MLB Review/Preview: Third Base Rankings

JoshDonaldson

It’s been a busy offseason for third base around the league with a number of moves taking place either through trades or free agency. However, for the fantasy landscape the boat has not been rocked too greatly with only one top 10 player at the position last year being involved. That player was Josh Donaldson who moved from the cavernous O.co Coliseum in Oakland over to the hitter friendly Rogers Centre in Toronto. Some other names involved this winter were Pable Sandoval, signing with Boston, Will Middlebrooks, moving to San Diego, Brett Lawrie, Oakland, and Chase Headley, staying in Yankee Stadium. So how has this offseason affected third base rankings? Who was a surprising package last year and are they someone you should be investing in? Let’s take a look shall we?

2014 Third Base Top Tens (Only my personal rankings and CBS sports points totals will be used in this article due to ESPN being down for maintenance preventing the comparison with their player rater.)

Roto Points
Player Points Player Points
Anthony Rendon 27 Miguel Cabrera 535
Miguel Cabrera 24 Anthony Rendon 526
Todd Frazier 23 Josh Donaldson 502
Josh Donaldson 21 Todd Frazier 463
Kyle Seager 19 Adrian Beltre 450
Josh Harrison 19 Carlos Santana 446
Adrian Beltre 17 Kyle Seager 445
Carlos Santana 16 Evan Longoria 435
Evan Longoria 16 Matt Carpenter 435
Daniel Murphy 16 Josh Harrison 398

Firstly the bad news: Miguel Cabrera will not be eligible for third base next year in many leagues as he only played 10 games at the position. If he has lost that eligibility in your league that does affect his value a little and when combined with the injury he currently has does create a little cause for concern.

Now the good points!

Anthony Rendon was a beast last year bursting onto the scene and surprising everyone in the fantasy world by being the best player in roto leagues at the position. His duel position eligibility makes him a very valuable commodity.

Josh Donaldson should just keep getting better now he is in a hitter friendly ball park so do not be surprised if he is pushing to be the number 1 overall third baseman next year. Todd Frazer broke out spectacularly last year for fantasy owners and was the only 20/20 player at the position. While I expect a little regression next year he still has decent 20/20 opportunity.

Third base was generally solid and predictable last year with many of the names above being guys who would have featured heavily in top 10 lists this time last year and that is good news for fantasy owners. While it may not be the most explosive position there is solid value in the middle rounds of drafts as emphasised by the appearances of Daniel Murphy and Kyle Seager in the top popu10’s

Now let’s take a look at the leaders in each category for roto:

Runs Home Runs RBI Stolen Base Average
Rendon 111 Donaldson 29 Cabrera 109 Bonifacio 26 Turner 0.340
Cabrera 101 Frazier 29 Donaldson 98 Frazier 20 Beltre 0.324
Carpenter 99 Santana 27 Seager 96 Harrison 18 Harrison 0.315
Donaldson 93 Davis 26 Longoria 91 Rendon 17 Cabrera 0.313
Frazier 88 Cabrera 25 Santana 85 Aviles 14 Uribe 0.311
Longoria 83 Seager 25 Rendon 83 Murphy 13 Murphy 0.289
Beltre 79 Longoria 22 Frazier 80 Amarista 12 Rendon 0.287
Murphy 79 Reynolds 22 Plouffe 80 Holt 12 McGehee 0.287
Harrison 77 Rendon 21 Beltre 77 Romine 12 Arenado 0.287
Seager 71 Beltre 19 McGehee 76 Garcia 11 Ramirez 0.285

 

My take-aways:

  • Rendon is a true five category player who has duel eligibility. Yeah that’s rather good.
  • Donaldson has a park and offence upgrade in 2015 so he could easily increase runs scored, home runs and RBI this season.
  • Chris Davis hit 26 home runs in a down season. If he bounces back this year 35 could be easy
  • Todd Frazier is quality player who can help across all categories
  • Beltre’s power isn’t what it once was but his average was still over 0.300 meaning you shouldn’t give up on him just yet. He is still capable of putting up top 10 numbers in runs, home runs and RBI as well as average.
  • McGehee could be an interesting prospect moving to San Francisco this year where he has the potential for the better part of a starters at bats.

My early 2015 rankings:

  1. Anthony Rendon, WSH
  2. Josh Donaldson, TOR
  3. Evan Longoria, TB
  4. Kyle Seager, SEA
  5. Adrian Beltre, TEX
  6. Todd Frazier, CIN
  7. Chris Davis, BAL
  8. Nolan Arenado, COL
  9. Josh Harrison, PIT
  10. David Wright, NYM
  11. Carlos Santana, CLE
  12. Matt Carpenter, STL
  13. Manny Machado, BAL
  14. Ryan Zimmerman, WSH
  15. Chase Headley, NYY
  16. Pable Sandoval, BOS
  17. Kris Bryant, CHC
  18. Xander Bogaerts, BOS
  19. Aramis Ramirez, MIL
  20. Trevor Plouffe, MIN
  21. Pedro Alvarez, PIT
  22. Martin Prado, MIA
  23. Brett Lawrie, OAK
  24. Nick Castellanos, DET
  25. Casey McGehee, SF

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