DraftKings PGA DFS Picks: TOUR Championship

Jason Day, BMW Champion

Welcome back for another week of DraftKings PGA DFS Picks! Last week was, well, sort of successful. Nothing great, but nothing terrible (except for that Jim Furyk pick, which is moot because of the WD). I was able to cash with the team I posted ($6 WOOHOO!) and I hope that you were able to cash as well. Now, with only 30 players in the field, we have to be very precise and keep our eyes out for injuries, or anything else that may deter from a player being able to play at a full 100%. Let’s dig into picks for this weeks TOUR Championship at East Lake:

Top Dollar Players

Jason Day – $12,500

*See last week*

Ok, I’m not going to leave you hanging like that. Seriously though, I can’t say anything more about Day then I could have last week. He left himself in first place after another amazing performance. He simply does not look like he can be beat. This is the week that they “nerf” the points to allow everyone in the field a chance to win the FedEx Cup, so Jason will still want to win here to ensure his FedEx Cup victory.

Rickie Fowler – $10,300

Rickie has been great the last two legs of the playoffs, and I don’t expect this week to be any different. Fowler finished in 8th place here last year, and is currently leading the playoffs in 1-putt percentage. A great sign for a player, his putter is working! I think Rickie has a really good opportunity to get the W this week, and should be an easy play for $2,000 less than Day, and likely to score similar points. Play Fowler with confidence!

Justin Rose – $9,800

Aside from the Deutsche Bank, Rosie has been great recently. He’s a favorable play here as he hasn’t finished worse than 6th place in his last 3 trips to East Lake. With six top 20 finishes in his last 7 starts, and making stacks of birdies, Rose should perform well this week. At a modest price, Justin should put up some great numbers.

Mid Tier Players

Hideki Matsuyama – $8,000

With top 25 finishes in each of the first three legs of the FedEx Cup Playoffs (tied for seventh last week), Matsuyama seems to be on a hot streak. Ranking third in birdies or better during the playoffs, Hideki should be right there on Sunday with a great chance to win. Unless, you know, the Jason Day thing happens again. Grab Matsuyama as your mid tier player, and reap the rewards!

Patrick Reed – $7,600

This one could be a little bit of a stretch, but Reed seems a little overdue. A player that is just oozing with talent, Reed played every round, last week, under par. Reed has five top 10 finishes, as well as a victory on the season, so you know that he can get it done. This is his second trip to East Lake (tied for 19th in 2014), and I can definitely see him finishing in the top 10 and putting out some nice points.

Brooks Koepka – $7,300

Last week I listed Brooks as a potential sleeper for the price of $8,200, so there was no way I was leaving him out at this price. This will be Koepka’s debut at East Lake, so it’d be tough to expect a lot out of him. Last week was a mediocre effort, as he finished with 74 pts, but it was a step in the right directions after going 0 for 2 in the first two legs of the playoffs. I like Brooks this week, and I’ll be rolling with him in my lineup.

Bargain Bin

Kevin Na – $7,100

Mr. “Pull the trigger!” seems to have found his legs during the playoffs, especially after finishing tied for 10th last week. Na is very streaky, and has always struggled with his mental game. He looks to be on the good side of his streak, and for $7,100, I really can’t complain. His history at East Lake isn’t great, but I think he does well in his fourth trip to the TOUR Championship.

Jimmy Walker – $6,900

Last week, I had Jimmy as a potential sleeper and he didn’t disappoint. Putting up 81 points and finishing 32nd, Walker is a great play for his minimal price. This is only his second trip to East Lake (tied for 17th in 2014), but Jimmy has been pretty solid all year. I don’t think he has much of a chance to win, but if he can get in the top 15, it’ll mean he’s made plenty of birdies, and in turn, scored you plenty of points.

Sang-Moon Bae – $6,800

Bae has had his fair share of struggles recently, as he hasn’t played well on Sunday in the last five events. But, he has put up some good numbers in the first three rounds recently, as he keeps advancing in the playoffs. The main reason I am playing Bae this week is that it could be his last Tour event for a while. Sang-Moon has pending military duty in his country of South Korea. Their government has called on him upon the finish of his season. If there were ever a reason for him to play well, this is it. Best of luck to Sang-Moon Bae in the near future.

Players To Avoid/Question Marks

Last week, I had McIlroy and Spieth on this list. Boy, did they make me look a little silly. Rory still didn’t look 100%, but he certainly scored well. Jordan finally looked to have a little fire in his belly again, even though he was very negative toward himself. I’m going to let those guys be for this week.

Henrik Stenson – $10,500

Stenson struggled his way to a top 10 finish last week, despite a sore right hand. Henrik hits down on the ball harder than most, so any issue with his right hand would mean he’ll be unable to make the ball dance like he normally does. I’d be less worried if it was his left hand, but having it on the right he will feel every last shot, and I’m guessing it won’t feel well.

Jim Furyk – $7,900

I had Furyk in my list of top dollar players to go get last week, and of course he WD’d. Jim was having some issues with his left wrist (bone contusion), and I don’t have a whole lot of faith in him to make it through the week. He has been very good at East Lake in the past, but with a pending injury, I’ll pass.

Brandt Snedeker – $7,300

Even with a pretty low price, I’m passing on the 2012 FedEx Cup champion. Since dealing with his left hip issue, Brandt’s ball striking has been suspect at best. (You’ll notice the theme here is injuries.) He’s definitely not himself, and I don’t see him getting back on track. Despite his victory in 2012, Brandt has not finished in the top 15 in any of his other three appearances at East Lake. Pass.

 

I’m pretty confident in this list, and I really hope it pays off for both of us. And, since I shared it with you last week (and it was actually profitable), I’ll again share my lineup with you. Here is my lineup in the PGA $400K Drive the Green: Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose, Hideki Matsuyama, JB Holmes (ladies love the long ball), Brooks Koepka, and Kevin Na.

Best of luck this week, and as always, thanks for reading!

 

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