June MFL 10 Review

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June MFL 10 Review

By: Adam Cook (@fantasy_schnerd)

I participated in my first ever MFL 10 with the Fake Pigskin crew back in June. I
figured an interesting article would be to go back and look through my picks. Feel free to judge away and I will keep my own grade reasonable. And believe me…it was not an A plus by any means. I looked at PPR ADP (average draft position) for drafts starting after July 1st to look at pick changes.

1.08 Dez Bryant- WR Dallas Cowboys- July ADP: 10th overall

Dez Bryant

 

His brief contract worries caused concern, but now that he has signed I can sit back and enjoy. I am comfortable taking a player in the 1st round that has scored double-digit touchdowns for 3 straight years. Due to the PPR settings, I think he scores more fantasy points than guys like DeMarco Murray, Marshawn Lynch, and Matt Forte.

2.05 A.J. Green- WR Cincinnati Bengals- July ADP: 20th overall

I am a big believer in Green as I think injuries played a huge part in his down year last year (1,041 yards, 6 TD’s over 13 games). In the two previous years he posted 97 receptions- 1,350 yards- 11 touchdowns and 98 receptions- 1,426 yards- 11 touchdowns. Not bad for a second round pick. My only regret looking back is that C.J. Anderson went two picks later.

3.08 Keenan Allen- WR San Diego Chargers- July ADP: 50th overall

I wanted Melvin Gordon (went 3 picks before me) and didn’t like the remaining running backs, so I stuck with best player available. I like Allen to bounce back in a big way after a “Sophomore Slump” that still saw him catch 77 passes. Don’t forget that he still averaged 9.3 targets per game last year and is a clear-cut No. 1 option. The two receivers who went after Allen were Sammy Watkins and Emmanuel Sanders. I have Allen ranked higher.

4.05 Alfred Morris- RB Washington Redskins- July ADP: 38th overall

It was a real toss up for me here between Jonathan Stewart and Morris. I went with Morris due to less competition for goal line carries as Stewart has Cam Newton and Mike Tolbert to deal with. It is no secret that Morris runs better with a healthy RG3 under center. I also love the additions of Bill Callahan and Brandon Scherff.

5.08 Amari Cooper- WR Oakland Raiders- July ADP: 52nd overall

Drafting rookies is always a risk, but I think Cooper is pro ready and steps into a No. 1 WR role. At this point I have taken 4 wide receivers early, but the PPR scoring kept creeping in my head as I have 4 WR’s with a reasonable chance at 80 catches. The other players taken in this range were Tevin Coleman, Nelson Agholor, and Andre Johnson.

6.05 Isaiah Crowell- RB Cleveland Browns- July ADP: 69th overall

I was 3 picks away from Latavius Murray (that stung) and looking back I would have selected Ameer Abdullah (taken 3 picks later). I like Crowell to lead the Browns in carries this year over Terrance West and Duke Johnson. The Browns are adding a healthy Alex Mack and 1st round pick Cameron Erving to an already stout offensive line. He scored 8 touchdowns as a rookie and 10 plus could be on the dock in 2015.

7.08 Bishop Sankey- RB Tennessee Titans- July ADP: 96th overall

Running backs were starting to get very thin at this point, so I went with a running back that has a very realistic shot at a heavy workload. He struggled as a rookie, but what running back would have succeeded with that supporting cast? He will have a full offseason and I think Marcus Mariota will help the run game. Other running backs taken in this range were Rashad Jennings, Tre Mason, and Jay Ajayi.

8.05 Joseph Randle- RB Dallas Cowboys- July ADP: 46th overall

According to the July ADP, this was my best pick of the entire draft. He is likely to start in Dallas and averaged 6.7 YPC on a small sample size. He has familiarity with the offense and makes great cuts behind a stud offensive line.

9.08 Tyler Eifert- TE Cincinnati Bengals- July ADP: 126th overall

Tyler Eifert
I love Eifert this year and will own him in almost every league I’m in this year. He was about to break out last year as he caught 3 passes in the 1st quarter of the 1st game before his injury ☹. I will gladly take a 70 catch upside tight end in round 9. Yes, I have him ranked over Zach Ertz, Jordan Cameron, and Jason Witten.

10.05 Tony Romo- QB Dallas Cowboys- July ADP: 107th overall

Did you know that Tony Romo led the NFL in QBR last year? Not to mention that he has thrown for 28 plus TD’s in 4 straight seasons with 34 in 2014. And he is fully healthy going into training camp, which hasn’t been the case the past two years. What he might lose in efficiency this year, I expect him to gain in volume. Other quarterbacks taken in this same price range were Tom Brady (4 game suspension) and Matthew Stafford.

11.08 Kyle Rudolph- TE Minnesota Vikings- July ADP: 138th overall

Josh Hill, Eric Ebron, and Dwayne Allen were taken right ahead of my pick and I have Rudolph rated higher than those three. I am chasing the upside in a best ball league with a full offseason with Teddy Bridgewater and Norv Turner still running the offense. 600 yards and 8 touchdowns are reasonable projections.

12.05 Reuben Randle- WR New York Giants- July ADP: 124th overall

Usually guys that finish strong (290 yards last two games of 2014) get classified as sleepers going into 2015. Most analysts are down on Randle though. He is still young (23) and Victor Cruz is no lock to return to pre-injury form. I like Odell Beckham Jr. to require double coverage almost each play leaving Randle to feast on single coverage in the Giants prolific passing game.

Reuben Randle

13.08 Jay Cutler- QB Chicago Bears- July ADP: 155th overall

Yes, he sucked as a real life QB, but all I care about is fantasy stats (28 TD’s in 2014). It is true that he lost Brandon Marshall, but he gets exciting rookie Kevin White and familiar slot demon Eddie Royal. I don’t expect the Bears to become a running team all of a sudden, so the volume should still be there. The other quarterbacks taken in this range were Derek Carr and Sam Bradford (bad knee reports at the time).

14.05 Marvin Jones- WR Cincinnati Bengals- July ADP: 137th overall

I am not purposely targeting the Bengals passing game, just happened to fall that way. Jones produced 10 TD’s in 2013 and I don’t expect him to lose the starting job to Sanu. 700 yards and 8 touchdowns will do at this draft cost. I like him in a best ball format better than similarly drafted guys like Dwayne Bowe and Michael Crabtree.

15.08 Charles Clay- TE Buffalo Bills- July ADP: 168th overall

I felt the need to take a 3rd TE after drafting high risk-high reward TE’s in Rudolph and Eifert. The Bills didn’t pay him 40 million to not utilize him did they?

16.05 Matt Jones- RB Washington Redskins- July ADP: 172nd overall

I viewed Jones as a high upside handcuff to Alfred Morris.

17.08 Marcus Mariota- QB Tennessee Titans- July ADP: 171st overall

He hasn’t even signed his rookie contract at the time of the draft, but I see him as more talented than Mettenberger. Rookie QB’s typically struggle, but I like him to finish around QB 20 this year and post a few big weeks.

18.05 Denver Broncos- July ADP: 187th overall

I’m a fan of CB Chris Harris, Von Miller, and the addition of Shane Ray

19.08 Lorenzo Taliaferro- RB Baltimore Ravens- July ADP: 219th overall

I went back and forth to take a 3rd defense or 6th running back. Other players being drafted in this range were all dart throws (Jeff Janis, Stevan Ridley, and Nick Toon). I see Taliaferro getting goal line work and will be utilized to kill some clock in the 4th quarter.

20.05 Dallas Cowboys- July ADP: 237th overall

I try to target strong defensive lines when picking team defense. The Cowboys are my ultimate sleeper team defense in 2015. Sean Lee returns, Greg Hardy and Randy Gregory were added as edge rushers, and DeMarcus Lawrence is going to break out this year.

Lessons Learned

1. I should have taken a 3rd defense
2. I reached for Tyler Eifert and Keenan Allen (I really like them both this year)
3. I should have taken a running back earlier

Overall Grade: B-

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