Week 5 College Football Picks Against the Spread

How many points will Seth Russell and Baylor tally?  (Photo: Tony Gutierrez, STF)

A week ago it was looking to be a really nice weekend. Tennessee was up in Gainesville  and UMass was keeping it very close with Notre Dame. However, when the final whistle went off, the two results flipped. The Vols couldn’t stop Will Grier on a long third down or get their kicker is position to have a decent shot at the game winning field goal. Notre Dame turned it on in the second half and blew the doors of the Minutemen. Utah came through in a big for me however. a +300 money line underdog won outright and with ease at the University of Oregon.

Week 5 features many compelling match ups including the Crimson Tide heading down to Athens to take on Georgia between the hedges and Notre Dame heading to Clemson. It also features a potential barn burner in Waco, Texas. My favorite thing about this week is the underdogs that should not only cover but can win outright. Most of the underdogs featured have very real shots of getting the outright win. A parlay that pays out very nicely can be had as well. Lets pick games for Week 5!

>Season Total 12-8-0
>Upset Alert 1-3

Baylor Bears/Texas Tech Red Raiders under 89

A week ago Texas Tech and TCU put on an offensive display combining for 107 points. The Baylor Bears put up 70 points up against Rice. This week the over/under is set at 89 and most would assume to jump on the over yet again. However, after a heartbreaking loss I expect the Red Raiders to be sluggish to start against a Bears defense that feels stronger than the injury plagued one TCU rolled out a week ago. I still think a ton of points will be scored in this game but it will stay south of 85. It may be a nail biter towards the end but the under is the way to go.

Iowa Hawkeyes +7 at Wisconsin Badgers

At 4-0 the Iowa Hawkeyes are starting to turn some heads. They are still coached by Kirk Ferentz, so don’t get too excited Hawkeye fans. But this weekend they have a ton in store. They are heading to Madison to take on a Badger team that is not the ones we remember. Wisconsin is 50th in the country in terms of rushing yards. For a team that is known for Melvin Gordon, Montee Ball, and Ron Dayne. Jordan Canzeri is a name to keep an eye on. He should be the best running back on the field and will be key for Iowa to not only cover but get the outright win. He is averaging 5 yards per carry and has found the end zone 8 times.

Arkansas Razorbacks +6 at Tennessee Volunteers

The Tennessee Volunteers are a mess. They show promise especially on offense with Josh Dobbs and Jalen Hurd. They have been terrible at the end of games, just ask Oklahoma and Florida fans. As bad as the Razorbacks 1-3 record looks, their problem has been finishing drives. The are 26th in the country in total offense and 23rd in terms passing. It’s kinda hilarious that the Razorbacks are a team that leans on the pass, but are coached by Brett Bielema – who wants to run the ball constantly. Anyway, I expect Arkansas to continue to look better. A week ago they looked much better against Texas A&M. Not only do I think the Razorbacks can cover, but have the potential to win outright.

Kansas State Wildcats +8 at Oklahoma State Cowboys

If you watched Oklahoma State a week ago, I’m sorry. Well, unless you are a University of Texas fan, than I’m really sorry. Mason Rudolph was incredibly hard to watch play quarterback. He clearly has a passion for finding new ways to lose the ball. Just when it seemed like the Cowboys would find a way to win a game they were dominating, they would stall or turnover the ball. Oklahoma State led time of possession by 10 minutes, out gained the Longhorns by 100 yards and had 16 more first downs. Bill Snyder’s teams are always well coached. I expect them to keep this game close. The Wildcats also enter this game off of a bye week. The extra week of preparation will be huge. If you hear barking from Manhattan, Kansas don’t be surprised. This is a dog with some serious bite.

JerseVegas.com

**Upset Alert**

Skyler Howard

Skyler Howard are looking to make noise in Norman!
(Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

West Virginia Mountaineers +7 at Oklahoma Sooners

While West Virginia has yet to have a true test, they have been winning convincingly in the games they have played. This Saturday will be that for the Mountaineers, who are on the road in Norman to take on Oklahoma. For the Sooners, Baker Mayfield has been an improvement on Trevor Knight. Although, he does seem to run when his initial read or two is covered. With the Mountaineers 11th in total team defense and 7th against the pass, I expect the defense to do enough to slow down the Sooner offense. Skyler Howard and Wendell Smallwood will produce enough offensively to not only cover the  point the spread but get an impressive win on the road.

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