballsy plays, but Riddick has been the guy to own in the Detroit backfield so far. He’s honestly been the most consistent, which is not something you want to see if you’re a Lions fan. Seattle will look to shut down Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate, so Riddick should be able to get at least 6 catches if he is on the field. Game script dictates how much he will be used, but Jim Caldwell trusts him late in the game, and I expect the Lions to need him a lot this week.

 

Thomas Rawls

He is going to be the fantasy darling of this week, and you can bank on him being owned in at least 50% of matchups this week. I think that number will be north of 60%, mostly because of what he did last week and his price tag. I’m not crazy about Rawls as much, but I think he is a safer play if you are looking to go contrarian elsewhere. If he gets the touches this week, I think he is very capable of having over 10 fantasy points.

 

Wide Receiver

DeAndre Hopkins

Hopkins saw 21 targets against the Falcons on Sunday. He only caught 9 of them, but anyone that sees over a third of the offensive workload is always a must start in DFS. While I don’t expect that kind of volume on Thursday, I do think he is the must start of the week because of his upside. His price tag will easily be higher next week, but get him on the cheap while you still can.

 

Donte Moncrief

I was very worried about Moncrief headed into Sunday’s game against the Jags because of Matt Hasselbeck under center. He still got his share of the workload despite no Luck, and I think that should continue again this week if he were to miss this game. Coming into week 4, he has the most snaps out of any Colt receiver. T.Y. Hilton still is the number one guy there, but Moncrief isn’t far behind and should be a must play at his price tag in all formats this week.

 

Doug Baldwin

My stomach is still not right from my Jeremy Maclin recommendation last week, and I get the same feeling here with Baldwin. If the Lions can move the ball, I have a feeling Baldwin is in store for a nice week. Jimmy Graham will get his as well, but one deep pass to Baldwin could make him a great play this week, and that kind of upside is what you need on these short slates of games.

 

Calvin Johnson

Let me make one thing perfectly clear here, and I know it will make people upset: there is no such thing as a shut down corner. That is one of the biggest myths in football. Yes, Richard Sherman is talented corner. Calvin Johnson is also one of the few players in the league who defies logic and reason when it comes to the game of football. His salary is not cheap, but I am willing to bet his ownership will be a lot lower than expected. At the end of the day, he’s still Calvin Johnson and should be started any opportunity you can fit him into your lineup.

 

Tight End

Jimmy Graham

I know it’s taking the easy way out here, but Graham is one of the best at his position. He’s not going to put up numbers like he did in New Orleans, but he is always capable of putting up 20+ fantasy points in a given week because of his athletic ability (did you know he played basketball at Miami? Crazy, right?). Seattle is still figuring out how to use him in the passing game, but the Lions secondary aren’t very good and Graham should see a good number of targets, especially in the red zone.

 

Coby Fleener

I think I was the only guy in my cash games to start Fleener this week. Dwayne Allen is still out, which only means good things for Fleener in an offense where they love to throw to the tight end. If Allen sits out again on a short week, it’s a no brainer to plug him in to save some cash. I’m also fading Eric Ebron this week, so he shouldn’t be highly owned.

 

Defense 

Seattle

Seattle is the best defense on the board, so it’s hard not to like them. Even with shut down corner myth, having Kam Chancellor makes this unit seem like a different team. It you’re looking for the safest option, then Seattle is easily the only team to use this week.

 

Detroit

I know, I’m all over the Seahawks this week, so it doesn’t make much sense to start the Lions defense. I solely like the Lions as a GPP play with low ownership and saving some cash to fill your lineup with more studs.

 

Kicker

Steven Hauschka/Adam Vinatieri

Hauschka is another safe option tonight. With Seattle’s offense line being a shell of it’s former self and no Marshawn Lynch, their offense only needs to get inside the opponents 45 yard like for him to put one through the upright. Vinatieri has had a rough start to the season, but looks like he got on the right track on Sunday. Either one should be fine in your FanDuel lineups.

 

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