Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread

Peter Diana/Post-Gazette

Welcome to Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread. Another week picking an underdog to win outright. The rest of my picks didn’t go as well, but it was set up to be a strange week from the outset. This week featured the return of one of the best running backs in the league in addition to some big early season tests.

>Season Total 6-3-1
>Upset Alert 2-0

Pittsburgh Steelers -1 at St. Louis Rams

This line feels like a trap but man, that trap has some tasty cheese on it. A week ago we saw Matt Jones and Alfred Morris run up and down the field on this Rams defense. This week Le’Veon Bell is back and ready to create havoc. The Steelers offense has been rolling in his absence. I think they will not skip a beat. Ryan Shazier and company will need to show up again this week. If they do the cover should be a mere formality.

Carolina Panthers -3 vs New Orleans Saints

Drew Brees injured his throwing shoulder a week ago in a home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A week later there is a ton of question marks surrounding him. Cam Newton has been the Panthers offense through two weeks. Luke Kuechly is expected to return after sitting out the first 2 weeks due to concussion symptoms. The number feels like what it would be if Saints offense was healthy. No Brees, Spiller getting worked back in and a lot of Mark Ingram against a strong Panthers defense makes this an easy play. Take the Panthers -3.

Atlanta Falcons -1.5 at Dallas Cowboys

Two words, Brandon Weeden. A much improved Falcons defense gets to take on a Cowboys offense missing Tony Romo, Dez Bryant and maybe Jason Witten. The Falcons bring in an offense that has been hot to start the season. All of this sets up for a road win for Atlanta. The Cowboys defense is better and it may not be the slaughter some may expect, but a field goal or so win by Matt Ryan and company feels about right.

JerseVegas.com

 

Kansas City Chiefs +6.5 at Green Bay Packers

This Kansas City Chiefs team led by Jamaal Charles feels poised to make a playoff run. Getting Eric Berry back to go with rookie Marcus Peters really helps the secondary. Justin Houston creating problems up front doesn’t hurt either. On offense outside of Charles, Travis Kelce and Jeremy Maclin should help the offense do enough to keep this game close. After getting a win against the Seahawks a week ago to somewhat make up for the lost in the NFC Championship game, Green Bay will do enough to get a win at home but wont cover. Take the points and enjoy the game.

**Upset Special**

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

Calvin Johnson will remind the NFL how good he can be. (Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports)

Detroit Lions +3 vs Denver Broncos

The Lions enter this game at 0-2. The offense has looked decent and the defense has been better than many thought after losing Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley in the off-season. They are facing a Bronco team that has won both of their games thanks to outstanding defensive performances. The Lions are the right side in this one. In primetime games, you always take a home dog. See the Kansas City Chiefs last year when they hosted the New England Patriots. Everyone assumed the Patriots would blow the Chiefs doors off. The contrary happened. I expect the Lions to find a way to sneak this game out at home. Take the Lions on the money line.

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