Draftkings Daily Fantasy MMA: UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs. Mir

UFC

I continue to learn DFS MMA on Draftkings, since it is a fairly new sport in the daily landscape. I always like to go back and look at the winning lineups and make notes.I checked a GPP I played in last week and noticed an interesting result. The winning lineup scored 335 points and went 4-1 (2 Decision, 1 Submission and 1 KO/TKO). 1-1 with under dogs ( Henderson and Miller) 1 win with a slight underdog (Escudero) and 2 wins with 2 Vegas favorites * Skelly and Lee). One other thing I noticed is all of these fighters were relatively low owned and all mid-low price. After seeing this and looking at the fight card for UFC Fight NIght: Bigfoot vs. Mir, I decided to try and take the same approach. However I had to make some alterations because one if the fights was canceled (Oliveira vs. Waldburger) which had a favorite priced very low.

Lets start by looking at the biggest favorites of the fight. Luri Alcantara ($12,100), Rustam Khabilov ($11,700), and Cezar Ferreira ($11,800) round out the “safest” plays of the evening. If you go down just a bit you have William Patolino ($11,600), Antonio Silva ($11,900) and Jessica Andrade ($11,500) are also favorites. Ideally you will want to have 2-3 of these fighter rostered.

Edinson Barbosa ($10,800) and Michael Johnson ($9,100) will be your only real options as mid priced fighter for this card, and they just so happen to be fighting each other. I think both are great values for the price and you almost have to roster at least one of them. I guess you could roster both if you wanted but as I always say, that will likely limit your upside for GPPs, but might be alright for cash games.

Now lets dig into the underdogs. Because of one of the fights being canceled you almost HAVE to take at least 2 of the dogs based on who you decide to roster. Santiago Ponzinibbio ($8,600) is worth a look as he is the the closer to even odds than most of the others around this price range. Sam Alvey ($8,200) and Adriano Martins ($8,200) are also worth a look. With those two you are just hoping for one of two things. Either they can grind out a decision (win or lose) to hopefully rack up some points, or they can get somehow get a stoppage victory from a mistake of their opponents’.

If you don’t have a Draftkings account yet you can sign up here, and follow me on twitter to ask me any questions. Best of luck this weekend!

 

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