Dynasty Football: Justin Forsett and Jeremy Hill Headline the AFC North

Justin Forsett and Jeremy Hill Headline the AFC North

AFC North

Justin Forsett and Jeremy Hill Headline the AFC North this year as names that are likely to be rostered on dynasty teams in contention. Coaching turnover brings Marc Trestman, formerly known as the “Mad Scientist” to the Baltimore Ravens, and his love for Running Back usage is sure to follow. The Cincinnati Bengals are still held hostage by the “Around the NFL” podcast critically acclaimed “AD line,” which states that anybody better than Andy Dalton could potentially help a team make a playoff push. The Cleveland Browns still love to ignore clear and present Wide Receiver needs, and The Pittsburg Steelers strengthened their offense by bringing in depth at both Running Back and Wide Receiver.

 

Baltimore Ravens

Marc Trestman is looking to remind the league how good he can be as an offensive mind after he wasn’t able to hold down the locker room in Chicago from a Head Coach office. As a die hard Chicago Bears fan, I really wish things would have worked out in Chicago, but clearly he wasn’t able to hold down a team when running shop from a personnel perspective. None of this takes away from what he can do as an offensive coordinator. As the season progresses, I would think that Trestman will earn buy-in to begin rolling out his own packages as the team begins to gel.

It’s going to be interesting to see how Trestman adapts. He’s going from a team that had 6’4” and 6’3” starting receivers to 6’2” and 5’9” starting receivers. These receivers are able to take the top off the defense, but there will be an adjustment to be made. The Ravens would be remiss not to pick up more plays and sequences as the season progresses. Breshad Perriman is going to have success, and it’s pretty obvious the nine route will be in affect. Trestman will likely look to get him involved with crossers, slants, and screens, but it’s going to take a while for Perriman to simply run all the routes that aren’t somewhat manufactured. I don’t exactly see him as a big upgrade over Torrey Smith from a fantasy perspective early on, as he’s still a bit raw

 

HGHT WGHT 40 Time Break Out Age College Dominator Rating Burst (Player Profiler) HASpeed (Player Profiler)
Smith 6′ 1″ 204 lbs 4.43 20 41.1 132.7 105
Perriman 6′ 2″ 212 lbs 4.3 20 36.6 121.9 125.7

 

As seen above, Perriman and Smith have a lot in common. There will be week-to-week highs and lows, but you already know that if you’ve owned Smith. He does have Trestman and Joe Flacco on his side, but I think it’s unrealistic to expect anything more than WR2 upside on a fluctuating basis.

While it was popular to poo-poo on Justin Forsett coming into this year, I didn’t think there would be a rookie supplanting him just yet and was still sold on Forsett being the guy in 2015. Forsett is my kind of running back these days. The position largely fluctuates in dynasty value-wise, and these older guys that have a good work load come at a discount while you build around a solid group of recievers. His age means much less to me given the fact that he didn’t receive substantial carries until late in his career. I’ve purchased him for late 2nd round picks and used 3rd round picks to also secure Javorius Allen. I also sold him on a couple teams late last season where he wasn’t helping me get over the top. It comes down to whether or not you’re in contention to help you decide if a guy like Forsett is good for your dynasty team. But if you’re looking for solid production at a discount, look no further.

 

Cincinnati Bengals

Are we finally going to see a break out year from Tyler Eifert? There’s no use in trading him now, and he’s one of those players that is hard to trade for since the owner isn’t willing to accept a trade for less than the first round pick they spent on him. At this point, the dynasty community has soured on these Tight Ends that haven’t translated, but kudos if you can get him for a 2nd rounder. With Jermaine Gresham out of town, look for the Bengals to try and capitalize on his upside as a receiver.

A.J. Green is the forgotten talent this year with the influx in rookie replenishment across the league. He wasn’t healthy last year; do not sell him at a fraction of his cost this off season to savvy owners. Let his on-field production help dictate what you do with him, but his value should increase starting Week 1. Jeremy Hill is the real deal, and I also think Giovani Bernard has now gotten to a point where he can be had at a value. There’s still plenty of work to be had as a pass catcher in this offense. This isn’t to say the Hill can’t catch passes, but we started to see a healthy Bernard get more involved late last season. Mohamed Sanu isn’t very good at football, and Marvin Jones should win back the WR2 job as long as he is healthy. We just don’t know how long his legs are going to hold up at this point. I’d look for this team to bring in more talent next year to help secure the split-end role.

 

Cleveland Browns

Jaelen Strong should be in Cleveland. Good grief, Brownies. For as much hype that Isaiah Crowell got last year as the greatest runner in the history of football, the Browns drafted Duke Johnson to add more ambiguity to this backfield. My money long-term is with Johnson as the back with the highest ceiling.  Crowell should keep the early down work to start the season, but Johnson has the highest ceiling in this offense that is going to have to get creative with how they use their running backs in the passing game.

Full disclosure – I still own Rob Housler in over half of my dynasty teams. I like the pain.

 

Pittsburg Steelers

Martavis Bryant owners are really excited for the upcoming year. But the fact that the Steelers drafted Sammie Coates should give one pause. Sure, this could just be a depth play, but there’s a strong case to be made that the Steelers are looking to give Bryant competition and give the majority of routes to which ever guy proves worthy.

 

HGHT WGHT 40 Time Break Out Age College Dominator Rating Burst (Player Profiler) HASpeed (Player Profiler)
Bryant 6′ 4″ 225 lbs 4.42 22+ 18.5 128.3 122.7
Coates 6′ 1″ 212 lbs 4.43 20.4 29.5 135.2 110.1

 

This is a situation to monitor, and savvy owners bailed on Bryant. Not because they don’t believe in him, but because his current price tag correlates to the narrative that he reaches his potential. There isn’t much wiggle room to account for another potential outcome wherein Bryant shares time with the receiver that is just as fast, broke out at an earlier age in college, and simply dominated more games before entering the NFL. Or worse yet, Coates earns the majority of the routes run.

 

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